Chiefs Real talk: Can the Texans or the Faid come up big - Page 8

jettio · 12-18-2013, 05:21 PM

Even with injuries, I think the Texans beating the Broncos is less unlikely than this Texans team losing 13 straight football games.

It is unlikely, but you never know, Trindan Holiday can fumble a kick or two and with a couple of turnovers or injuries, Texans can beat them.

philfree · 12-18-2013, 05:26 PM

There is no mention on the sports channels of what has to happen for the Chiefs to win the division and get the #1 seed. Yeah it's a long shot but you'd think they would cover all the scenarios. Guess they've .already got their brackets filled out.

mnchiefsguy · 12-18-2013, 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philfree

There is no mention on the sports channels of what has to happen for the Chiefs to win the division and get the #1 seed. Yeah it's a long shot but you'd think they would cover all the scenarios. Guess they've .already got their brackets filled out.

They do. One of the ESPN segments was "Buy or Sell" on sportscenter this morning. The anchor stated that the Chiefs were "locked into the 5 seed" for the playoffs, and the question was whether the Chiefs could make it to the Superbowl (everyone said sell.)

CaliforniaChief · 12-18-2013, 05:37 PM

Denver's facing Schaub and McGloin.
We're facing Luck and Rivers.

Denver's facing Wade Phillips and Dennis Allen.
We're facing Pagano and McCoy.

The Texans and Raiders have a combined record of 6-22 and a combined point differential of -210, with a combined 16 game losing streak.

The Colts and Chargers have a combined record of 16-12 and a combined point differential of +51 with a combined 3 game winning streak.

So yeah, probably not.

**Rain Man** · 12-18-2013, 07:15 PM

I bet the Texans pull it off. Their offense will win the battle against Denver's small d. On defense, they have a bunch of pass rushers and nothing to lose by sending them all day.

lcarus · 12-18-2013, 09:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man

I bet the Texans pull it off. Their offense will win the battle against Denver's small d. On defense, they have a bunch of pass rushers and nothing to lose by sending them all day.

Agreed. Houston is gonna win this game. I already know it (psychic powers are great). The #1 seed is ours if we win out.

KC_Connection · 12-18-2013, 07:27 PM

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

Odds are at 26.4% that the Chiefs win the division. It's not easy winning on the road in the NFL.

mnchiefsguy · 12-18-2013, 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC_Connection

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

Odds are at 26.4% that the Chiefs win the division. It's not easy winning on the road in the NFL.

I was thinking around 25%, so that sounds good to me. I think Houston has the better chance to pull the upset.

**BossChief** · 12-18-2013, 09:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC_Connection

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

Odds are at 26.4% that the Chiefs win the division. It's not easy winning on the road in the NFL.

That's wayy too high, IMO.

I wouldn't think that number would be higher than 5%. We have a tough road to 13-3 and Denver can put the team on cruise control and win out. The kicker here is Peyton and the records he is gonna set over the next 2 weeks. No way does he come out flat. I wouldn't be shocked if he has over 10 td passes combined. That and home field advantage are gonna be big motivational tools.

KC_Connection · 12-18-2013, 09:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BossChief

That's wayy too high, IMO.

I wouldn't think that number would be higher than 5%. We have a tough road to 13-3 and Denver can put the team on cruise control and win out. The kicker here is Peyton and the records he is gonna set over the next 2 weeks. No way does he come out flat. I wouldn't be shocked if he has over 10 td passes combined. That and home field advantage are gonna be big motivational tools.

It's not as easy to beat bad teams in the NFL on the road as you think it is. Such losses happen all the time. I don't think it will happen this time (and the odds say it likely won't), but it isn't some unbelievable thing the Chiefs are asking for.

**OnTheWarpath15** · 12-19-2013, 09:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BossChief

That's wayy too high, IMO.

I wouldn't think that number would be higher than 5%. We have a tough road to 13-3 and Denver can put the team on cruise control and win out. The kicker here is Peyton and the records he is gonna set over the next 2 weeks. No way does he come out flat. I wouldn't be shocked if he has over 10 td passes combined. That and home field advantage are gonna be big motivational tools.

It is way too high. Not sure where those numbers are coming from, but I don't trust them.

It amazes me how we have a statistician here on board, and only about 5 of us use his website.

http://nfl-forecast.com/

and

http://files.nfl-forecast.com/

Regarding the division:

89.014% for Denver
10.986% for Kansas City

Playoff seeding for KC:

1st Seed: 9.71%
2nd Seed: 1.272%
5th Seed: 89.014%

AussieChiefsFan · 12-18-2013, 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC_Connection

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

Odds are at 26.4% that the Chiefs win the division. It's not easy winning on the road in the NFL.

I wouldn't have though it'd be nearly that high. IMO, the chances of Denver even losing a game in week 16/17 is lower than that.

KC_Connection · 12-19-2013, 03:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AussieChiefsFan

I wouldn't have though it'd be nearly that high. IMO, the chances of Denver even losing a game in week 16/17 is lower than that.

It would be one thing if we were talking about some flawless team, but Denver just had trouble scoring against and lost at home against one of the worst defenses in the league. They could certainly lose.

AussieChiefsFan · 12-19-2013, 08:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KC_Connection

It would be one thing if we were talking about some flawless team, but Denver just had trouble scoring against and lost at home against one of the worst defenses in the league. They could certainly lose.

Quite true. But the chargers are not a bad team. Houston and Oakland are a definite step down from SD, but yeah, anything can happen.

**Anyong Bluth** · 12-18-2013, 08:55 PM

I don't see them dropping 2 in a row, but as unlikely as a loss to the Raiders would be, it's a division game and Oakland had come up with a win in games against Denver in years they had no business even contemplating the idea that Denver could possibly lose that game.

12-18-2013, 05:21 PM	#1
jettio MVP Join Date: Sep 2002 Casino cash: $4504930	Even with injuries, I think the Texans beating the Broncos is less unlikely than this Texans team losing 13 straight football games. It is unlikely, but you never know, Trindan Holiday can fumble a kick or two and with a couple of turnovers or injuries, Texans can beat them. __________________ Where Ignorance is Bliss, 'Tis Folly to be Wise. __
Posts: 11,043

12-18-2013, 05:26 PM	#2
philfree Indian Twitter Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: Free Agency Casino cash: $-1993802	There is no mention on the sports channels of what has to happen for the Chiefs to win the division and get the #1 seed. Yeah it's a long shot but you'd think they would cover all the scenarios. Guess they've .already got their brackets filled out. __________________ [/SIGPIC]
Posts: 16,102

12-18-2013, 05:37 PM	#4
CaliforniaChief #RIPAce Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: So Cal Casino cash: $10695899	Denver's facing Schaub and McGloin. We're facing Luck and Rivers. Denver's facing Wade Phillips and Dennis Allen. We're facing Pagano and McCoy. The Texans and Raiders have a combined record of 6-22 and a combined point differential of -210, with a combined 16 game losing streak. The Colts and Chargers have a combined record of 16-12 and a combined point differential of +51 with a combined 3 game winning streak. So yeah, probably not.
Posts: 17,444

12-18-2013, 07:15 PM	#5
Rain Man Seize life. Be an ermine. Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $-462449 VARSITY	I bet the Texans pull it off. Their offense will win the battle against Denver's small d. On defense, they have a bunch of pass rushers and nothing to lose by sending them all day. __________________ Active fan of the greatest team in NFL history.
Posts: 145,271

12-18-2013, 07:27 PM	#7
KC_Connection Perpetual Mediocrity Join Date: Jan 2006 Casino cash: $1742783	http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds Odds are at 26.4% that the Chiefs win the division. It's not easy winning on the road in the NFL.
Posts: 57,632

12-18-2013, 08:55 PM	#15
Anyong Bluth Deus ambulans inter homines Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Chicago Casino cash: $9439340	I don't see them dropping 2 in a row, but as unlikely as a loss to the Raiders would be, it's a division game and Oakland had come up with a win in games against Denver in years they had no business even contemplating the idea that Denver could possibly lose that game. __________________ Suck it, *beautiful*
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