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02-27-2013, 10:59 AM | |
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Alex Smith Traded to Chiefs
Well, it looks like the deal is done.
https://twitter.com/intent/user?scre...w_p=tweetembed Jay Glazer @JayGlazer 49ers have completed a trade with the Chiefs for Alex Smith, tho can't be official til March 12. Chiefs really made a commitment to Smith Jay Glazer @JayGlazer Deal has been agreed upon between Chiefs and 49ers. Compensation unclear but I'm told again Chiefs have made a clear commitment to Smith. |
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03-07-2013, 03:35 PM | #3706 |
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Yup. Probably one of the better in the league at just doing that. Didn't realize a QB's job was to not be a game manager? Isn't that a QB's job?
But anything to hate on the guy. Calling a QB game manager when that's what a QB supposed to do. Manage your team to victories. You don't hear other QB's being called game manager because they don't "manage" their teams to victory. You hear Alex called a game manager, because he does manage his team to victory. |
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03-07-2013, 03:35 PM | #3707 | |
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That said, his sack% didn't go up substantially until Harbaugh took over. He was pretty reliable about getting rid of the football in 2009 and 2010. In fact, it was almost identical to Kaepernicks. But yeah, it's been unacceptably high over the last 2 seasons and that's a completely fair criticism. Over a 500 pass season, the difference between a 7% clip (reasonable) and a 9% clip is going to be 10 sacks, which is certainly not insignificant. I don't think it's quite as glaring as the folks in SF would make it sound (afterall, that's not even 1 sack/gm over an average QB), but it does make you take some pause. But I don't think it's something that is ingrained into him; he started doing it when Harbaugh arrived. If it was seemingly coached in, then I don't see why it can't be coached out.
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03-07-2013, 03:36 PM | #3708 |
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03-07-2013, 03:38 PM | #3709 |
Shit
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03-07-2013, 03:40 PM | #3710 | |
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I'm just speculating now, but how many 3rd downs did the 49er face respective to the rest of the league? An alternative thought would be that a guy that is a very high efficiency passer is going to do a fair amount of damage on 1st and 2nd downs, making 3rd down less common on a 'good' drive. Whereas on his bad drives, his 3rd downs are going to be fairly shitty situations; perhaps based in large part on the higher sack%. That I truly don't know. From there you're trying to extrapolate statistics to a predict the future and when you have a guy going to a completely different system (or comparing them to a guy coming from a completely different system), I don't think you're doing much good. Instead, you just have to look at skill sets. From a raw skill set perspective - I just don't see enough room to slip a business card between these two guys. They will make your football team exactly what it is - no better, no worse. Is that the ideal situation? No, I don't think it is at all, but it sure looks to me like the good ship Geno has sailed.
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03-07-2013, 03:42 PM | #3711 | |
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I don't watch the 49ers enough to know this: if no one is open enough for Smith, does he try to run it? That wouldn't show up as a sack or incompletion but a 1 yard run on 3rd and 6 would stop a drive just as effectively. |
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03-07-2013, 03:43 PM | #3712 |
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Of course he is.
But he's a game manager in the actual sense of the term, not the euphemism tagged to shitty quarterbacks over the last 5 years. The NFL talking heads have spent 1/2 a decade propping up lousy quarterbacks on national telecasts by calling them "game managers" when that's simply not the case. Matt Cassel was never a game manager - he was a dogshit quarterback. Matt Schaub is a game manager. Sam Bradford is a game manager. And yeah, Alex Smith is a game manager. It's better than being a shitty quarterback.
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03-07-2013, 03:44 PM | #3713 | |
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03-07-2013, 03:44 PM | #3714 |
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Chiefs release Eric Winston, confuse Branden Albert
http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports...draft/1969591/ "With the 1st selection in the 2013 NFL Draft, the Kansas City Chiefs select Luke Joeckel, Tackle ...." |
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03-07-2013, 03:45 PM | #3715 | |
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I wonder if Smith hasn't been feeling his oats a little and trying to take advantage of his athleticism (only to be pulled down before breaking the LOS) rather than just chucking it away. Like I said, it just showed up after 5 years in the league - that sure suggests a recently learned behavior. If it was learned, it can be unlearned.
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03-07-2013, 03:45 PM | #3716 |
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I don't have the exact stats right now but the number of 3rd down attempts in 2011 was within a handful (<10) between the Chiefs and 49ers (around 225, iirc). The Chiefs were 18th in 3rd down conversion % and the 49ers were 31st.
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03-07-2013, 03:46 PM | #3717 | |
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God the leash is short. Getting instructed to take sacks..
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03-07-2013, 03:47 PM | #3718 |
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03-07-2013, 03:47 PM | #3719 | |
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The Chiefs got the worst QB play in the league and were only slightly below average in 3rd down%, so that at least suggests that maybe your QB play isn't a great indicator of success on 3rd downs.
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03-07-2013, 03:48 PM | #3720 | |
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But like I said, the Geno's not walking through that door. I hate it, but it is what it is. So let's discuss what we will have for a bit. What we will have really isn't half as bad as some folks are making him out to be.
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