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01-12-2016, 09:19 PM | Topic Starter |
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Late night bullshit: Fivethirtyeight.com says #NEvsKC is a coin flip.
Some things I read on 538 today:
1. They give us the THIRD BEST chance at winning the Super Bowl, at a bullish 14%, trailing the Panthers (bearish at 18%) and the Cardinals (static at 16%). The Broncos are static at 14% and the Patriots are a bearish 11%. 2. They give us the THIRD BEST "elo" rating (essentially weighting our team's talent by grading victories/losses, margin of victories, and opponent talent level). 3. Third -- they claim New England is the favorite to win the game using whatever advanced metrics they employ, giving them only a 51% chance to KC's 49% to win. 4. The Chiefs, therefore, have a 49% chance to win (again, just according to 538), a 27% chance to advance to the Super Bowl, and a 14% chance to win it all. Only Denver, at 32%, has better odds to reach the Super Bowl in the AFC. The plot thickens, does it not! |
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01-12-2016, 09:20 PM | #2 |
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Print'm?
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01-12-2016, 09:25 PM | #3 |
You Sweetie!
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The plot thickens bud - it sure does!!
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01-12-2016, 09:25 PM | #4 |
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01-12-2016, 09:26 PM | #5 |
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How can NE be 51% when nearly everyone else has them higher?
If Nate truly believes this, I hope he has a way to take the margin.... That's a big ass margin. Other sites have NE at 66%. There could be money to be made here boyz
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01-12-2016, 09:34 PM | #6 |
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01-12-2016, 09:36 PM | #7 |
Life is changing..
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538= fatty gopro gif x 10
I don't want to take a shit all over your thread though, brah. |
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01-12-2016, 10:15 PM | #8 |
You Sweetie!
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01-12-2016, 10:24 PM | #9 |
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