Lynch just upset Ole Miss, coming back from down 14 to throw fro 384 yards and three touchdowns. Baller.
Scouts: Lynch could be 'big time', Coleman like Colts' Dorsett
By Lance Zierlein
NFL Media draft analyst
Published: Oct. 21, 2015 at 12:12 p.m. Updated: Oct. 21, 2015 at 01:37 p.m.
NFL Media analyst Lance Zierlein is constantly talking to NFL and college sources about players in the college game. In this space each week, Zierlein will share some of what NFL folks are discussing in their circles.
The scoop: "Paxton Lynch is moving up. I need to study him more, but guys with his size that can move like he does -- he has a chance to be big time." -- NFC area scout on Memphis' junior QB
The skinny: Before the season, I noted that Lynch had the size, arm and athleticism that teams look for, but that he needed to hit the explosive plays at a higher clip. Lynch has done just that this season. He had 26 passes of 25-plus yards in 413 attempts (6 percent of his throws) last season, but those numbers have risen considerably this season with 18 throws of 25-plus yards in 199 attempts (9 percent of his throws). At 6-foot-7, Lynch is surprisingly athletic outside of the pocket and his arm talent is definitely not in question. Lynch has shown considerable growth as a quarterback over the last three seasons and his stock will be highly discussed whenever he decides to enter the draft.
NFL scouts saw exactly what they wanted from Memphis quarterback Paxton Lynch in a 37-24 upset of No. 13 Ole Miss on Saturday -- the Tigers' first win over Ole Miss since 2004 and first victory over a ranked opponent in nearly 20 years.
After falling behind 14-0, Memphis took advantage of several Ole Miss mistakes and scored 31 straight points en route the the victory, led by their junior QB against a fast SEC defense. Lynch finished 39 of 53 for 384 yards (his fifth straight 300-yard game), three touchdowns and an interception.
Entering the season, NFL scouts viewed Lynch as an intriguing prospect, but have yet to be sold because most of his production and positive tape have come against unimpressive competition. A year ago against Ole Miss, Memphis managed three points and Lynch completed 41.9 percent of his passes for 81 yards, one interception and no touchdowns, putting doubt in the minds of NFL evaluators. But it was the opposite this season as the Rebels made the trip to Memphis and the defense didn't have an answer for Lynch.
Lynch jumps off the screen with his size (6-foot-6, 230 pounds) and arm to make all the necessary throws. He operates well within Memphis' offense, which includes a lot of wide receiver screens and in-breaking routes. But he also was consistent down the field, showing velocity and pinpoint accuracy, finishing 12 of 15 for 141 yards on third down. Most quarterbacks his size are awkward runners, but Lynch is athletic enough to climb and slide in the pocket and move his throwing platform with defenders in hot pursuit.
Ole Miss didn't go down without a fight, particularly from junior WR Laquon Treadwell, who set a new career-best with 13 catches for 131 yards and one touchdown. Even when covered, he's not because of his size, hand strength and catching radius to physically dominate defensive backs. Treadwell always picks up more yardage than he should after the catch because of his power and athleticism, which is why he's the clear favorite to be the first wide receiver drafted in April.
As for Ole Miss' other projected first-rounder, junior DT Robert Nkemdiche left in the second quarter because of a concussion. Injuries happen, but Nkemdiche's head injury occurred while he was on offense, which will lead to criticism of Rebels coach Hugh Freeze.
Lynch isn't a flawless prospect; he needs to work on his footwork, touch and continue to add weight. But with continued development, Lynch could be this year's version of Blake Bortles if he declares -- a passing prospect from a non-power-five conference who checks a lot of boxes for NFL evaluators in an average quarterback class.
10-22-2015, 02:03 PM
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