Walter Football is at it again

[Misplaced_Chiefs_Fan]

Poor Walter - still doesn't like the Chiefs.
Even when he says the Ravens have no chance, he still has to point out all the flaws in our "overrated" team.


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Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) at Baltimore Ravens (4-9)
Line: Chiefs by 7.5. Total: 41.5.
Las Vegas Hilton Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -5.
Walt's Calculated Line: Chiefs -6.
Sunday, Dec 20, 1:00 ET
Comment on this game

The Game. Edge: Chiefs.


BALTIMORE OFFENSE: The Ravens made some news Monday by signing Ryan Mallett, who agreed to a contract that allows for 14 missed practices because of broken alarms. It was quite the deal for Mallett, who won't have to worry about being late very often.

In all seriousness, the Mallett addition was first seen as a sign that Matt Schaub wouldn't be available for this contest, but Baltimore simply wanted Mallett to groom him as a backup of the future. It'll be either Schaub or Jimmy Clausen in this matchup, which means pick-sixes or checkdowns. It won't matter very much against a ferocious Kansas City defense that has clamped down on bad offenses quite often recently. Tamba Hali and the emerging Dee Ford are going to completely disrupt Baltimore's offensive rhythm.

The Ravens' only hope is to get the ball early and often to Buck Allen. Wait, I just realized how dumb that sounded. Scratch that, Baltimore has no hope. The Chiefs are tied for eighth versus the run in terms of YPC, and over the past month, they've surrendered just 3.13 YPC.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE:The Ravens have a well-documented liability on this side of the ball. Their secondary has been in shambles all year, and a lacking pass rush doesn't help matters. However, this might not be the worst matchup for them because Alex Smith doesn't have a habit of connecting on deep passes downfield. In fact, Smith was intercepted on a long try to Jeremy Maclin against the Chargers, as his pass was predictably underthrown.

Smith will have some success dinking and dunking, and he'll also pick up some first downs with his legs. However, there is some concern in this regard, as Baltimore defends tight ends extremely well. Smith may not be able to connect with Travis Kelce all that much, which could force some punts.

The Chiefs, of course, will attempt to establish the run. They may not have Spencer Ware, but that's fine because Charcandrick West can handle the workload on his own. Having said that, West may not have the success that most anticipate. Remember when I said the Chiefs were tied for eighth against the rush? The team they're tied with is Baltimore.

RECAP: The Ravens are another team that will be looking to get back to basics following an embarrassing loss. It's a fair point to wonder if they can actually do that, given the number of injuries they've sustained, but there's no question that they'll be battling a team far worse than Seattle this week. That'll give Baltimore a chance to hang around, and it's worth noting that before the Seattle contest, the Ravens hadn't lost by more than eight points to anyone all year.

As for the Chiefs, they're a very overrated team right now. They could've easily lost their previous two games, and I don't think they'll be completely focused here. Thus, I'm picking Baltimore, but I can't say I have much confidence in the selection; I don't really feel like wagering any money on either Clausen or Schaub unless it's against another bad team (like the Dolphins back in Week 13.)

WEDNESDAY THOUGHTS: This spread is falling a bit to -7 -115 or -120, indicating that there's sharp money on Baltimore. It's too early to say for sure, but there's no way the pros will be on Kansas City. This line is too large.


The Psychology. Edge: Ravens.

I don't think the Ravens will have Kansas City's full attention. They'll be looking to get things right following a blowout loss.

The Vegas. Edge: Ravens.

Everyone is betting the Chiefs, of course.
• Percentage of money on Kansas City: 82% (5,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Ravens.
• John Harbaugh is 9-3 ATS following a loss of 10+.
• Opening Line: Chiefs -7.5.
• Opening Total: 43.
• Weather: .


Week 15 NFL Pick: Chiefs 16, Ravens 10
Ravens +7.5 (0 Units)
Under 41.5 (0 Units)


Read more at http://walterfootball.com/nflpicks20...0xVf2yuypWl.99

[bishop_74]

[ARROW2]

Originally Posted by ChiefsLV

They're probably looking at the fact that Houston was in the game early despite turning the ball over 3-4 times at that point. To be honest, the game was still so close I was thinking this would be a new way the Chiefs would break our hearts again in the playoffs. The D wasn't having it though and stayed consistently dominant.

All week we heard about how tough the Texan D is, how highly ranked they are and how their number have been comparable to our D over the last few weeks but we suck because we didn't put up 60 against one of the league's better defenses in THEIR house?



BULLSHIT!!!! These haters are making me fume.

[ARROW2]

Originally Posted by ARROW2

All week we heard about how tough the Texan D is, how highly ranked they are and how their number have been comparable to our D over the last few weeks but we suck because we didn't put up 60 against one of the league's better defenses in THEIR house?



BULLSHIT!!!! These haters are making me fume.

They don't know SHIT about football. Trying to hold onto old narratives. The other team is not going to just lay down and say, "HERE IS A TOUCHDOWN, WE TURNED IT OVER". Stupid ass punk ass bitch made mutha****as!! **** THEM!!!

[ARROW2]

Walter is a little BITCH!!! Pricko too. I bet Pricko picks us to lose because we are "playing back to back road games", like we did when we spanked Denver and SD.

[gold_and_red]

Originally Posted by ARROW2

Walter is a little BITCH!!! Pricko too. I bet Pricko picks us to lose because we are "playing back to back road games", like we did when we spanked Denver and SD.

One of the mysteries of the universe - How does Prickso have a job? I think because he is more click bait than substance.
That back to back road games narrative is stale, he conveniently uses it every time!

[nbarone007]

Chiefs are getting no respect. We have to go beat the Golden Boy this week to get some.

Seriously, I was watching NFL Network last night and apparently the Chiefs were "only up by 13 at the half" which wasn't enough given all the turnovers.

Im just like WTF? I'll take a 13 point lead at halftime with this defense any day of the week...

[ARROW2]

Originally Posted by nbarone007

Chiefs are getting no respect. We have to go beat the Golden Boy this week to get some.

Seriously, I was watching NFL Network last night and apparently the Chiefs were "only up by 13 at the half" which wasn't enough given all the turnovers.

Im just like WTF? I'll take a 13 point lead at halftime with this defense any day of the week...

They also forget that they were fawning all over JJ Watt and that top 5 defense all week. So we were supposed to score TDs every time against that D in their house? The double standard when it comes to the Chiefs is total bullshit.

[saphojunkie]

Why do any of you go to this site or care what this nobody says?

I'm sure there are toothless rednecks in Littleton that think the Broncos are still undefeated - that doesn't mean I care about their opinions.

[keg in kc]

It wasn't enough. The Texans were still in the game at halftime despite four turnovers, then came out of the locker room and proceeded to move the ball better than they had all day. Fortunately that drive stalled, and our adjustments after halftime finally got the offense moving.

It was, however, half a game by the offense, yet again, a troubling trend going back over a month. If the same thing happens at Foxboro, the Chiefs absolutely have to take advantage of their opportunities early. Tom Brady is not Brian Hoyer. If they leave even the smallest crack for him to exploit, he'll take the game back from them.

Of course, as I just said, he's not Brian Hoyer. He probably won't keep giving them opportunity after opportunity until they finally decide to take advantage. Maybe he turns it over once. Or twice. Or not at all. If he does give them anything they have to turn it into points if they want to win the game. Six points for the offense out of four turnovers is a recipe for losing. You just can't let a team hang around, especially at a place like Foxboro against a sure-fire first ballet hall of fame QB who has about as much playoff experience - and success - as a player could possibly have.

[Chiefnj2]

6 points off of 4 turnovers is pathetic.

[Brock]

Originally Posted by Chiefnj2

6 points off of 4 turnovers is pathetic.

Pretty bad.

[ARROW2]

Originally Posted by Chiefnj2

6 points off of 4 turnovers is pathetic.

Not when you are playing a top D in their house. As I recall, some of them were in our own territory and did not set up the offense with a short field. The Mauga and Peters picks come to mind.

[ARROW2]

how many games in the NFL have you seen where someone put up a 50 or 60 burger on someone, especially in their house? This is not college against Kent St.

[Don Corlemahomes]

The texans were 3rd in yds/g and 7th in pts/g. We weren't playing the Saints here, people. Their defense is legit.

[Don Corlemahomes]

And damn, does anybody want to talk about the patriots losing to the Jets and the mother****ing Dolphins to limp into the playoffs?

Seriously, the Dolphins. But I bet the Patriots played one of their best games of the year despite losing 20-10.