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01-05-2014, 03:56 PM | #2 |
NFL's #1 Ermines Fan
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The fact that records typically range from 2-14 to 14-2 in most seasons would imply that luck is not a huge factor between franchises. Talent trumps luck.
Within a franchise, luck may move a team a couple of games up or down in the win column. That's enough to have a notable impact on their season. Within a game, luck obviously plays a role, but per my theory above, it may impact the actual outcome of a game a couple of times per season. The big luck wildcard, though, is injuries. I would count this as a different category than luck in play execution. Bad luck with an injury changes the talent pool, which produces a much bigger swing. So in order, I would estimate the impacts as being: Talent - 60% Luck as it relates to injuries - 25% Luck as it relates to play execution - 15% I guess talent should include a luck aspect for talent acquisition, per the initial post. I'm not sure how to estimate the weight of that.
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01-05-2014, 03:57 PM | #3 |
Shaken. Not stirred.
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all I know is the Chiefs don't have luck.
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My dear girl, there are some things that just aren’t done. Such as, drinking Dom Perignon ’53 above the temperature of 38 degrees Fahrenheit. That’s just as bad as listening to the Beatles without earmuffs. |
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01-05-2014, 03:58 PM | #4 |
The Beast Inside Your Head
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I'd say he played a huge role yesterday.
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01-05-2014, 03:59 PM | #5 |
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Indy tanks a season and gets Lucky with Luck
Chiefs tank a season when there is shit for impact players.
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Originally Posted by Cassel's Reckoning: Matt once made a very nice play in Seattle where he spun away from a pass rusher and hit Bowe off his back foot for a first down. One of the best plays Matt has ever made. |
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01-05-2014, 04:02 PM | #6 |
Kind of a mod
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I read the other day that the NBA is considering eliminating the whole draft order based on record thing entirely and just going with a rotation to keep teams from throwing games at the end of the season. Honestly, I'm not sure why that's not more of an issue.
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01-05-2014, 04:05 PM | #7 | |
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Quote:
I truly think Indy tanked in 2011 as well, although we will never know. Smart move if they did.
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Originally Posted by Cassel's Reckoning: Matt once made a very nice play in Seattle where he spun away from a pass rusher and hit Bowe off his back foot for a first down. One of the best plays Matt has ever made. |
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01-05-2014, 04:05 PM | #8 | |
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Quote:
Chiefs do it the legit way and get screwed. Colts, did it intentionally and get rewarded. That's more then luck. That's something else. |
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01-05-2014, 04:12 PM | #9 |
Politically Incorrect
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"Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity"
Nuff said
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01-05-2014, 04:25 PM | #10 |
MVP
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The Colts tanking didn't have anything to do with luck. I am pretty sure they did it on purpose. Of course, they can't admit that but it was on purpose.
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01-05-2014, 04:58 PM | #11 |
Shit
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01-05-2014, 05:00 PM | #12 |
In Search of a Life
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Ok
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Originally Posted by Cassel's Reckoning: Matt once made a very nice play in Seattle where he spun away from a pass rusher and hit Bowe off his back foot for a first down. One of the best plays Matt has ever made. |
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01-05-2014, 05:04 PM | #13 |
Shaken. Not stirred.
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FYP. it had everything to do with Luck. capital L
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My dear girl, there are some things that just aren’t done. Such as, drinking Dom Perignon ’53 above the temperature of 38 degrees Fahrenheit. That’s just as bad as listening to the Beatles without earmuffs. |
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01-05-2014, 05:06 PM | #14 |
Shit
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01-05-2014, 05:06 PM | #15 |
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NBA is a different breed. One player can change so much in basketball compared to any other sport.
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