Home Discord Chat
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > Nzoner's Game Room
Reload this Page Football The Microsoft Engine That Nailed The World Cup Is Predicting Week 4 Games
Register FAQDonate Members List Calendar

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 09-23-2014, 06:35 PM  
Tribal Warfare Tribal Warfare is offline
The Boom Boom Room
 
Tribal Warfare's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Far Beyond Comprehension
Casino cash: $712813
The Microsoft Engine That Nailed The World Cup Is Predicting Week 4 Games
The Microsoft Engine That Nailed The World Cup Is Predicting Every NFL Game — Here Are Its Picks For Week 4

Microsoft's Cortana went 10-6 in its NFL picks in Week 3.

Cortana, the Windows phone virtual assistant that's using a Bing Predicts algorithm to predict every NFL game, is now 29-19 on the year. It's a good record but not a great one.

Las Vegas favorites are 27-21 overall (not against the spread).

Nate Silver's ELO model is now 31-17. It's beating Cortana after correctly picking 12 of 16 Week 3 games.

Cortana uses all the data you'd expect to go into one of these prediction models — home-away effect, historical data, and offensive and defensive advanced stats — but it also uses a public sentiment variable that pulls in Facebook and Twitter data.

Cortana and Vegas differed on two games in Week 2, and each won one of them. Cortana wrongly picked the Browns to beat the Ravens. Vegas wrongly had the Bills as the favorite over the Chargers.

Here are Cortana's picks for Week 4 (Vegas betting lines as of Tuesday afternoon are in parentheses):

New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins — Redskins win, 64.4% chance (Redskins -3.5)
Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears — Bears win, 58.2% chance (Packers -1.5)
Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans — Bills win, 53.3% chance (Texans -3)
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts — Colts win, 68.6% chance (Colts -7.5)
Carolina Panthers vs. Baltimore Ravens — Ravens win, 65.9% chance (Ravens -3)
Detroit Lions vs. New York Jets — Lions win, >50% chance (Lions -1.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win, 78.9% chance (Steelers -7.5)
Miami Dolphins vs. Oakland Raiders — Dolphins win, 58.2% chance (Dolphins -4)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Diego Chargers — Chargers win, 83% chance (Chargers -13)
Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings — Falcons win, 56.6% chance (Falcons -3)
Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers — 49ers win, 58.2% chance (49ers -5.5)
New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys — Cowboys win, 53.3% chance (Saints -3)
New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs — Patriots win, 67.4% chance (Patriots -3.5)

Cortana and Vegas disagree on three games: Saints-Cowboys, Bills-Texans, and Bears-Packers.

Here are Cortana's results so far this year:

Week 1 — 10-6
Week 2 — 9-7
Week 3 – 10-6
Total — 29-19
Posts: 42,147
Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.Tribal Warfare is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-23-2014, 06:54 PM   #2
TimBone TimBone is offline
Mostly Ignored
 
TimBone's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jul 2013
Casino cash: $8499985
Meh...it's not doing any better pick wise than a smart football fan.
Posts: 18,096
TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.TimBone is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-23-2014, 06:55 PM   #3
ShowtimeSBMVP ShowtimeSBMVP is offline
Chiefs
 
ShowtimeSBMVP's Avatar
 

Join Date: Feb 2009
Casino cash: $3516009
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimBone View Post
Meh...it's not doing any better pick wise than a smart football fan.
This.
Posts: 23,755
ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.ShowtimeSBMVP has parlayed a career as a truck driver into debt free trailer and jon boat ownership.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-23-2014, 07:33 PM   #4
TribalElder TribalElder is offline
Arrowhead Trail of Tears
 
TribalElder's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: KansasCity
Casino cash: $2240441
Good thing that bing ****ing sucks
Posts: 29,178
TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.TribalElder is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-23-2014, 08:06 PM   #5
Psyko Tek Psyko Tek is offline
special teams
 
Psyko Tek's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Mesa AZ
Casino cash: $10015665
hell, I got 13 this week
and it was a damn good week for me
__________________
Psyko Tek

The keyboard has been drinking,
Posts: 12,018
Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.Psyko Tek is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-23-2014, 08:19 PM   #6
DrunkBassGuitar DrunkBassGuitar is offline
GDT white noise poster
 
DrunkBassGuitar's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Chonson County
Casino cash: $4228230
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimBone View Post
Meh...it's not doing any better pick wise than a smart football fan.
9-7 for week 2? That's barely better than randomly guessing
Posts: 5,333
DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.DrunkBassGuitar is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-23-2014, 10:46 PM   #7
Pasta Little Brioni Pasta Little Brioni is offline
Consuming CP souls
 

Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: U.S.A.
Casino cash: $3778880
9 and 7
10 and 6
9 and 7

Oh...my...god it's a Lil Chiefy
__________________
****Official TFWdemB Trivia Commisioner****
Posts: 68,806
Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.Pasta Little Brioni is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-24-2014, 06:01 AM   #8
Kman34 Kman34 is offline
My Mamma Says
 
Kman34's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Glass Cage Of Emotion
Casino cash: $1771786
VARSITY
Just don't ask it to play "Global Thermal Nuclear War"
Posts: 13,945
Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-24-2014, 06:20 AM
WhawhaWhat
This message has been deleted by WhawhaWhat.
Old 09-24-2014, 06:56 AM   #9
Bearcat Bearcat is offline
Would an idiot do that?
 
Bearcat's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Arizona
Casino cash: $2614931
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pasta Giant Meatball View Post
9 and 7
10 and 6
9 and 7

Oh...my...god it's a Lil Chiefy
As long as it has a chance to make the playoffs...
__________________
Posts: 55,570
Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-24-2014, 07:19 AM   #10
Three7s Three7s is offline
MVP
 

Join Date: Nov 2008
Casino cash: $10084719
This thing going by historical data is pretty stupid. That shouldn't matter.
Posts: 6,739
Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.Three7s wants to die in a aids tree fire.
     Reply With Quote
Old 09-24-2014, 08:01 AM   #11
Why Not? Why Not? is online now
In Search of a Life
 
Why Not?'s Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Kansas
Casino cash: $2958994
Worthless without ATS stats.
Posts: 21,774
Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.Why Not? is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Reply

« Previous Thread | > Nzoner's Game Room < | Next Thread »

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 04:46 PM.

Contact Us - ChiefsPlanet - Archive - Top

This is a test for a client's site.
Fort Worth Texas Process Servers
Covering Arlington, Fort Worth, Grand Prairie and surrounding communities.
Tarrant County, Texas and Johnson County, Texas.
Advertise with us!
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.