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Old 08-07-2016, 01:49 PM  
Dante84 Dante84 is offline
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Gamblers, help me make a smart bet

Raiders friend and I are entertaining a $1k bet on who ends up with the better overall record, Chiefs or Raiders.

We have very similar strength of schedule. What other factors do I need to be thinking of?

UPDATE - Two bets were made:
Bet 1: $1,000 - Whoever has the better overall record (if a tie, we look to draft order placement to determine the winner).
Bet 2: $500 - Head to Head winner (if a regular season tie, a rubber-match in the playoffs decides. If there is no 3rd game, we push).

Last edited by Dante84; 09-11-2016 at 05:44 PM..
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Old 08-07-2016, 02:02 PM   #2
jspchief jspchief is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dante84 View Post
Raiders friend and I are entertaining a $1k bet on who ends up with the better overall record, Chiefs or Raiders.

We have very similar strength of schedule. What other factors do I need to be thinking of?
Without looking at the schedule... maybe Raiders road trips? Pacific time zone team travelling to east coast/central morning games?
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Old 08-07-2016, 02:08 PM   #3
'Hamas' Jenkins 'Hamas' Jenkins is offline
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If you aren't getting odds that's an amazing bet. You might consider a hedge like the Raiders to win the AFC West.
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Old 08-07-2016, 02:29 PM   #4
OctoberFart OctoberFart is offline
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The way you guys act it should be a no brain bet.
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OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.
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Old 08-07-2016, 02:32 PM   #5
lewdog lewdog is offline
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If he's willing to give you that bet straight up, you make that bet every time.
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Old 08-07-2016, 02:35 PM   #6
OctoberFart OctoberFart is offline
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Raiders 7.5 over total wins is a lock in vegas. KC 9 wins is not a lock to go over. Take that for what it's worth.
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OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.OctoberFart < Tried to steal Andy's chili fries.
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Old 08-07-2016, 02:50 PM   #7
vailpass vailpass is offline
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Old 08-07-2016, 02:53 PM   #8
Demonpenz Demonpenz is offline
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Old 08-07-2016, 03:12 PM   #9
BlackHelicopters BlackHelicopters is offline
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Old 08-07-2016, 03:13 PM   #10
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Old 08-07-2016, 03:15 PM   #11
Coochie liquor Coochie liquor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dante84 View Post
Raiders friend and I are entertaining a $1k bet on who ends up with the better overall record, Chiefs or Raiders.

We have very similar strength of schedule. What other factors do I need to be thinking of?
They're the Fade. They haven't finished above .500 in centuries. That should be good enough. If it's not, just remember their coach is Jack Diarrhea. That should def help get you in the right frame of mind.
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Old 08-07-2016, 03:34 PM   #12
Dante84 Dante84 is offline
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Originally Posted by vailpass View Post
The only smart bet is no bet.
You must be a real hit at parties.
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Old 08-07-2016, 03:38 PM   #13
Dante84 Dante84 is offline
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Based on what we've discussed so far, Im thinking it will be finalized before Game 1 of regular season.

The hedge that's been discussed is an opt-out if a designated player (before game 1) misses "X" number of games (4? 6? 8?).

So, he would probably designate Carr, and I would probably designate Smith (or someone else?).
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Old 08-07-2016, 03:57 PM   #14
vailpass vailpass is offline
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You must be a real hit at parties.
?
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Old 08-07-2016, 04:12 PM   #15
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?
What he meant was you're boring and lame
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