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Old 09-30-2014, 01:35 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Late night bullshit: The path to a wild card berth.
The records of teams to get wildcards in the AFC of the last three years:

2013: Chiefs 11-5, Chargers 9-7

2012: Colts 11-5, Bengals 10-6

2011: Steelers 12-4, Bengals 9-7

In the last three years, 100% of the AFC teams that have finished 10-6 or better got into the playoffs, at least as Wild Cards.

In the last three years, three non-division winners finished 9-7, and only the 2011 Titans failed to secure a Wild Card berth. Zero teams with 8-8 or worse have received a WC berth.

That roughly means that if you're not winning your division in today's AFC, you've got a 0% chance to get in if you finish 8-8 or worse. Teams that finish 9-7 have a 2/3s chance of getting in. And teams that finish better than that get in 100% of the time.

The Chiefs have five games for the remainder of the season that they should definitely win:
  • Week 8, hosting the Rams
  • Week 9, hosting the Jets
  • Week 10, hosting the Bills
  • Week 12, hosting the Raiders
  • Week 15, visiting Oakland
With those 5 games in our pocket -- and obviously nothing is a sure thing -- that should give us a starting position of 7-2.

Which means, to get to that magical 9-7 threshold, we need two more wins. And three more wins if we want to be a sure thing.

The remaining games to get two wins from:
  • Week 5, visiting San Francisco
  • Week 7, visiting San Diego
  • Week 11, hosting the Seahawks
  • Week 13, hosting the Broncos
  • Week 14, visiting Arizona
  • Week 16, visiting Pittsburgh
  • Week 17, hosting the Chargers
I would hope the Chiefs could secure at least two more wins here, but I'll be damned if I know where it is.

Shit, this year's schedule is brutal.
Last edited by Direckshun; 09-30-2014 at 04:21 AM..
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Old 10-23-2014, 09:39 PM   #46
O.city O.city is offline
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Bills are banged up and have kyle Orton at qb. I think Miami is a team to watch
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Old 10-23-2014, 10:15 PM   #47
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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We have the tie-breaker with Miami. And I agree with O.city -- the Bills are going to implode.

Our competition is the Steelers and the Chargers. We need to handle our business. We play both of them late in the season.
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Old 10-23-2014, 10:26 PM   #48
BigMeatballDave BigMeatballDave is offline
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Chiefs can finish 3rd in the Division and still get in.
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Old 10-23-2014, 10:35 PM   #49
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Old 10-23-2014, 10:37 PM   #50
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steelers will ****ing cream us
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Old 10-23-2014, 10:39 PM   #51
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Late night bullshit: The path to a wild card berth.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Count Zarth View Post
steelers will ****ing cream us

Their defense is old, slow and undisciplined. Big Ben will likely eat a handful of sacks for holding onto the ball too long.

Antonio and Leveon will literally fist **** is though.
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Old 10-23-2014, 10:55 PM   #52
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broncos will ****ing cream us
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patriots will ****ing cream us
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49ers will ****ing cream us
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chargers will ****ing cream us
Credible poster is credible.
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Old 10-23-2014, 10:59 PM   #53
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Credible poster is credible.
he gay.
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:06 PM   #54
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Credible poster is credible.
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:17 PM   #55
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he gay.
He gay indeed, Simply Red. He gay indeed.
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:21 PM   #56
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I've never been less worried about Pittsburgh, so they beat up on Houston at home... big deal.

No one should be shocked when we beat them.
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:25 PM   #57
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It'll be interesting seeing Allen Bailey and Dontari Poe chasing Big Ben around.

I think the game will be very tough. Playing in Pitt is tough enough, you just know Haley will be dialing up the best offensive gameplan of the year for the Chiefs.
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:25 PM   #58
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I've never been less worried about Pittsburgh, so they beat up on Houston at home... big deal.

No one should be shocked when we beat them.
Big Ben is raping this year and Leveon Bell is an elite back.

We'll need to score 30+ to beat that team.
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:25 PM   #59
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Can we just all take a moment and remember that Scott Pioli, Todd Haley, and Matt Cassel all once had the keys to this franchise?

How the **** does that even happen?
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Old 10-23-2014, 11:27 PM   #60
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We'll need to score 30+ to beat that team.
Maybe if you didn't say the exact same thing every time the Chiefs face a decent opponent only to be proven wrong, people would give two shits about what you say about the matter.

You need new material.
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