Late night bullshit: The path to a wild card berth.
The records of teams to get wildcards in the AFC of the last three years:
2013: Chiefs 11-5, Chargers 9-7 2012: Colts 11-5, Bengals 10-6 2011: Steelers 12-4, Bengals 9-7 In the last three years, 100% of the AFC teams that have finished 10-6 or better got into the playoffs, at least as Wild Cards. In the last three years, three non-division winners finished 9-7, and only the 2011 Titans failed to secure a Wild Card berth. Zero teams with 8-8 or worse have received a WC berth. That roughly means that if you're not winning your division in today's AFC, you've got a 0% chance to get in if you finish 8-8 or worse. Teams that finish 9-7 have a 2/3s chance of getting in. And teams that finish better than that get in 100% of the time. The Chiefs have five games for the remainder of the season that they should definitely win:
Which means, to get to that magical 9-7 threshold, we need two more wins. And three more wins if we want to be a sure thing. The remaining games to get two wins from:
Shit, this year's schedule is brutal. |
Home games, Zona, Pit, and 49ers are all winnable.
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Pitt and the 9ers would be the two. Alex is gonna rape faces this Sunday.
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I think we can beat San Diego as well. I know that may sound nuts but our scrubs had them beat last year. #****upforsuccop
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We always lose one we shouldn't also. I'd say we need three out of your tough list. Unless you want to count Tennessee as our should have won.
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You play your season one week at a time.
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Just to recap.
The Chiefs absolutely need to win all FIVE of the winnable games: Week 8, hosting the Rams Week 9, hosting the Jets Week 10, hosting the Bills Week 12, hosting the Raiders Week 15, visiting the Raiders And now that they have defeated the Chargers, they need to win ONE of the following games to finish 9-7 and have a 2/3s chance at the postseason: Week 11, hosting the Seahawks Week 13, hosting the Broncos Week 14, visiting Arizona Week 16, visiting Pittsburgh Week 17, hosting the Chargers If the Chiefs win TWO of those games (while winning all five of the others), they're 10-6, and recent history suggests they'd be a lock for the playoffs. |
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We are visiting the Bills in week 10, not hosting them. Even so we should be favored to win that game. 10 wins is easily within grasp as long as we don't get away from our running game like Andy has a tendency to do.
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If we're talking two wins against the tougher teams, Pittsburgh and San Diego would help us the most. They'll both be in the wild card race.
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Fire Dorsey and it'll happen
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