Realistic expectations for Patrick Mahomes

[KChiefs1]

Originally Posted by RustShack

5,000 yards.

Good call

[Buehler445]

I expect him to do some amazing things. Like other worldly shit that mere mortals can’t even dream of.

I also expect some really bad INTs and miss some easy throws. If he does take some of the check downs Alex threw he will miss some because his feet aren’t as good as Alex’s.

I then expect a bunch of asshats to melt down about it.

[Reerun_KC]

Originally Posted by Buehler445

I expect him to do some amazing things. Like other worldly shit that mere mortals can’t even dream of.

I also expect some really bad INTs and miss some easy throws. If he does take some of the check downs Alex threw he will miss some because his feet aren’t as good as Alex’s.

I then expect a bunch of asshats to melt down about it.

**** Alex smith and the wasted years of him being a chief.

[ModSocks]

4K yards, no doubt. TD's/Ints? I'm not so certain. But 4K yards for sure.

[Nickhead]

i expect numbers slightly better than the previous years starter. maybe a couple more int's, but pats 44/10 ratio suggests he's not as reckless as some say?

more than 4000 yards passing without a doubt though. i see kc relying on the run game heavily to set up play action more, at least to start the year.

[Coochie liquor]

I don’t know what to expect. We’ve never been in this position during my fandom. I’m just excited about the ride!!

[Otter]

I don't know. If any of us did we would hopping on a plane to Vegas, bet accordingly and become millionaires in December.

The kid has all the physical tools and the personality to compliment the aforementioned. I'm as happy as a clam he's going to be starting and given the chance to take over the Chiefs and possibly become a star in the NFL that gets the calls because he draws in the fans and $$$.

All I ask in return for my 20 years of fandom is diplomatic immunity to punch band wagon fans in the face and that he tighten up that haircut dammit!!!



Actually, he can keep the haircut if he pulls off the rest of the deal.

[CoMoChief]

4000yds, 26/14

Although he may exceed this because I have a feeling the Chiefs are going to be in some track meets this season.

Good chance the D isn't going to be able to stop shit this first yr of the Mahomes era.

[GMitch]

Originally Posted by CoMoChief

4000yds, 26/14

Although he may exceed this because I have a feeling the Chiefs are going to be in some track meets this season.

Good chance the D isn't going to be able to stop shit this first yr of the Mahomes era.

I don't know about numbers but I think we'll need a lot of scoring/yards because the defense will suck this year. We could be the best offense in the league and still end up 10-6. I hope I'm wrong.

[WhiteWhale]

Here's what I expect.

Over 3,500 yards.

Over 20 TD's.

Under 20 interceptions

over 7.2 yards per attempt.

10 or more wins.

Honestly, I think he'll exceed most of those numbers. In my mind, that's sandbagging. Maybe I'm overhyped, but I don't think so.

I honestly can't think of the last time a first year starter was in such an ideal situation.

[Fat Elvis]

Originally Posted by WhiteWhale

Here's what I expect.

Over 3,500 yards.

Over 20 TD's.

Under 20 interceptions

over 7.2 yards per attempt.

10 or more wins.

Honestly, I think he'll exceed most of those numbers. In my mind, that's sandbagging. Maybe I'm overhyped, but I don't think so.

I honestly can't think of the last time a first year starter was in such an ideal situation.

13 QBs last year threw for over 3,500 yards. How many of those QBs had thetools that Mahomes will have at his disposal?

To say that Mahomes will throw for 3,500 yards is to say that he is, at best, a very, very average QB.....

[AssEaterChief]

Originally Posted by Fat Elvis

13 QBs last year threw for over 3,500 yards. How many of those QBs had thetools that Mahomes will have at his disposal?

To say that Mahomes will throw for 3,500 yards is to say that he is, at best, a very, very average QB.....

Or....a very very young QB who is managed very well by his experienced head coach.

I think most teams are going to force the Chiefs to run the ball....and Andy will take advantage of that.

Smart head coaches generally don't have their super young QB throwing the ball 35+ times a game.

Marino, Luck, and Manning are some of the few exceptions over the last 30 years...

[Chief Roundup]

Originally Posted by AssEaterChief

Or....a very very young QB who is managed very well by his experienced head coach.

I think most teams are going to force the Chiefs to run the ball....and Andy will take advantage of that.

Smart head coaches generally don't have their super young QB throwing the ball 35+ times a game.

Marino, Luck, and Manning are some of the few exceptions over the last 30 years...

Yet Reid had him throw it 35 times in his first/only start against the Broncos last season.

[Fat Elvis]

Realistically?

Assuming he stays healthy, I expect Mahomes to top 5,000 passing yards.

In his first start, playing with scrubs against one of the best pass D's in the NFL, he put up 284 yards. Assuming that is an average game for him, he is already at 4,544 yards for the season. With scrubs. Against a good pass D.

To top 5,000 yards in a 16 game season, he would have to average 312 passing yards per game.

The question you have to ask yourself is whether or not you believe that Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, Travis Kelce, and Kareem Hunt can contribute another 28 yards per game, on average, against typically lesser defenses.

Another way to think about it: Do you think that Mahomes, with those tools, can average about 26 passing yards per possession over the course of a season? Considering that he (so far) averages 8.11 yards per attempt, I think that over the course of a season, he can hit that mark with relative ease.