Chiefs Playoff and Draft Pick Odds, 2012 - Page 15

**cdcox** · 12-02-2012, 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city

Also the Faid have the Chargers, and they are in complete disarray.

The Chargers have about a 0.5 to 1% chance to get the overall #1. They are part of "the field".

O.city · 12-02-2012, 07:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

The Chargers have about a 0.5 to 1% chance to get the overall #1. They are part of "the field".

Meant that the Faid could beat the Chargers.

**cdcox** · 12-02-2012, 07:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city

Meant that the Faid could beat the Chargers.

And I was agreeing that the Chargers are terrible.

R8RFAN · 12-02-2012, 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O.city

Meant that the Faid could beat the Chargers.

No chance in hell, there is zero defense at the Raiders...

ShowtimeSBMVP · 12-02-2012, 07:04 PM

That Tebow vs the Jags game next week will be fun LOL

NJChiefsFan · 12-02-2012, 07:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsandO'sfan

That Tebow vs the Jags game next week will be fun LOL

A lot of people around here have wanted McElroy to start over Sanchez. There will be a good amount of push to keep him in over Tebow.

ShowtimeSBMVP · 12-02-2012, 07:05 PM

ESPN Stats & Info ‏@ESPNStatsInfo

Eagles enter tonight with 7-game losing streak; haven't lost 8 straight in single season since 1968

Hope the Eagles win tonight.

**Rain Man** · 12-02-2012, 07:09 PM

I enjoy a season with a dramatic ending. Will we make it? Will we fail? We still control our own destiny, so it's up to the fine warriors in red.

**cdcox** · 12-02-2012, 07:37 PM

The end of season tiebreakers for the overall #1 pick breakdown like this:

Against the Jags we almost always win

Against the Raiders we always lose.

Against Phili we win about 82% of the tiebreakers.

**alnorth** · 12-02-2012, 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

The end of season tiebreakers for the overall #1 pick breakdown like this:

Against the Jags we almost always win

Against the Raiders we always lose.

Against Phili we win about 82% of the tiebreakers.

How often does a 4-game winner get the #1 pick? (and whats the distribution of teams for that unlikely scenario?)

**cdcox** · 12-02-2012, 08:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth

How often does a 4-game winner get the #1 pick? (and whats the distribution of teams for that unlikely scenario?)

My simulator isn't really set up to answer this question easily, but a 4 win team will get the #1 pick in roughly 6% of the seasons, with Oakland the most likely team to be in this situation.

Chiefs Pantalones · 12-02-2012, 09:29 PM

Carr just helped us a bit.

ShowtimeSBMVP · 12-02-2012, 10:24 PM

Chiefs- 2-10 @CLE, @OAK ,IND,@DEN
Jags- 2-10 NYJ, @MIA , NE, @TEN
Carolina- 3-9 ATL , @SD , OAK , @NO
Oakland- 3-9 DEN , KC , @CAR , @SD
Eagels- 3-9 @TB , CINN , WASH , @NYG
Browns- 4-8 KC , WASH , @DEN , @PITT

Updated

ShowtimeSBMVP · 12-06-2012, 09:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsandO'sfan

Chiefs- 2-10 @CLE, @OAK ,IND,@DEN
Jags- 2-10 NYJ, @MIA , NE, @TEN
Carolina- 3-9 ATL , @SD , OAK , @NO
Oakland- 3-10 KC , @CAR , @SD
Eagels- 3-9 @TB , CINN , WASH , @NYG
Browns- 4-8 KC , WASH , @DEN , @PITT

Oakland has 3 winnable games left now.

O.city · 12-02-2012, 10:40 PM

The Panthers are shit as well so Oak might sneak a win in there.

In the end tho, we've come to far to **** up now. Just swallow that pill and lose out.

12-02-2012, 07:04 PM	#5
ShowtimeSBMVP Chiefs Join Date: Feb 2009 Casino cash: $3496009	That Tebow vs the Jags game next week will be fun LOL
Posts: 23,755

12-02-2012, 07:05 PM	#7
ShowtimeSBMVP Chiefs Join Date: Feb 2009 Casino cash: $3496009	ESPN Stats & Info ‏@ESPNStatsInfo Eagles enter tonight with 7-game losing streak; haven't lost 8 straight in single season since 1968 Hope the Eagles win tonight.
Posts: 23,755

12-02-2012, 07:09 PM	#8
Rain Man NFL's #1 Ermines Fan Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: My house Casino cash: $3078491 VARSITY	I enjoy a season with a dramatic ending. Will we make it? Will we fail? We still control our own destiny, so it's up to the fine warriors in red. __________________ I'm putting random letters here as a celebration of free speech: xigrakgrah misorojeq rkemeseit.
Posts: 141,624

12-02-2012, 07:37 PM	#9
cdcox www.nfl-forecast.com Join Date: Sep 2000 Casino cash: $2231769	The end of season tiebreakers for the overall #1 pick breakdown like this: Against the Jags we almost always win Against the Raiders we always lose. Against Phili we win about 82% of the tiebreakers.
Posts: 45,543

12-02-2012, 09:29 PM	#12
Chiefs Pantalones GO CHIEFS!!!!!! Join Date: Feb 2001 Location: Kansas City Casino cash: $7888717	Carr just helped us a bit. __________________ Don't be fooled by my username, I'm white.
Posts: 26,630

12-02-2012, 10:24 PM	#13
ShowtimeSBMVP Chiefs Join Date: Feb 2009 Casino cash: $3496009	Chiefs- 2-10 @CLE, @OAK ,IND,@DEN Jags- 2-10 NYJ, @MIA , NE, @TEN Carolina- 3-9 ATL , @SD , OAK , @NO Oakland- 3-9 DEN , KC , @CAR , @SD Eagels- 3-9 @TB , CINN , WASH , @NYG Browns- 4-8 KC , WASH , @DEN , @PITT Updated
Posts: 23,755

12-02-2012, 10:40 PM	#15
O.city In Search of a Life Join Date: Jul 2009 Casino cash: $2524064	The Panthers are shit as well so Oak might sneak a win in there. In the end tho, we've come to far to **** up now. Just swallow that pill and lose out.
Posts: 81,427