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06-28-2015, 06:09 PM | #571 | |
Debunking your bullshit
Join Date: Aug 2002
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Quote:
If it was that easy to replace him, he'd be replaced. If it was so easy to have a 5th starter with a 3.00 ERA, more teams would have them. |
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06-28-2015, 06:18 PM | #572 |
The talking stonehead
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Guthrie is a great option to have. He's a veteran who can get the job done, but if Vargas Duffy and Ventura are all healthy and we trade for a starting pitcher I don't think anyone will be too sad to see him pushed out.
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06-28-2015, 07:38 PM | #573 |
Future NBA Finals MVP
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I dont see any reason to leave SPs in past yhe 2nd time theyve faced the order. It can be proven, each time a SP faces the order again they get less and less effective especially on the 3rd time around. I think if you plan for that, you can have more effective pitching overall by carrying more relievers and utilizing them more.
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06-28-2015, 07:51 PM | #574 |
Damnit Peg
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Very nice 3 game sweep in Oakland.. let's 2 out of 3 in Houston.
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06-28-2015, 08:01 PM | #575 |
Supporter
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they said on 810 after the game that the Royals have a 76% chance of making the playoffs which is the highest chance in the AL. For whatever reason we only have a 9% chance of winning the WS which is the lowest of any team or something like that.
In the NL the Cards and Dodgers both have a 99% and 96% chance respectively of making the playoffs |
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06-28-2015, 08:02 PM | #576 |
I’m a Mahomo!
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Cleveland lost their doubleheader today.
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06-28-2015, 08:28 PM | #577 |
Veteran
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Niiice... last year how many games down were we at the All Star break, 7.5? Remember we almost overtook Detriot.
But I've heard over the years that we are a 2nd half team... so if we're 16 games over in the first half, I can't WAIT for the second! |
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06-28-2015, 09:21 PM | #578 | |
Debunking your bullshit
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Quote:
Don't know how they come up with the 9%, unless the model just assumes the Cards are winning. |
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06-28-2015, 11:14 PM | #579 | |
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Quote:
However, fangraphs has an alternate model (under "season to date") where there are no preconceived notions and it just looks at your 2015 stats and presumes you are every bit as good or bad as those stats say you are, with no weight given to preseason projections. THAT model says the Royals have a 86% chance of making the playoffs, a 19.6% chance of defending their AL championship, and a 9.3% chance of winning the world series.
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06-29-2015, 09:15 AM | #580 | |
M-I-Z-Z-O-U
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Quote:
Basically everything the Royals are doing flies in the face of the Fangraphs models.
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06-29-2015, 12:50 PM | #581 |
Banned
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06-29-2015, 01:38 PM | #582 |
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I do like their season to date stats model. Its very simple, it just assumes that your current season stats are real and simulates the rest of the season based on what the teams have done so far, not what they "should have done".
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07-08-2015, 12:48 PM | #583 |
Forever Royal
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Didn't mean to bump this.
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