Chiefs The Chiefs' Playoff Paths - Page 4

**Rain Man** · 10:38 PM

Here are all of our potential outcomes for your viewing pleasure. Scenarios A through M based on the outcomes of various combinations of games. The big numbers are our final seeding.

(Edit: Updated with a new graphic to show changes heading into Sunday on Week 16.)

UChieffyBugger · 12-16-2018, 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NJChiefsFan

I don't think you are correct. If KC is tied with Houston they have the strength of victory.

Not true, we have a better record in the AFC plus if we beat the Raiders we'd have a better record in our division than they do in theirs.

**DaFace** · 12-16-2018, 06:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UChieffyBugger

Not true, we have a better record in the AFC plus if we beat the Raiders we'd have a better record in our division than they do in theirs.

Division record is only used to break divisional tiebreakers. Conference record is what matters with the Texans. We're ahead of them there, but if we lost to the Raiders, it would get iffy.

**Rain Man** · 12-16-2018, 06:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HolyHandgernade

If I understand the tie breaker system correctly, if the Chargers lose to the Ravens and we lose to the Seahawks, we still win the #1 seed as long as we beat Oakland. Would have better Division record vs Chargers (even if they win their last game) and a better Conference record than Texans (2 losses to 3).

Of course, I would just rather win the final two games and make it easy.

But, just for scenario projection, if the Charges lose at Ravens, and we win at Seattle but lose against Raiders and Texans win out (giving each 3 Conference losses), what is the next tie breaker?

The first tiebreaker is head to head record. Somehow both teams are tied on this, so it's completely irrelevant regardless of the next two weeks.

The second tiebreaker is the record within the division. The Chargers are currently 3-2 and the Chiefs are 4-1. So they can't catch us on this one.

The third tiebreaker is record against common opponents. The Chiefs are currently 9-1 and the Chargers are 8-2. They could tie us on this one, but it doesn't matter from this point on, because the only way to tie us would lose them the first tiebreaker.

The fourth tiebreaker is conference record. The Chiefs are currently 9-2 and the Chargers are 8-2.

Edit: this is the tiebreaker against the Chargers inside the division.

NJChiefsFan · 12-16-2018, 06:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UChieffyBugger

Not true, we have a better record in the AFC plus if we beat the Raiders we'd have a better record in our division than they do in theirs.

Division record would not come in to play before strength of victory when comparing 2 teams in different divisions.

You are both correct though. I was thinking about the scenario where we beat SEA but lose to OAK. In that case we tie them with Conference record and lose strength of victory.

UChieffyBugger · 12-16-2018, 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HolyHandgernade

If I understand the tie breaker system correctly, if the Chargers lose to the Ravens and we lose to the Seahawks, we still win the #1 seed as long as we beat Oakland. Would have better Division record vs Chargers (even if they win their last game) and a better Conference record than Texans (2 losses to 3).

Of course, I would just rather win the final two games and make it easy.

But, just for scenario projection, if the Charges lose at Ravens, and we win at Seattle but lose against Raiders and Texans win out (giving each 3 Conference losses), what is the next tie breaker?

We've won nine games against AFC teams compared to the Texan's seven. They only have one more AFC left to play so we'd have the better win record in the conference.

NJChiefsFan · 12-16-2018, 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UChieffyBugger

We've won nine games against AFC teams compared to the Texan's seven. They only have one more AFC left to play so we'd have the better win record in the conference.

They have 8 wins.

**DaFace** · 12-16-2018, 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UChieffyBugger

We've won nine games against AFC teams compared to the Texan's seven. They only have one more AFC left to play so we'd have the better win record in the conference.

They've won 8.

https://www.nfl.com/standings

Hammock Parties · 12-16-2018, 06:54 PM

Feels like we're going to play Pittsburgh in the divisional round to me.

I don't think Baltimore can beat them again.

HolyHandgernade · 12-16-2018, 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UChieffyBugger

We've won nine games against AFC teams compared to the Texan's seven. They only have one more AFC left to play so we'd have the better win record in the conference.

Texans have won 8

HolyHandgernade · 12-16-2018, 06:56 PM

Looks like it goes to strength of victory, because common opponents is even.

GayFrogs · 12-16-2018, 06:57 PM

Cross off E and H

Hammock Parties · 12-16-2018, 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HolyHandgernade

Looks like it goes to strength of victory, because common opponents is even.

AFC record is the first tiebreaker.

The only team we have to worry about is San Diego.

Over Yonder · 12-16-2018, 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by idrapethat

Cross off E and H

That's what I came in here to see. Rainman, update your chart!!!

**DaFace** · 12-16-2018, 07:01 PM

I guess it's nice that we have the late game next week. At least we'll know what the scenarios are when we're going into our game.

**Rain Man** · 12-16-2018, 07:03 PM

Okay, I think it looks like this now. Is that right?

12-15-2018, 05:04 PM
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $3278491 VARSITY	The Chiefs' Playoff Paths Here are all of our potential outcomes for your viewing pleasure. Scenarios A through M based on the outcomes of various combinations of games. The big numbers are our final seeding. (Edit: Updated with a new graphic to show changes heading into Sunday on Week 16.) Attached Thumbnails Last edited by Rain Man; 12-22-2018 at 10:38 PM..
Posts: 141,476

12-16-2018, 06:54 PM	#53
Hammock Parties I'll be back. Join Date: Nov 2002 Casino cash: $4670478	Feels like we're going to play Pittsburgh in the divisional round to me. I don't think Baltimore can beat them again. __________________ Chiefs game films
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12-16-2018, 06:56 PM	#55
HolyHandgernade Integralist Join Date: May 2001 Location: Murrieta, CA Casino cash: $10006370	Looks like it goes to strength of victory, because common opponents is even. __________________ You'll see it's all a show, keep 'em laughing as you go, just remember, the last laugh is on you, and always look on the bright side of life!
Posts: 3,875

12-16-2018, 06:57 PM	#56
GayFrogs Veteran Join Date: Nov 2010 Location: Shawnee Casino cash: $10008705	Cross off E and H
Posts: 1,403

12-16-2018, 07:01 PM	#59
DaFace Kind of a mod Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land Casino cash: $1986899	I guess it's nice that we have the late game next week. At least we'll know what the scenarios are when we're going into our game.
Posts: 51,812

12-16-2018, 07:03 PM	#60
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $3278491 VARSITY	Okay, I think it looks like this now. Is that right? Attached Thumbnails __________________ I'm putting random letters here as a celebration of free speech: xigrakgrah misorojeq rkemeseit. Last edited by Rain Man; 12-16-2018 at 07:43 PM..
Posts: 141,476