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01-16-2019, 02:47 PM | #1 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
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I don't have a problem with a flame out on a 3rd rounder and it's hard to really hold Hunt against anyone. But to speak to a different conversation regarding trade-ups - we missed Josh Jackson by one pick. Boy how nice would having him with a season under his belt be in 2019? Those last couple of 2nd rounders are just abysmally bad picks, IMO. And that has to be the last of those we see for a bit because you can only whiff on so many of those before you have to go into FA to fill holes. And once you do that, you can't keep as many of the Hill/Jones types around anymore.
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01-20-2019, 08:10 AM | #2 | |
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No, we don't want to do that to Mahomes for the rest of his career, but it probably behooves us to get those extensions done and hope Veach is damn good at drafting defense. We can get to the Super Bowl with a great passrush and offensive weapons out the ass. So let's try to stick to that formula as much as possible when add new players in the future. Robbing our pass rush or sacrificing the murderer's row of WRs and playmakers on offense all so we can START to rebuild our run defense will likely result in a transition year in which we don't do anything at an elite level, and we still won't be guaranteed to one day produce that effective run defense. It's dangerous. Our effective changes are just going to have to come through a change in defensive coaching. Simplifying the scheme so young players can make a greater impact earlier in their careers and putting the pieces we DO have in better positions to play well. That's going to have to be the main source of defensive improvement. |
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01-16-2019, 09:24 AM | #3 |
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I think you need to look for guys that are more filler in free agency than actual flash.
Maybe a guy on the tail end of his career or a young guy that just didn't fit where he got drafted. Shane Ray fits that profile, but if he weren't from MU, I doubt anyone would be that enamored there. Someone like Mo Wilkerson coming off an injury for a prove it deal could be interesting. |
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01-16-2019, 09:58 AM | #4 |
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Earl will probably get like 3 years 40 mil though. You could fit it in sure, but damn.
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01-16-2019, 12:47 PM | #5 |
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01-16-2019, 12:50 PM | #6 | |
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You're probably creating a situation where you definitely can't touch FA in 2020, but they kind of made that bed when they signed Watkins. I just made this on Spotrac, this is the roster only re-signing ERFA/RFA but giving Hill and Jones extensions per the recent KCCrow mock - https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/tools/ro...4165d70361fb5/ It gives $24m to play with but for that, you need to make a decision on Ford and then make tons of little re-signings like maybe bring Devey back for line depth or Sherman or DAT Question for DJ I guess - do you let Ford walk if moving to a 4-3? |
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01-16-2019, 01:31 PM | #7 | |
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He'd be utilized just fine in a 4-3 but ultimately our OLB use is so fluid that it just may not matter anymore.
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01-16-2019, 06:48 PM | #8 |
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I love Ford, but I have a hard time paying any one player that much outside of Mahomes. I guess I'm fine with it, but it's risky if he falls off or gets hurt and we are stuck with him when all the money is tied up in one player.
That is why I'm not against finding a decent replacement through trade or FA and using the cap to bring back multiple defensive players. That could mitigate the risk and make the defense better overall. If we can keep Ford and not jeopardize the future or depth, that is fine. Just something to consider. All I know is that we really have to make the most of our cap space while Mahomes is on his rookie contract. |
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01-17-2019, 09:47 AM | #9 |
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I think we would be foolish not to tag Ford, especially since he appears to be fine playing on it. You would think his agent would be pushing him hard to test the market, because as mentioned earlier there is a ton of FA money and he would get PAID.
I think teams, especially teams like the Chiefs, need to use their FA money to secure players like Hill, Jones, and Ford, and try to find some deals to add depth. |
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01-17-2019, 04:16 PM | #10 |
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Few days old now, but apparently the Chiefs are unlikely to tag Ford https://www.profootballrumors.com/20...o-tag-dee-ford
The article doesn't specify if that means he's getting a contract or walking. |
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01-17-2019, 04:37 PM | #11 |
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That 'report' (sigh...it's come to this; baselessly expounding on an uncorroborated tweet is now a 'report' for all intents and purposes) doesn't provide enough context to matter.
Because it doesn't do anything to clear up whether or not that means they're leaning towards negotiating a long-term deal or not. Does anyone here want to make a bet on whether or not he reaches the open market? Anyone at all? Of course not - because if they can't get him re-signed, there's nobody else to actually use the tag on. And if their plan is to let him walk rather than re-sign him, why on God's green earth would they not tag him and trade him? Because OF COURSE he'll have a market as a trade asset on the tag. That snippet is just pretty much useless and doesn't make any sense on its face. I am 100% certain they'll either extend him or tag him. There's no way they just let him get to FA and take a 3rd rounder in 2020 as a comp pick in exchange when they can easily get a 2nd and potentially a 1st for him in the upcoming draft.
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01-18-2019, 12:29 PM | #12 | |
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On the tag and trade point, maybe I'm just thinking how I would feel as the player but I'm just not sure it's that likely. From the players point of view, you're just limiting their market which limits their contract potentially - I don't think I'd be signing a tag until well after the draft if I was a player. Have there been many tag and trades in the last few years that I am forgetting? |
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01-18-2019, 08:10 AM | #13 |
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I'm kind of leaning towards this-
**** FA. Re-sign and extend your playmakers, let guys go that aren't worth their cap # (guys like Sorensen) and draft to re-stock. 2nd tier FA's maybe, to fill spots and compete with the young guys and draftees. Keep the core of the offense intact for the next several seasons and draft defense and o-line. |
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01-18-2019, 09:14 AM | #14 | |
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
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For instance, Houston is a great player who's been huge for us in this run...but he's not truly a unique guy at this stage in his career. Meanwhile Dee Ford has a first step and get off that nobody in the league really has. Sammy Watkins is a very good player when healthy but he doesn't have a standout tool; he's just very good in many ways. Meanwhile Tyreek Hill has Tyreek Hill speed. Chris Jones isn't exactly unique because he exists in a world where Aaron Donald is a thing. But without Aaron Donald, Chris Jones would be something of a unicorn in his own right. Target those guys who present novel matchup problems first. Get them extended and then look at how you keep the guys who do the same things as everyone else but maybe a little bit better (Fuller, Watkins, Houston, Berry). You'll be able to keep some of those guys still, but not all of them. The guys to make sure you do not lose are the ones that just create uniquely difficult matchups by virtue of some standout skill, IMO.
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01-18-2019, 10:24 AM | #15 | |
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But like I keep saying, it comes down to production per unit Salary Cap. I look back at the Sean Smith contract, and he was definitely worth 5.5 per. Is Josh Norman worth 15? I'd say resoundingly no. Even further down the list, is Talib worth 10? I'm thinking not. I'd rather get 3 Sean Smtih's than 1 Josh Norman, even if you drafted Norman. And drafting is super important because those are by far the cheapest dollars and any production at all is a huge value. But being smart with non-rookie deal money is the most important thing here. Whether you drafted them or not. Last edited by Buehler445; 01-18-2019 at 10:42 AM.. |
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