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Old 02-27-2013, 09:21 AM   #1
the Talking Can the Talking Can is offline
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great thread

pretty much confirms the idea that there is a threshold above which QBs are simple worth the 'risk'...

Geno is obviously above the threshold, ditto for barkley
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Old 02-27-2013, 09:21 AM   #2
MagicHef MagicHef is offline
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Huh. For some reason he got left off the list.

Tim Tebow: 85
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Old 02-27-2013, 10:43 AM   #3
The Franchise The Franchise is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MagicHef View Post
Huh. For some reason he got left off the list.

Tim Tebow: 85
He's not a starting QB. Clausen got left off as well.
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Old 02-27-2013, 10:53 AM   #4
MagicHef MagicHef is offline
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Originally Posted by Pestilence View Post
He's not a starting QB. Clausen got left off as well.
That's stupid. This is trying to predict NFL success using college stats. Only college stats should matter.

Also, he has started more games than Kaepernick, Weeden, or any of the 2013 QBs.
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Old 02-27-2013, 11:02 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pestilence View Post
He's not a starting QB. Clausen got left off as well.
Jimmy wasn't a 1st round pick. This only includes 1st rounders.
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Old 02-27-2013, 10:47 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by MagicHef View Post
Huh. For some reason he got left off the list.

Tim Tebow: 85

Sure deal Skippy...
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Old 02-27-2013, 09:23 AM   #7
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Everybody but the Doncos realized he's not a QB, so that wasn't a mistake at all.
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Old 02-27-2013, 10:58 AM   #8
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This includes several QB busts in the high numbers so I don't like it.

I prefer the simpler rule of 26-27-60.

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2013/2/1...erback-success

Quote:
The rule predicted that if a NFL prospect scored at least a 26 on the Wonderlic test, started at least 27 games in college, and completed at least 60 percent of his passes, he would succeed in the NFL, if he did not meet all three criteria, he would fail.

At the time of the article the rule was a fairly accurate at dividing successful NFL quarterbacks from disappointments. The rule predicted success for Peyton Manning, Philip Rivers, Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Tony Romo, Matt Schaub and Matt Ryan. Meanwhile it predicted failure for Ryan Leaf, Joey Harrington, Akili Smith, Tim Couch, David Carr, Vince Young and JaMarcus Russell.
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Old 02-27-2013, 11:03 AM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GoWalrus View Post
This includes several QB busts in the high numbers so I don't like it.

I prefer the simpler rule of 26-27-60.

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2013/2/1...erback-success
You're looking at it incorrectly.

Start with the low numbers first.
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Old 02-27-2013, 11:20 AM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GoWalrus View Post
This includes several QB busts in the high numbers so I don't like it.

I prefer the simpler rule of 26-27-60.

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2013/2/1...erback-success
I don't like using the Wonderlic as an indicator because we have to assume players are taking it seriously, and didn't Dan Marino get like a 10?
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