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10-23-2022, 09:52 PM | #2 |
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At this point I don't see any reason to draft WRs high. I see a maybe 25% chance at best they'll develop. I think you integrate castoffs like Juju and MVS and hope they develop as the season progresses like you're seeing now.
Even if a drafted WR develops you're probably looking at year 3 before they really contribute in any meaningful way. In that case I think you're better getting someone in the 4th or 5th, patience should be expected for someone drafted at that point in the draft. A 1st/2nd round pick should contribute sooner than later and that's just not going to happen in KC. |
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10-23-2022, 10:04 PM | #3 | |
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Hardman didn't live up to the pick, but Skyy has a better skillset and I think will develop nicely by year 2. Right now he has three guys ahead of him and I think Watson might be taking some of his snaps too. This is all going to change up by next year. Skyy is going to keep developing, MVS will probably be in his last year as a Chief, JuJu will be cheap against the cap on the first year of a new deal, Watson is cheap to sign. Justyn Ross will be coming off IR as well. I can't see the Chiefs going WR in the 1st right now; they have multiple holes to fill on the DL and at least one gaping hole at OT. But the Chiefs probably make a day two pick on a Z receiver prospect, and then draft some one-dimensional speed demon on the third day of the draft that Andy can do some cute things with. |
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10-24-2022, 06:57 AM | #4 |
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Unless a big time WR prospect falls a bit and you wanna trade up for him, just keep swinging at those 2nd round ish WR's.
I'm of the opinion that Andy will want to keep the OL together as long as possible, so I think they sign OBJ to a long term deal at LT and consider LT thru RG done for a couple years. Wouldn't be the worst idea to take a RT early but you've gotta attack the DL pretty hard. They're just really in the spot where they don't need to shoe horn themselves into any one spot. Just keep stacking the BPA and depth and see what sticks. |
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10-24-2022, 07:36 AM | #5 | |
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10-24-2022, 07:41 AM | #6 |
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Jones will sign an extension, they'll fill some around him, I'd guess that's a FA priority.
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10-24-2022, 09:12 AM | #7 | |||
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If you look through several elite DTs, the NFL only seems to give them that "cheap first year" about half the time. The four DTs who are at Jones' level or within screaming distance of him: Aaron Donald's first year cap hit: $27m Leonard Williams: $9m DeForest Buckner: $23m Jonathan Allen: $7m So it's really hit and miss. Jones' cap hit in his first year was $15m, which seems to split the difference. Either way, you can probably save money on that first year, but I doubt you can save as much as you think you can. Should be enough to get the Chiefs to $50m in cap space though, assuming you bite the bullet this year on Mahomes/Kelce/Thuney, which you should. |
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10-24-2022, 09:17 AM | #8 |
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For the record, if you tag Orlando Brown again, it's going to be about $20m to do.
You can tag him a third time, as well, but if the Chiefs can't sign Brown, they're probably going to be smart enough to tag and trade him in 2024. Brown's going to have to come down to avoid that. |
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10-24-2022, 01:33 PM | #9 |
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(Scenario 1) I think tagging Brown again next year is the way to go, probably for both parties. He'll make more than he should, and we don't have to commit ourselves long term.
(Scenario 2) The question is whether or not he wants to play on the tag, and if he doesn't, we'll offer him a discount deal in exchange for 3 years, giving us time to find a replacement. (Scenario 3) If he demands a trade rather than play on the tag, we'll likely get a late first or a 2nd and change for him. Either way, in all three scenarios, we come out ahead.
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10-24-2022, 01:35 PM | #10 |
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If we can find a difference maker at DE, a stable player at RT, and develop another star at WR, we are set up to destroy the world for the 2nd phase of Mahomes' career.
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10-24-2022, 10:39 PM | #11 | |
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Moreover, I hate the idea of tagging him again. You know what you've got. You'll have 2 full seasons of him here - either he's your future (in which case, LTC) or he's not. In which case, let him walk, bank the 3rd round comp pick and move along. There's just little to no benefit to tagging him again and frankly it wouldn't surprise me if he refuses to play on it anyway. He just got a looooooot of money. Last season he had about $5 million in career earnings. Now he's got $20 million. He has little incentive to play on the tag at this point.
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10-25-2022, 12:00 AM | #12 |
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I was envisioning (in scenario 3) a trade contingent on a deal, unlike the one we did with the Ravens. I also figured that there’s a dip in the market for capable LT’s right now, and given our team’s success, perhaps someone would cough up the equivalent of a late first. You make a more than fair point that it would be a lower value than that, so you won’t get much pushback here.
Regarding the tag (scenario 1), I like the move because it gives us the extra year to find (or groom) his replacement, rather than throwing a FA JAG or Rookie at LT to protect the greatest QB who ever lived. The other option there is to let him walk and then trade for a starting LT, but then we are giving up draft capital and cap space for a (neutral?) player.
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10-25-2022, 11:25 AM | #13 | |
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So I think that if you can't get OBJ signed to a reasonable extension, you let him walk, draft a guy, sign a veteran stop-gap and then retain Wylie. The veteran stop gap (or even that RFA kid w/ the Packers some are clamoring for) could be the long-term RT. Or the draft pick could be the long-term RT. And in the interim, Wylie can continue to hold down the fort. I mean its obviously not a perfect option, but it's an available one. And it's one that I'd prefer to retaining OBJ on the tag and with a $20 million cap hit.
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10-25-2022, 11:29 AM | #14 |
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Sign OBJ to a long term contract and move forward and be done with it.
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10-25-2022, 02:24 PM | #15 |
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See, I can't accept Wylie as a viable option at RT. He is a backup player and is mid on his best days. For me, he's the weakest link on the entire starting roster.
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