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01-17-2015, 02:49 PM | #226 |
sorta mod-ish
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01-17-2015, 02:51 PM | #227 |
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Ok, that is some interesting data, and if you look beyond the sufrace completely supports the idea that Alex Smith holds on to the ball too long and supports the supposition that a lot of the sacks he takes are caused by him and not the offensive line.
First, let's look at the sack rates in the first 2.5 seconds. These sacks can be put fully on the OL, since they are getting beat so quickly and the QB doesn't have a prayer. Alex's sack rate is about 1.6% in the first 2.5 seconds, compared to a league average of 1.97%. He doesn't have anything close to the worst situation in the NFL in this regard, even if you allow for the fact that he uses his legs to bail him out of some situations. His passer rating in cases where he gets rid of the ball in 2.5 seconds or less is 103.4, compared to an NFL average of 96.8, again better than average. Now let's look at what happens when he holds the ball longer than 2.5 seconds. We've all seen Alex cock his arm to throw the ball (presumably because he momentarily thought he saw an opportunity) then pull the ball down. Alex's sack rate after 2.5 seconds jumps up to 16.7%, compared to a league average of 10.5%. The blame on these sacks goes increasingly on the QB. For example, when playing behind the same OL, Nick Foles had a sack rate after 2.5 seconds of 4.2% while Mark Sanchez's sack rate is more than twice as high at 9.8%. Likewise Kurt Counsins' greater than 2.5 second sack rate was much lower than RGIIIs and Charlie Whitehurst's was much lower than the other Tennessee QBs. So many of the sacks that Alex took fall squarely on his shoulders. And it's not like Smith is trading off sacks for better opportunities to throw the ball. Smith's passer rating when he holds on to the ball for 2.5 seconds or more drops to 76.3. compared to a league average of 80.8 in this situation. As he holds on the to ball longer, he gets sacked more than other NFL QBs and he becomes a worse QB than other NFL QBs. Bad things happen when he holds on to the ball. He does not see the field to find opportunities, he does not make things happen. He is best when he makes a quick read and dumps the ball, which is one of the things we criticize about him. But when he tries to do more than that, bad things happen. More than other QBs, he needs to make it a priority to get rid of the ball quickly in order to be successful. Not all QBs follow this pattern. Ben Roethlisberer, Tony Romo, and and Aaron Rodgers all have QB ratings well over 110 when they hold the ball for more than 2.5 seconds. Andrew Luck, Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Eli Manning, and Ryan Fitzpatrick all have ratings over 90 when they hold the ball. Several QBs have a higher rating when they hold the ball than when they throw it quickly. They can afford to hold on the ball. |
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01-17-2015, 02:54 PM | #228 | |
Kindness in words...
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To think that a team who is, by Chiefs Planet standards, beyond the pale of shitty, quarterbacked by a stiff who can't throw, coached by a corpulent reerun and managed by a hack who has no nose for talent, had a winning record with the toughest schedule in the NFL, beat the two best teams in the entire league and should have had home field advantage throughout the playoffs! That's actually a very good point C.E. and shows how close this team actually is to being an elite NFL team. Three positional upgrades and those are indeed wins which gives this team a significant opportunity to waltz right into the Super Bowl, which should be expected in Year Three of a new regime that knows what they are doing. I think that the Chiefs have made all the right steps in terms of progression under the Dorsey/Reid/Smith era. In Year One, they've proven they weren't the horrible team that they showed in 2012. In Year Two, they proved that wasn't a fluke by compiling a winning record against the toughest schedule in the NFL and beating the two best teams in the league. Year Three should see that next step of getting into the playoffs and winning. I can't possibly imagine why any Chief's fan, no matter how much of a pessimistic anus they were, couldn't look objectively at the beginning of the Dorsey/Reid/Smith Era and be happy with the progression. |
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01-17-2015, 02:54 PM | #229 |
Rock Chalk Jayhawks! KU!!!
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Reading this thread just proves that Reid really isn't that good of a coach. Smith is regressing is the easiest offense to run in the NFL.
Reids hand picked qb? LOL. |
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01-17-2015, 02:55 PM | #230 | |
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What should they (Dorsey/Reid) have done/what would you have suggested they have done that would have resulted in a better situation than what the team current is experiencing? |
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01-17-2015, 02:59 PM | #231 | |
You gotta kill a few people
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Link? |
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01-17-2015, 03:00 PM | #232 |
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Actually building a team that can contend for championships 3+ years down the line from when they took over in 2013 rather than the constant roster hole patching that only ensures a .500 record and wildcard round losses.
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01-17-2015, 03:03 PM | #233 | |
Can't Use That Disney Ass Name
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That's an excellent point. I just hope he does it again when we make the playoffs next year
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01-17-2015, 03:06 PM | #234 | |
Can't Use That Disney Ass Name
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Isn't that good of a coach? That's asinine. Reid is damn good coach and we're lucky to have him. We won 9 games with a terrible oline and WR core that caught 0 TDs. And we played a hard schedule and beat some good teams.
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01-17-2015, 03:06 PM | #235 | |
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Your stupidity is as expected as your posting.
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Mike Greenberg@Espngreeny I can’t fathom what it must be like to be a fan of the #Chiefs. Adopt a Chief: Jared Wiley |
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01-17-2015, 03:08 PM | #236 | |
Don't Tease Me
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2nd year - rebuild Most of the key issues with this year's team were known going into free agency and draft. Dorsey fail to address them. If he had just handled OG and WR successfully we would of made the playoffs.
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01-17-2015, 03:09 PM | #237 | |
Kindness in words...
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01-17-2015, 03:10 PM | #238 |
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Something else that's crazy. People deep throat Rivers and the Chargers so much. Their offense only scored one more TD than we did last year.
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Mike Greenberg@Espngreeny I can’t fathom what it must be like to be a fan of the #Chiefs. Adopt a Chief: Jared Wiley |
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01-17-2015, 03:13 PM | #239 | |
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Zero playoff wins in three appearances since 2008 and his winning percentage has fallen by practically 10%. Further, his teams fall apart in the second half of the season. 2013 is the high water mark for Reid.
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01-17-2015, 03:15 PM | #240 | |
Kindness in words...
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Last edited by Saccopoo; 01-17-2015 at 03:25 PM.. |
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