The Chiefs got lucky to win Super Bowls

[seamonster]

People severely underestimate how much Mahomes wears down these defenses with the scrambling.

[Pasta Little Brioni]

These Chiefs are good reeeeal good. We're the best...

[MVChiefFan]

at this nonsense. I’ve seen us commit more turnovers, penalties, and drop more passes and STILL win the ****ing game. Good luck and bad luck is everywhere… we’re just a better football team than everyone else.

[Why Not?]

The whole "luck" debate kinda reminds me of that scene in Major League, where the fans in the outfield are arguing about the trajectory of the ball, and finally one of them says

"Who gives a shit, it's gone"

Luck, no luck, bad bounce, good bounce, who gives a shit? The Chiefs are the B2B Champions. I don't care why or how.

[Rainbarrel]

Lucky for us, 2024 NFL Draft Week is here to push this aside!

[ChiTown]

Well, if in fact it was “luck”, as a Chiefs fan, we were apparently due a bunch of of it

[Monticore]

The league got lucky we should have won the last 6

[Wisconsin_Chief]

Originally Posted by Monticore

The league got lucky we should have won the last 6

If not for refball, we very well could have.

[BWillie]

Originally Posted by Wisconsin_Chief

If not for refball, we very well could have.

Alex Smiff unluckily cost us a SB

[Rausch]

Originally Posted by Monticore

The league got lucky we should have won the last 6

Exactly. We were 6 pts away from winning 1 more SB and being in 2 (we weren't beating TB that year with a 3rd string O line. That should be clear.)

[J Diddy]

Originally Posted by ChiTown

Well, if in fact it was “luck”, as a Chiefs fan, we were apparently due a bunch of of it

50 heartbreaking, grueling years worth.

[Bl00dyBizkitz]

We're lucky 9 teams passed on Patrick Mahomes in 2017.

Past that point, all the other luck is negligible.

[ROYC75]

Hell yes Luck plays into sports, you just have to be prepared to capitalize on the opportunity!

You can literally go through any sporting event and find something that can alter a play, which can alter the game!

Hell, I love the Mario & the Miracle's season, but Memphis had every reason to win that game in the 2nd half! FT's, just hit them, were we lucky they missed, yes, cause just hitting 1 more in the 2nd half and we are not the Champs!

Any frigging sporting event some luck plays into the event.

[ThrobProng]

As the fanbase that whined "Because Chiefs" for decades, we know good and bad luck is a big part of football.

[gordonelloyd]

It’s always been better to be lucky than to be good, as the saying goes.

Interesting attempt to try to quantify luck. Definitely hit and miss field Goals is more about the field goal kicker skills than luck. I’m not really sure dropped passes are a good measure either. Toney is not so much unlucky. He just can’t catch.

His fourth metric of how the bell bounces after a fumble is probably the best, although some defences are just better at creating opportunities to recover irrespective of how the ball bounces.

Not sure what other metrics would have been better and more meaningful. But if he is going to use these ones he needs to subjectively adjust them to take into account player skills; definitely for kicking and probably four drops as well.

And for those who say Brady was the luckiest player alive, he lost one Super Bowl to Eli because of an incredible otherworldly catch after Eli miraculously escaped being sacked. And the other Super Bowl he lost to Eli also involved an amazing throw and catch. So he wasn’t always lucky. Sure those plays involved skill mainly, but you can’t have seen them without seeing if there was an element of luck.

Definitely agree with the posters that point out that when you win multiple Super Bowls It certainly makes it much harder to say. The team was just lucky.

But let’s hope we’re lucky again this year and for many years to come.