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Old 09-24-2021, 09:44 AM   #1
HC_Chief HC_Chief is offline
That's just f***in' stupid
 
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Originally Posted by InChiefsHeaven View Post
Rename this thread to "Still pissing and moaning about the Ravens loss". Thank you.
Might as well. This was a bad loss... worst kind of loss, really: a game we had well in hand but blew it through piss poor execution across the board.

That one is going to sting for a long time. It could **** up home field advantage; if these guys don't turn this shit around fast (learn how to stop the run, go for the jugular with a healthy lead & put these ****ing teams away, establish a consistent running attack OR realize we don't have the horses for that style of play) expect to see this thread back at the top of the forum.
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Old 09-24-2021, 09:58 AM   #2
Tonka83 Tonka83 is offline
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Originally Posted by HC_Chief View Post
Might as well. This was a bad loss... worst kind of loss, really: a game we had well in hand but blew it through piss poor execution across the board.

That one is going to sting for a long time. It could **** up home field advantage; if these guys don't turn this shit around fast (learn how to stop the run, go for the jugular with a healthy lead & put these ****ing teams away, establish a consistent running attack OR realize we don't have the horses for that style of play) expect to see this thread back at the top of the forum.

Agreed. It's not the loss as much as it is the way we lost. I seriously had flashbacks of the Bob Sutton era watching that game. A lot of frustration mixed with alcohol and a bit of PTSD last Sunday night and I'm still salty about it. A couple of good solid showings from this Defense will put it to rest I'm sure. The question is, do we get a couple of good solid showings?
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Old 09-24-2021, 01:46 PM   #3
BlackOp BlackOp is offline
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With gambling being embedded into the NFL out in the open...I'm starting to watch money lines on Chiefs games. By "money lines", I mean where the majority of betters are putting their cash...and see if there is correlation to how games are officiated and ebb-n-flow from the coaching staffs.

Some games you see a ton of flags and sometimes, very few....

So from the below chart, 85% of all cash is on the game being above 54.5 points.

So if the final score is 30-24...Vegas makes a killing. This site is saying take the under.

72% has KC winning by more than 7 points...so again a 30-24 score, Vegas cleans up. This site is saying to pick the Chiefs to beat the Chargers by more than 7...which goes against the money line.

Chargers winning obviously negates the spread all together...

The negative money line (Vegas) dictates this will be a close, average scoring game

I'm going to keep a mock tally...if I bet 100% on whichever side has the least amount of money on it. See how it averages out.

Screen-Shot-2021-09-24-at-2-17-34-PM


Last edited by BlackOp; 09-24-2021 at 01:59 PM..
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Old 09-25-2021, 11:14 PM   #4
listopencil listopencil is offline
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Originally Posted by BlackOp View Post
With gambling being embedded into the NFL out in the open...I'm starting to watch money lines on Chiefs games. By "money lines", I mean where the majority of betters are putting their cash...and see if there is correlation to how games are officiated and ebb-n-flow from the coaching staffs.

Some games you see a ton of flags and sometimes, very few....

So from the below chart, 85% of all cash is on the game being above 54.5 points.

So if the final score is 30-24...Vegas makes a killing. This site is saying take the under.

72% has KC winning by more than 7 points...so again a 30-24 score, Vegas cleans up. This site is saying to pick the Chiefs to beat the Chargers by more than 7...which goes against the money line.

Chargers winning obviously negates the spread all together...

The negative money line (Vegas) dictates this will be a close, average scoring game

I'm going to keep a mock tally...if I bet 100% on whichever side has the least amount of money on it. See how it averages out.

Screen-Shot-2021-09-24-at-2-17-34-PM

OK. Now, that sounds interesting and fun. I hope you'll do this for all of your games for the season.
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Old 09-26-2021, 03:08 PM   #5
BlackOp BlackOp is offline
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Originally Posted by BlackOp View Post
With gambling being embedded into the NFL out in the open...I'm starting to watch money lines on Chiefs games. By "money lines", I mean where the majority of betters are putting their cash...and see if there is correlation to how games are officiated and ebb-n-flow from the coaching staffs.

Some games you see a ton of flags and sometimes, very few....

So from the below chart, 85% of all cash is on the game being above 54.5 points.

So if the final score is 30-24...Vegas makes a killing. This site is saying take the under.

72% has KC winning by more than 7 points...so again a 30-24 score, Vegas cleans up. This site is saying to pick the Chiefs to beat the Chargers by more than 7...which goes against the money line.

Chargers winning obviously negates the spread all together...

The negative money line (Vegas) dictates this will be a close, average scoring game

I'm going to keep a mock tally...if I bet 100% on whichever side has the least amount of money on it. See how it averages out.

Screen-Shot-2021-09-24-at-2-17-34-PM
So I mock dropped $100 on both unders..which is essentially the Vegas/house line..

This fictitious pay out was +115...so I now have $430.00.

Did anyone notice the Chargers late TD called back on a ticky tack? It shed 4 points off the 54.5 final line which resulted in Vegas cashing in on the 85% down on the over.

The 4th down PI secured the 72% Chiefs 7 point spread..

Remember the late negated 2 point conversion in the Ravens game..for illegal man down field on a 2 yard play? That also protected the spread..

Last edited by BlackOp; 09-26-2021 at 03:14 PM..
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Old 09-24-2021, 03:13 PM   #6
InChiefsHeaven InChiefsHeaven is offline
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Originally Posted by HC_Chief View Post
Might as well. This was a bad loss... worst kind of loss, really: a game we had well in hand but blew it through piss poor execution across the board.

That one is going to sting for a long time. It could **** up home field advantage; if these guys don't turn this shit around fast (learn how to stop the run, go for the jugular with a healthy lead & put these ****ing teams away, establish a consistent running attack OR realize we don't have the horses for that style of play) expect to see this thread back at the top of the forum.
Understood, but this is a whole other thread. There are many threads for bitching about week 2. Just sayin.
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