*** Official Royals Repository, Part 3 ***

[duncan_idaho]

In this thread: All things related to the AL Champions.

Duncan's Official Team Record prediction: 90 wins
One month in: Looking strong
All Star Break: Looking strong, probably should adjust up to 93-94 wins.
Duncan's Official Team MVP prediction: Eric Hosmer
One month in: Upstaged by his best friend MIKE MOOTACOS, MAN. Tell us bout your hittin, bro!
All Star Break: Lorenzo Cain starting to run away with this one.

Division Preview
Clearly, overlooking the Twins was a mistake at this point. I still don't believe in that team long-term, but they're starting to get that Magic Season twinkle about them.

Detroit is toast. Garbage rotation beyond Price and Sanchez, Miggy out.

And Cleveland... Cleveland still is dangerous if it ever clicks offensively, because the starting pitching is good enough for them to real off a 15-5 stretch and get right back into the playoff picture.

The Royals will be a division winner IF ...
1) Ventura and Duffy combine for 375+ innings of high-quality work
2) Eric Hosmer delivers on his potential with a FULL season of success rather than bursts
3) The deeper bullpen lessens the critical load on Herrera, Davis and Holland
4) Lorenzo Cain stays healthy
5) Either Alex Rios or Kendrys Morales bounces back to 2013 form

The first of these is clearly not going to happen. The second looked good through the end of May but is now eating Cain's dust (Hosmer has still been improved this year, though, lessening his valley. If he has a really hot second half, he can get right back in it). Item three is definitely the case. Item four should probably be first at this point. And Morales has more than bounced back.

Duncan’s Top 20 for mid-season 2015:

Spoiler!

1. Raul Adalberto Mondesi, SS, BOTH: Tools, tools, tools. RA has tools galore. At his best, he’s an All-Star SS who plays elite D, hits 15-20 HR, swipes 40 bags, and is an ideal 1, 2 or 3 hitter. At his worst, I think he looks a lot like Alcides Escobar. Plate discipline is his biggest challenge at this point, but evaluators are confident that will come with time. Clear No. 1
2. Sean Manaea, LHP: I still believe in the upside here, even with the abbreviated start. 6-5 lefties with his combination of stuff and deception have the ability to pitch at the front of a rotation for a long time.
3. Kyle Zimmer, RHP: He’s pitching again and staying healthy, which is nice. He’s pitcing out of the bullpen to build back his arm strength, which is less nice. But still has that high upside, just a lower floor now. Ideally, the team will use him as a bullpen weapon in September (because he has earned it) and then give him a chance to transition back to starting for 2016.
4. Miguel Almonte, RHP: Still love the body, FB/CH combo. Results aren’t eye popping, but he’s still low enough and early enough in the development to prize those things over performance. Still a solid No. 3 starter upside, and just a year and some change away from potentially being ready to contribute at the MLB level.
5. Cody Reed, LHP: Reed has popped up this year, forcing an early promotion to Northwest Arkansas. His stuff is legit, with mid-90s heat and a wipeout slider. Control still needs work, but a promising young arm (that makes Almonte much more tradeable)
6. John Lamb, LHP: Lamb has had a career resurgence in 2015, putting him back on the prospect map. He’s dominating at AAA and will be in the rotation mix in 2016, unless he suffers another setback. Fastball is back, changeup is improving, still working on the ability to throw the slider and curve for strikes when down in the count.
7. Jorge Bonifacio, RF, RH: Emilio’s little brother got off to a horrible start in 2015 but has heated up as the season went on. He also is translating BP power to game power for the first time, with 15 HR just past the mid-way point of his season. Despite his disappointing 2014, he has a chance to build his way back into legit prospect status – and still is only 22. Next challenge for him should be Omaha, but that may wait for the start of the 2014 season.
8. Scott Blewett, RHP: Blewett has a nice two –pitch mix already and is off to a strong start. With his size (6-6) and a good fastball/curveball combo, Blewett could eventually turn into a good No. 3 starter, with a MLB-average changeup.
9. Nolan Watson, RHP: The Royals’ 2015 sandwich pick is a polished prep arm who is adding velocity and explosiveness to a good, polished base. Likely to move quickly.
10. Ashe Russell, RHP: The 2015 top pick probably needs more work than Watson, but the upside is really nice. Again, advanced two-pitch mix that will depend on him adding a changeup. Could be a very good NO. 2 if it all adds up.

Spoiler!

11. Bubba Starling, CF, RH: Starling has been up and down this year but put himself back on the map by greatly improving his K rate while also improving across the slash line as a hitter. His defense and baserunning are MLB ready; if Starling can work himself into a league average hitter, he can be a solid MLB regular who plays great D in CF while hitting 15 HR and swiping 20 bags.
12. Balbino Fuenmayor, 1B/DH, RH: The Balbino came out of basically nowhere in 2015 to earn a Futures Game spot. Big power and an improved two-strike approach have turned the late bloomer into a legit prospect. He’s blocked at the MLB level currently by Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales, but Fuenmayor’s combination of power hitting and good average/strike zone control makes him intriguing.
13. Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, RH: Cheslor probably is not going to be the star KC was hoping for when signing him out of Nicaragua, but he does look like he can be a solid reserve for an MLB club. Good defense at 3B paired with a solid plate approach and some gap power plays fine off the bench. He becomes a lot more interesting if they think he can stick as a 2B, which they have experimented with.
14. Chase Vallot, C/DH/1B: I really like Vallot’s power and plate discipline combo. His bat will probably force him from behind the plate, but he’s held his own despite being extremely young for every level he has faced.
15. Alfredo Escalera-Maldonado, OF, RH: Escalera-Maldonado earned a promotion to Wilmington at age 20, which is pretty advanced movement for that age. He’s an athletic outfielder who has shown some plate discipline at an early age, which is encouraging. Doesn’t sound like he can stick in CF long term for KC, but his bat has become one to watch.
16. Pedro Fernandez, RHP: I haven’t seen much of him, but like the reports I’ve heard on his fastball and general makeup. Could become the next Almonte/Mondesi, though he’s more likely to land in the pen than either of them.
17. Elier Hernandez, OF, RH: Elier Hernanez teamed with Escalera-Maldonado in breaking out at Low-A and earning a promotion to Wilmington. It’s still early for this guy – he is just 20 years old – but he doesn’t take walks and hasn’t developed the prodigious power many thought he had the potential for. Still worth watching.
18. Hunter Dozier, 3B, RH: Dozier is reworking his swing mid-season, which generally will cause production to do what his has done: Nose dive. The changes he made entering the season (seemingly geared towards increasing his power production) were a disaster, and now he’s trying to get back to what he used to be. Still looks great and checks most of the scouting boxes, but the performance hasn’t matched, and it almost knocked him out of the list.
19. Christian Binford, RHP: After a breakthrough 2014, Binford struggled mightily at AAA and suffered a demotion. His upside remains similar – a back-end starter who can eat innings – but Binford’s lack of velocity and reliance on command have caught up to him so far.
20. Marten Gasparini, OF, SH: Gasparini is intriguing because of his speed and athleticism. He’s a LOOOOONG ways from the majors and young for his level, but reports on his bat speed, swing, and speed remain positive enough to keep him on the bubble.

[tk13]

Yeah I was about to say our #2 might actually be Guthrie. Duffy will get over that hump if he continues to pitch consistently, but he has to do it first. If things get rocky Ned could legitimately go Volquez/Guthrie/Duffy/Ventura. If the Astros win the wild card game with Keuchel, we'd face Kazmir/McHugh/Keuchel/McCullers/Kazmir with Keuchel probably able to come out of the bullpen in game 5. Who knows with baseball, but most people probably wouldn't favor our rotation in that scenario.

[ROYC75]

Originally Posted by Sure-Oz

Anyone think they should try to get 2 starters? Have a feeling Young is fading.

This would be great, but what options do we have with the roster spots? Seems like we would lose somebody we don't want to lose right now. To over load the BP with starters and relievers ( protecting pitchers ), leaves your bench none existence.

[alnorth]

I'd like to see us get one good rental starter before I start dreaming on a 2nd, especially since that is probably more realistic

[okcchief]

I'll be really dissaponited if they don't go grab a number 1 starter. I don't give a **** what prospects you give up. Push your chips in! Let's go!

[KevB]

Originally Posted by okcchief

I'll be really dissaponited if they don't go grab a number 1 starter. I don't give a **** what prospects you give up. Push your chips in! Let's go!

Define "#1 starter". I think that's limited to one pitcher for us, Cueto. We haven't been tied to Hamels, most likely because he's still owed $100M. We probably don't get Price for a number of reasons. I don't think there's truly a number 1 beyond those 3. Kazmir perhaps was at the bottom of that group, but he's gone. Other guys like Gallardo, Haren, Leake, etc. would be useful, but not guys that are going to start the first game of a playoff series (Eddy would get that task IMO).

[okcchief]

Originally Posted by okcchief

I'll be really dissaponited if they don't go grab a number 1 starter. I don't give a **** what prospects you give up. Push your chips in! Let's go!

Define "#1 starter". I think that's limited to one pitcher for us, Cueto. We haven't been tied to Hamels, most likely because he's still owed $100M. We probably don't get Price for a number of reasons. I don't think there's truly a number 1 beyond those 3. Kazmir perhaps was at tNJhe bottom of that group, but he's gone. Other guys like Gallardo, Haren, Leake, etc. would be useful, but not guys that are going to start the first game of a playoff series (Eddy would get that task IMO).

Go get Cueto or 2 of your next tier guys. The window is small and I'd rather burn a bit of the future.

Does anyone think the Reds would do Cueto, Bruce and Chapman for say Mondesei and Holland? Would it take more?

[New World Order]

What about Leake and Bruce? I think that is attainable.

[okcchief]

I'm good with Volquez starting in the playoffs. Then we have a few that I think could show up.

I'd much rather grab a guy now like Cueto. Cueto, Volquez and Duffy/Ventura I could live with. I'd rather guys like Young and Medlen be pitching long relief.

[okcchief]

Originally Posted by New World Order

What about Leake and Bruce? I think that is attainable.

I'd be OK with that as well. I'd like to get another starter in a separate deal in that case. Leake is steady. I'd be happy adding him.

[big nasty kcnut]

I like Chris Young as a playoff pitcher. My worry is we need a pitcher that will shut down shit. Because I'm still bitter about bumgardner. I don't want to fall in the same trap like last year.

[KevB]

Originally Posted by okcchief

I'm good with Volquez starting in the playoffs. Then we have a few that I think could show up.

I'd much rather grab a guy now like Cueto. Cueto, Volquez and Duffy/Ventura I could live with. I'd rather guys like Young and Medlen be pitching long relief.

If you've got Cueto, Volquez and Duffy/Ventura for games 1-3, I'd feel really good that we could find another good starter between Ventura, Young, Medlen and Guthrie. One of those guys is bound to be hot. I really think Medlen will be a factor by September. I like easing him back in now, but he's got good stuff and he's a bulldog who has playoff experience.

[Why Not?]

The problem with counting on Medlen as a starter is that I'm not sure how many folks have been decent starters after 2, not 1 but 2, TJ's. Currently I want to say it's only Chris Capuano who has hardly been Ron Guidry. I know Daniel Hudson had 2 and he was a pretty up and coming pitcher, but 2 years later he's still a middle relief guy

[Raiderhater]

Originally Posted by big nasty kcnut

I like Chris Young as a playoff pitcher. My worry is we need a pitcher that will shut down shit. Because I'm still bitter about bumgardner. I don't want to fall in the same trap like last year.

Does anyone else notice anything unusual about this post?

[farmerchief]

Originally Posted by okcchief

Does anyone think the Reds would do Cueto, Bruce and Chapman for say Mondesei and Holland? Would it take more?

Why would they be interested in Holland, after seeing that monster they trotted out in the All Star Game?

[Prison Bitch]

Would love Shields but can't justify the salaries he's due.