Walter Football is at it again

[Misplaced_Chiefs_Fan]

Poor Walter - still doesn't like the Chiefs.
Even when he says the Ravens have no chance, he still has to point out all the flaws in our "overrated" team.


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Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) at Baltimore Ravens (4-9)
Line: Chiefs by 7.5. Total: 41.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -5.
Walt's Calculated Line: Chiefs -6.
Sunday, Dec 20, 1:00 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.


BALTIMORE OFFENSE: The Ravens made some news Monday by signing Ryan Mallett, who agreed to a contract that allows for 14 missed practices because of broken alarms. It was quite the deal for Mallett, who won't have to worry about being late very often.

In all seriousness, the Mallett addition was first seen as a sign that Matt Schaub wouldn't be available for this contest, but Baltimore simply wanted Mallett to groom him as a backup of the future. It'll be either Schaub or Jimmy Clausen in this matchup, which means pick-sixes or checkdowns. It won't matter very much against a ferocious Kansas City defense that has clamped down on bad offenses quite often recently. Tamba Hali and the emerging Dee Ford are going to completely disrupt Baltimore's offensive rhythm.

The Ravens' only hope is to get the ball early and often to Buck Allen. Wait, I just realized how dumb that sounded. Scratch that, Baltimore has no hope. The Chiefs are tied for eighth versus the run in terms of YPC, and over the past month, they've surrendered just 3.13 YPC.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE:The Ravens have a well-documented liability on this side of the ball. Their secondary has been in shambles all year, and a lacking pass rush doesn't help matters. However, this might not be the worst matchup for them because Alex Smith doesn't have a habit of connecting on deep passes downfield. In fact, Smith was intercepted on a long try to Jeremy Maclin against the Chargers, as his pass was predictably underthrown.

Smith will have some success dinking and dunking, and he'll also pick up some first downs with his legs. However, there is some concern in this regard, as Baltimore defends tight ends extremely well. Smith may not be able to connect with Travis Kelce all that much, which could force some punts.

The Chiefs, of course, will attempt to establish the run. They may not have Spencer Ware, but that's fine because Charcandrick West can handle the workload on his own. Having said that, West may not have the success that most anticipate. Remember when I said the Chiefs were tied for eighth against the rush? The team they're tied with is Baltimore.

RECAP: The Ravens are another team that will be looking to get back to basics following an embarrassing loss. It's a fair point to wonder if they can actually do that, given the number of injuries they've sustained, but there's no question that they'll be battling a team far worse than Seattle this week. That'll give Baltimore a chance to hang around, and it's worth noting that before the Seattle contest, the Ravens hadn't lost by more than eight points to anyone all year.

As for the Chiefs, they're a very overrated team right now. They could've easily lost their previous two games, and I don't think they'll be completely focused here. Thus, I'm picking Baltimore, but I can't say I have much confidence in the selection; I don't really feel like wagering any money on either Clausen or Schaub unless it's against another bad team (like the Dolphins back in Week 13.)

WEDNESDAY THOUGHTS: This spread is falling a bit to -7 -115 or -120, indicating that there's sharp money on Baltimore. It's too early to say for sure, but there's no way the pros will be on Kansas City. This line is too large.


The Psychology. Edge: Ravens.

I don't think the Ravens will have Kansas City's full attention. They'll be looking to get things right following a blowout loss.

The Vegas. Edge: Ravens.

Everyone is betting the Chiefs, of course.
• Percentage of money on Kansas City: 82% (5,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
• John Harbaugh is 9-3 ATS following a loss of 10+.
• Opening Line: Chiefs -7.5.
• Opening Total: 43.
• Weather: .


Week 15 NFL Pick: Chiefs 16, Ravens 10
Ravens +7.5 (0 Units)
Under 41.5 (0 Units)


Read more at http://walterfootball.com/nflpicks20...0xVf2yuypWl.99

[Eleazar]

What a tool

[Sandy Vagina]

This is good news for us. WalterF is like the Claynus of the draft world. Butthurt and forever wrong!

[DJ's left nut]

Yeah, the guy's a ****stain.

Buuuuuuuuuut.......

He makes a valid point regarding the team's focus. There's a reason it's so hard to go on long winning streaks in the NFL; it takes an otherworldly mental edge to win games week after week after week.

I don't feel like the Chiefs were lacking that in Oakland (Travis Kelce excluded), but I do think they were against SD. Now if we're lucky that was one of those teachable moment games where it slaps them back into reality and they come out this week with renewed sharpness.

But it seems to me that most long winning streaks tend to end after a close W prolongs it. The Chiefs made a TON of mental errors last week. They were arguably more sloppy in that W than they were in some of their earlier Ls. They physically dominated the Chargers but just couldn't seem to stay out of their own way.

That shit will catch up to them. If they didn't learn a valuable lesson last week at home, they could let this one trip them up on the road.

[mdchiefsfan]

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Yeah, the guy's a ****stain.

Buuuuuuuuuut.......

He makes a valid point regarding the team's focus. There's a reason it's so hard to go on long winning streaks in the NFL; it takes an otherworldly mental edge to win games week after week after week.

I don't feel like the Chiefs were lacking that in Oakland (Travis Kelce excluded), but I do think they were against SD. Now if we're lucky that was one of those teachable moment games where it slaps them back into reality and they come out this week with renewed sharpness.

But it seems to me that most long winning streaks tend to end after a close W prolongs it. The Chiefs made a TON of mental errors last week. They were arguably more sloppy in that W than they were in some of their earlier Ls. They physically dominated the Chargers but just couldn't seem to stay out of their own way.

That shit will catch up to them. If they didn't learn a valuable lesson last week at home, they could let this one trip them up on the road.

Couldn't agree more. I've been saying for some time that we need a loss from Pitt and NYJ to give us some breathing room. I really hope that last game gives them the kick in the ass they need, but it tends to happen after losses more frequently.

[Bowser]

Walter is pretty amazing. I've never seen a national columnist guy just try to will a particular team to lose every. single. week.

Did Marty once **** his girlfriend, too?

[Bowser]

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Yeah, the guy's a ****stain.

Buuuuuuuuuut.......

He makes a valid point regarding the team's focus. There's a reason it's so hard to go on long winning streaks in the NFL; it takes an otherworldly mental edge to win games week after week after week.

I don't feel like the Chiefs were lacking that in Oakland (Travis Kelce excluded), but I do think they were against SD. Now if we're lucky that was one of those teachable moment games where it slaps them back into reality and they come out this week with renewed sharpness.

But it seems to me that most long winning streaks tend to end after a close W prolongs it. The Chiefs made a TON of mental errors last week. They were arguably more sloppy in that W than they were in some of their earlier Ls. They physically dominated the Chargers but just couldn't seem to stay out of their own way.

That shit will catch up to them. If they didn't learn a valuable lesson last week at home, they could let this one trip them up on the road.

Maybe they were looking past the Chargers, maybe it was the shit weather, but the Chiefs did not look interested to be playing that game for the majority of it. I hope you're right saying it was a teachable moment. I hope Andy opened up a shoe store in some asses over that game.

[DJ's left nut]

Originally Posted by Bowser

Maybe they were looking past the Chargers, maybe it was the shit weather, but the Chiefs did not look interested to be playing that game for the majority of it. I hope you're right saying it was a teachable moment. I hope Andy opened up a shoe store in some asses over that game.

Something I've noticed about Sean Smith - if he's not dancing, he's going to play poorly.

In that Bills game, the dude was stoic and bundled up the whole time. He looked miserable and appeared to be a guy that really didn't want to play. Sho 'nuff, the first half was as poorly as he's played in KC.

Last week he was fired up and dancing during warmups again.

I'd imagine there's no way to see it on the TV, but if Smith's dancing, he's going to ball out. Mentality means a shitload in the NFL.

[mdchiefsfan]

Originally Posted by DJ's left nut

Something I've noticed about Sean Smith - if he's not dancing, he's going to play poorly.

In that Bills game, the dude was stoic and bundled up the whole time. He looked miserable and appeared to be a guy that really didn't want to play. Sho 'nuff, the first half was as poorly as he's played in KC.

Last week he was fired up and dancing during warmups again.

I'd imagine there's no way to see it on the TV, but if Smith's dancing, he's going to ball out. Mentality means a shitload in the NFL.

Someone needs to wave a sign on his side of the field reminding him of his pending Free Agency. If that doesn't put some pep in his step, nothing will.

[Bowser]

If Dorsey can break his trend and sign Sean Smith to an extension....hoo boy would our secondary look sick next season, especially considering the return of Phillip Gaines.....

[Mav]

Originally Posted by Bowser

Walter is pretty amazing. I've never seen a national columnist guy just try to will a particular team to lose every. single. week.

Did Marty once **** his girlfriend, too?

You are assuming this twat tart has a girlfriend?

[staylor26]

Originally Posted by Bowser

If Dorsey can break his trend and sign Sean Smith to an extension....hoo boy would our secondary look sick next season, especially considering the return of Phillip Gaines.....

If healthy (and Berry is re-signed) that's the best secondary in the NFL and it's not even close.

[Halfcan]

Originally Posted by Bowser

Walter is pretty amazing. I've never seen a national columnist guy just try to will a particular team to lose every. single. week.

Did Marty once **** his girlfriend, too?

His spread from the 2 Chargers games were off by 70 plus points. I don't see how he can make a living putting out this rubbish and offering betting advice. He is like a broken clock-only right twice a day.

[KChiefs1]

Originally Posted by Misplaced_Chiefs_Fan

Poor Walter - still doesn't like the Chiefs.

Even when he says the Ravens have no chance, he still has to point out all the flaws in our "overrated" team.





--------------------------------------------------------------------------------





Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) at Baltimore Ravens (4-9)

Line: Chiefs by 7.5. Total: 41.5.

Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -5.

Walt's Calculated Line: Chiefs -6.

Sunday, Dec 20, 1:00 ET

Comment on this game



The Game. Edge: Chiefs.





BALTIMORE OFFENSE: The Ravens made some news Monday by signing Ryan Mallett, who agreed to a contract that allows for 14 missed practices because of broken alarms. It was quite the deal for Mallett, who won't have to worry about being late very often.



In all seriousness, the Mallett addition was first seen as a sign that Matt Schaub wouldn't be available for this contest, but Baltimore simply wanted Mallett to groom him as a backup of the future. It'll be either Schaub or Jimmy Clausen in this matchup, which means pick-sixes or checkdowns. It won't matter very much against a ferocious Kansas City defense that has clamped down on bad offenses quite often recently. Tamba Hali and the emerging Dee Ford are going to completely disrupt Baltimore's offensive rhythm.



The Ravens' only hope is to get the ball early and often to Buck Allen. Wait, I just realized how dumb that sounded. Scratch that, Baltimore has no hope. The Chiefs are tied for eighth versus the run in terms of YPC, and over the past month, they've surrendered just 3.13 YPC.



KANSAS CITY OFFENSE:The Ravens have a well-documented liability on this side of the ball. Their secondary has been in shambles all year, and a lacking pass rush doesn't help matters. However, this might not be the worst matchup for them because Alex Smith doesn't have a habit of connecting on deep passes downfield. In fact, Smith was intercepted on a long try to Jeremy Maclin against the Chargers, as his pass was predictably underthrown.



Smith will have some success dinking and dunking, and he'll also pick up some first downs with his legs. However, there is some concern in this regard, as Baltimore defends tight ends extremely well. Smith may not be able to connect with Travis Kelce all that much, which could force some punts.



The Chiefs, of course, will attempt to establish the run. They may not have Spencer Ware, but that's fine because Charcandrick West can handle the workload on his own. Having said that, West may not have the success that most anticipate. Remember when I said the Chiefs were tied for eighth against the rush? The team they're tied with is Baltimore.



RECAP: The Ravens are another team that will be looking to get back to basics following an embarrassing loss. It's a fair point to wonder if they can actually do that, given the number of injuries they've sustained, but there's no question that they'll be battling a team far worse than Seattle this week. That'll give Baltimore a chance to hang around, and it's worth noting that before the Seattle contest, the Ravens hadn't lost by more than eight points to anyone all year.



As for the Chiefs, they're a very overrated team right now. They could've easily lost their previous two games, and I don't think they'll be completely focused here. Thus, I'm picking Baltimore, but I can't say I have much confidence in the selection; I don't really feel like wagering any money on either Clausen or Schaub unless it's against another bad team (like the Dolphins back in Week 13.)



WEDNESDAY THOUGHTS: This spread is falling a bit to -7 -115 or -120, indicating that there's sharp money on Baltimore. It's too early to say for sure, but there's no way the pros will be on Kansas City. This line is too large.





The Psychology. Edge: Ravens.



I don't think the Ravens will have Kansas City's full attention. They'll be looking to get things right following a blowout loss.



The Vegas. Edge: Ravens.



Everyone is betting the Chiefs, of course.

• Percentage of money on Kansas City: 82% (5,000 bets)





The Trends. Edge: Ravens.

• John Harbaugh is 9-3 ATS following a loss of 10+.

• Opening Line: Chiefs -7.5.

• Opening Total: 43.

• Weather: .





Week 15 NFL Pick: Chiefs 16, Ravens 10

Ravens +7.5 (0 Units)

Under 41.5 (0 Units)





Read more at http://walterfootball.com/nflpicks20...0xVf2yuypWl.99

I hope he has been betting against the Chiefs.

[big nasty kcnut]

What a bitch.