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Old 01-12-2016, 09:19 PM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Late night bullshit: Fivethirtyeight.com says #NEvsKC is a coin flip.
Some things I read on 538 today:

1. They give us the THIRD BEST chance at winning the Super Bowl, at a bullish 14%, trailing the Panthers (bearish at 18%) and the Cardinals (static at 16%). The Broncos are static at 14% and the Patriots are a bearish 11%.

2. They give us the THIRD BEST "elo" rating (essentially weighting our team's talent by grading victories/losses, margin of victories, and opponent talent level).

3. Third -- they claim New England is the favorite to win the game using whatever advanced metrics they employ, giving them only a 51% chance to KC's 49% to win.

4. The Chiefs, therefore, have a 49% chance to win (again, just according to 538), a 27% chance to advance to the Super Bowl, and a 14% chance to win it all. Only Denver, at 32%, has better odds to reach the Super Bowl in the AFC.

The plot thickens, does it not!
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Old 01-12-2016, 09:20 PM   #2
teedubya teedubya is offline
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Old 01-12-2016, 09:25 PM   #3
Simply Red Simply Red is offline
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The plot thickens bud - it sure does!!
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Old 01-12-2016, 09:25 PM   #4
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Simply Red View Post
The plot thickens bud - it sure does!!
Something else is thickening.

Shall we boogie on down to the sauna?
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Old 01-12-2016, 09:26 PM   #5
Ming the Merciless Ming the Merciless is offline
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How can NE be 51% when nearly everyone else has them higher?

If Nate truly believes this, I hope he has a way to take the margin.... That's a big ass margin.


Other sites have NE at 66%.


There could be money to be made here boyz
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Old 01-12-2016, 09:34 PM   #6
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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Peter King: Alex Smith is not a game manager.

http://mmqb.si.com/mmqb/2016/01/12/t...and-alex-smith
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Old 01-12-2016, 09:36 PM   #7
TLO TLO is offline
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538= fatty gopro gif x 10

I don't want to take a shit all over your thread though, brah.
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Old 01-12-2016, 10:15 PM   #8
Simply Red Simply Red is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Li'l Smokey View Post
538= fatty gopro gif x 10

I don't want to take a shit all over your thread though, brah.
That's very sweet of you to post - very considerate.
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Old 01-12-2016, 10:24 PM   #9
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