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02-01-2013, 09:16 AM | #2 | |||||||||||
Masochist/Chiefs Fan
Join Date: Dec 2009
Casino cash: $10004925
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Here's some props I really bet: Baltimore FG Made before San Francisco FG Made (-110) & David Akers u7.5 points (+105) These two should be pretty obvious. How can you trust Akers to make any FGs? The dude is so rattled right now. Super Bowl nerves aren’t going to help his cause. San Francisco 1st Downs -1.5 (-115) This goes along with my 28-17 score prediction. I think the final first down tally is somewhere around SF 26, BAL 21. Baltimore Points scored 1H +0.5 vs. Baltimore points scored 2nd half plus OT (-115) If this is confusing, all it’s saying is that Baltimore essentially scores more points in the first half than it does in the second half plus overtime. I talked about the 49ers ability to shut teams down in the 2nd half, and therefore I really like this play. I’ll actually play this one for 0.5 units. Both teams first pass not complete (+476) This seems like a good price. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Ravens come out and go deep to catch the 49ers off guard right away, and Kaepernick has shown some nerves early in his first two playoff games. Safety is not the 1st score (-30000) Ok, I’m kidding. The juice on this is ridiculous. But do you remember last year what the first score was? It was a safety against Tom Brady. The odds of this happening two years in a row in the Super Bowl have to be like a billion-to-1. Randy Moss 1st half receiving yards +14.5 vs Torrey Smith 1st half receiving yards (-120) You better believe that San Francisco is not going to let Torrey Smith burn them deep early in this game. I actually like Moss to have a fairly big role for the 49ers, so I think it's worth the extra 10 cents of juice. (Whole write up if anyone is interested)
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02-01-2013, 09:50 AM | #3 |
Starter
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Death Valley
Casino cash: $10004900
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if randy scores we can hope for another "i'm the greatest wr ever" rant
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Posts: 674
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