Chiefs The way I understand the playoff picture... - Page 8

Direckshun · 12-02-2014, 08:04 AM

This Arizona game is a gravy game. It's not critical to our chances at a playoff spot, but it would really help.

Due to our losses the past two weeks, we need to get to ten wins, and we need to run up the conference win record. I've been noodling down about a dozen scenarios, and the Chiefs must beat Oakland, Pittsburgh, and San Diego to get to 8-4 in AFC play, which would make the Chiefs virtually tie-breaker proof against any AFC wild card team.

Those wins get us to 10-5, and we can honestly drop the Arizona game at that point. 11-5 gets us in, of course, but 10-6 with wins over the Dolphins and Steelers almost guarantees we're in.

The Browns are imploding, the Chargers are hitting a buzzsaw of games at the end of their season. I expect both of them to fade to 9-7 or worse (I have them both at 8-8), which puts them out of contention.

The Ravens, more than anybody, have been bolstered by slaughtering cupcakes in the NFCS. The Ravens are 7-5 with a game in Miami this week that will likely be their version of KC-Pittsburgh, and three winnable games to close out the season. That's probably a 10-6 record. A 10-6 Chiefs team has a very easy tie-breaker with them because our conference record will have trounced theirs.

The most obvious threats here are the Bengals, the Dolphins, and the Steelers. Beating the Steelers mean we have any tie-breaker you want over two of those teams. And I think the Bengals are waltzing to the AFCN title.

This is a bit jumbled, but there's virtually no world where we lose to Oakland, Pittsburgh, and/or San Diego and survive to the postseason. But we can lose against the Cards and still comfortably get there by winning all three.

Mojo Rising · 12-03-2014, 07:14 PM

Considering Philip Rivers is 30-6 in the month of December, history tells us that the Chargers will do better than your 0-4 or 1-3 prediction.

They have the Bieber curse on the Pats working for them this weekend.

NWTF · 12-03-2014, 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TEX

I hear ya but I have KC going 2-2 and finishing 9-7 and missing the playoffs. This team has one more kick in the nuts to dish out this season and I think that happens the last game. KC will be positioned for a "WIN & You're IN" scenario against SD. I think SD beats KC at Arrowhead to keep KC out of the playoffs. BECAUSE CHIEFS!

The Bolts aren't going anywhere either as they too finish 9-7, but you know how misery loves company...Its gonna go down EXACTLY like it did in '99 when the Raiders came in week 17 and beat the Chiefs to keep them out of the playoffs. Again - BECAUSE CHIEFS!

I think thats very likely.

Chiefs will rebound against Arizona, which is actually the least important of their remaining games, but they will win this one and show Drew Stanton what they like to do to backup QBs. If Palmer was playing Chiefs loose, but hes not.

Pittsburgh is a hard one to pick but Im going with Pittsburgh for now.

Chiefs beat Oakland this time but cant put the drubbing on the Raiders everyone else is doing.

And as of right now I dont see the Chiefs beating San DIego. Going by their schedule San Diego could well be eliminated by this game, but, going by their schedule this is the best chance for a win they have left.

**Easy 6** · 12-03-2014, 07:24 PM

I'm honestly not even worried about the playoffs, because I dont see us getting there... these guys had it all but wrapped up and dropped it in very poor fashion two weeks in a row, its hard to be optimistic about a team lacking the killer instinct to take care of business in that scenario.

Bring on the draft and yet another offseason of eternally springing hope.

NJChiefsFan · 12-03-2014, 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ram29jackson

and KC beating the Pats was believable, right ?

Considering how both teams were playing at the time, yeah it was very believable. If that game was played now it would probably look a lot different. This isn't the time to be playing GB and there really isn't any good time to go into Denver. Yes it's the NFL, but Buffalo surviving those two games are less likely than KC winning at home against a NE team that was struggling and just getting Gronk back.

Reerun_KC · 12-03-2014, 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Easy 6

I'm honestly not even worried about the playoffs, because I dont see us getting there... these guys had it all but wrapped up and dropped it in very poor fashion two weeks in a row, its hard to be optimistic about a team lacking the killer instinct to take care of business in that scenario.

Bring on the draft and yet another offseason of eternally springing hope.

This. Never go full chiefs.

12-02-2014, 08:04 AM
Direckshun __ Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Springpatch Casino cash: $4243447	The way I understand the playoff picture... This Arizona game is a gravy game. It's not critical to our chances at a playoff spot, but it would really help. Due to our losses the past two weeks, we need to get to ten wins, and we need to run up the conference win record. I've been noodling down about a dozen scenarios, and the Chiefs must beat Oakland, Pittsburgh, and San Diego to get to 8-4 in AFC play, which would make the Chiefs virtually tie-breaker proof against any AFC wild card team. Those wins get us to 10-5, and we can honestly drop the Arizona game at that point. 11-5 gets us in, of course, but 10-6 with wins over the Dolphins and Steelers almost guarantees we're in. The Browns are imploding, the Chargers are hitting a buzzsaw of games at the end of their season. I expect both of them to fade to 9-7 or worse (I have them both at 8-8), which puts them out of contention. The Ravens, more than anybody, have been bolstered by slaughtering cupcakes in the NFCS. The Ravens are 7-5 with a game in Miami this week that will likely be their version of KC-Pittsburgh, and three winnable games to close out the season. That's probably a 10-6 record. A 10-6 Chiefs team has a very easy tie-breaker with them because our conference record will have trounced theirs. The most obvious threats here are the Bengals, the Dolphins, and the Steelers. Beating the Steelers mean we have any tie-breaker you want over two of those teams. And I think the Bengals are waltzing to the AFCN title. This is a bit jumbled, but there's virtually no world where we lose to Oakland, Pittsburgh, and/or San Diego and survive to the postseason. But we can lose against the Cards and still comfortably get there by winning all three.
Posts: 59,301

12-03-2014, 07:14 PM	#106
Mojo Rising Veteran Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: OC Casino cash: $10009560	Considering Philip Rivers is 30-6 in the month of December, history tells us that the Chargers will do better than your 0-4 or 1-3 prediction. They have the Bieber curse on the Pats working for them this weekend.
Posts: 1,792

12-03-2014, 07:24 PM	#108
Easy 6 pie is never free Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: the drivers seat Casino cash: $3557775	I'm honestly not even worried about the playoffs, because I dont see us getting there... these guys had it all but wrapped up and dropped it in very poor fashion two weeks in a row, its hard to be optimistic about a team lacking the killer instinct to take care of business in that scenario. Bring on the draft and yet another offseason of eternally springing hope.
Posts: 91,845