Chiefs Chiefs #4 ...Pit #2....Pats #1: Week 17 BES Rankings

**SAGA45** · 01-03-2017, 02:27 PM

LINK - http://besreport.com/week-17-bes-ran...issue-of-2016/

I'm pretty satisfied with this final report considering the BES is completely math driven with no subjective bias or input. All playoff teams are accounted for in the top 15. Only non-playoff team in the top-10 is the Titans but they're also 10th in Weighted DVOA (Football Outsiders' metric).

In terms of the playoffs, it'll be interesting to see how accurately this report plays out in the postseason. The BES was 70% accurate over the latter half of the season. However, the playoffs are an entirely different beast in terms of intensity and urgency.

There's also home field advantage. I don't care how hot a team is coming into the postseason, nobody wants to go to Foxborough or Arrowhead. That being said, I'd be mildly surprised if the Cowboys reach Super Bowl 51. I'm leaning more toward the Packers or Falcons representing the NFC.

**SAGA45** · 01-09-2017, 04:52 AM

Final rankings were 3-1(.750) in the wildcard round. Raiders without Carr had no chance. Good slate of divisional round games coming up. GB@DAL should be a classic.

KChiefs1 · 01-09-2017, 11:01 AM

So the Chiefs win on Sunday correct?

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**Scorp** · 01-09-2017, 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KChiefs1

So the Chiefs win on Sunday correct?

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**SAGA45** · 01-09-2017, 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KChiefs1

So the Chiefs win on Sunday correct?

Hope so. Numbers say Steelers tho.

**SAGA45** · 01-15-2017, 10:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SAGA45

Hope so. Numbers say Steelers tho.

Damn those numbers! Was hoping they'd be wrong on this game. But wow... 7-1 (.875) in the postseason so far. I'm torn...I hate that the Chiefs lost but impressed to see my final week 17 rankings be 88% accurate in the playoffs.

**SAGA45** · 02-06-2017, 03:38 AM

Well...despite being published a month ago, my final rankings were 9-2 and 82% predictive in the playoffs including the Super Bowl winner. That game was incredible! Easily one of the best...if not the best Super Bowl I've seen in my lifetime.

Nickhead · 02-06-2017, 04:02 AM

you ****ing stud!

Pasta Little Brioni · 02-06-2017, 06:38 AM

Can numbers predict scripted events like last night

**SAGA45** · 02-06-2017, 04:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nickhead

you ****ing stud!

Ha...hey ..I cant lie. For three quarters I was thinking what other tweaks and adjustments...or new additions I'd need to make to the system this offseason if the Pats lost.

But as it stands, I may not need to change much...if anything. The best part is I can throw this in my wife's face whenever she complains about me being on the computer too long.lol!

01-03-2017, 02:27 PM
SAGA45 Supporter Join Date: Jun 2013 Location: Compton, CA Casino cash: $4694955	Chiefs #4 ...Pit #2....Pats #1: Week 17 BES Rankings LINK - http://besreport.com/week-17-bes-ran...issue-of-2016/ I'm pretty satisfied with this final report considering the BES is completely math driven with no subjective bias or input. All playoff teams are accounted for in the top 15. Only non-playoff team in the top-10 is the Titans but they're also 10th in Weighted DVOA (Football Outsiders' metric). In terms of the playoffs, it'll be interesting to see how accurately this report plays out in the postseason. The BES was 70% accurate over the latter half of the season. However, the playoffs are an entirely different beast in terms of intensity and urgency. There's also home field advantage. I don't care how hot a team is coming into the postseason, nobody wants to go to Foxborough or Arrowhead. That being said, I'd be mildly surprised if the Cowboys reach Super Bowl 51. I'm leaning more toward the Packers or Falcons representing the NFC.
Posts: 1,535

01-09-2017, 11:01 AM	#3
KChiefs1 I’m a Mahomo! Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Mid-Missouri Casino cash: $6771021	So the Chiefs win on Sunday correct? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk __________________
Posts: 54,038

02-06-2017, 03:38 AM	#7
SAGA45 Supporter Join Date: Jun 2013 Location: Compton, CA Casino cash: $4694955	Well...despite being published a month ago, my final rankings were 9-2 and 82% predictive in the playoffs including the Super Bowl winner. That game was incredible! Easily one of the best...if not the best Super Bowl I've seen in my lifetime.
Posts: 1,535

02-06-2017, 04:02 AM	#8
Nickhead EvOlVeD Join Date: Jun 2016 Location: Blue Mountains, Australia Casino cash: $2529868	you ****ing stud!
Posts: 8,221

02-06-2017, 06:38 AM	#9
Pasta Little Brioni Consuming CP souls Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: U.S.A. Casino cash: $3958880	Can numbers predict scripted events like last night __________________ **Official TFWdemB Trivia Commisioner**
Posts: 68,557

01-09-2017, 04:52 AM	#2
SAGA45 Supporter Join Date: Jun 2013 Location: Compton, CA Casino cash: $4694955	Final rankings were 3-1(.750) in the wildcard round. Raiders without Carr had no chance. Good slate of divisional round games coming up. GB@DAL should be a classic.
Posts: 1,535