5 games out: Direckshun's Projeckshuns

[Direckshun]

How I project the rest of the season working out:

1. Pats, Donks, Colts get slots 1-3, in order.

2. Here's how the top wild card contenders fare:

Dolphins (6-5):

@ Jets W
vs. Baltimore W
@ NE L
vs. Vikings W
vs. Jets W

Dolphins end up 10-6.

Browns (7-4):

@ Bills W
vs. Colts L
vs. Bengals W
@ Panthers W
@ Ravens L

Browns end up 10-6.

Steelers (7-4):

vs. Saints W
@ Cincy L
@ Falcons W
vs. Chiefs W
vs. Bengals W

Steelers end up 11-5.

Ravens (6-4):

@ Saints [tonight] W
vs. Chargers W
@ Dolphins L
vs. Jags W
@ Texans W
vs. Browns W

Ravens end up 11-5.

Bengals (7-3-1):

@ Bucs W
vs. Steelers W
@ Browns L
vs. Broncos L
@ Steelers L

Bengals end up 9-6-1.

Chiefs (7-4):

vs. Broncos L
@ Arizona W
vs. Oakland W
@ Steelers L
vs. Chargers W

Chiefs end up 10-6.

Chargers (7-4):

@ Ravens L
vs. Patriots L
vs. Broncos L
@ 49ers L
@ Chiefs L

Chargers end up 7-9.

3. Steelers get the tiebreaker over the Ravens (projected 3-3 divisional record to Baltimore's projected 2-4) and take the #4 slot. Ravens take #5 and will visit Pittsburgh.

4. As for the remaining three 10-6 teams vying for the #6 slot:

Dolphins 10-6
Browns 10-6
Chiefs 10-6

Oddly enough, the fact that the Chiefs beat the Dolphins (and that the Dolphins beat the Browns) doesn't matter. The only time head-to-head counts when it's a three way tie is if the team in question has beaten (or lost to) each of the other team. But the Chiefs and Browns didn't play, and the Dolphins went 1-1.

The next tie-breaker is AFC conference record:

Dolphins: 8-4
Chiefs: 7-5
Browns: 6-6

The Dolphins get the #6 slot and will visit Indy.

The Chiefs and Browns miss the playoffs.

[DaneMcCloud]

Originally Posted by Reerun_KC

You mean we would have to Reid the Bed to lose to the Cards?

Well, as SNR so succinctly pointed out in another thread, this team's lack of talent in critical positions can be exposed if the scheme isn't 100% dead on. The Chiefs only had a few day to scheme and sadly, they were ineffective for two quarters of the game on Thursday.

I believe that Reid and the coaching staff won't allow that to happen again.

[ThaVirus]

We just don't match up well with the Cardinals. Their run defense will likely shut us down all day long. They just held Lynch to less than 40 yards on 15 carries on the road.

Plus, they send a shit ton of pressure up the middle. Our offensive line will be lucky to surrender 5 sacks that game.

On defense, I think we'll do OK against them but I just can't see us scoring more than 17 points or so. I hope I'm wrong but I'd be lying if I said I were confident about that one.

[T-Town]

I love playing out playoff scenarios, but damn that is a gloomy picture. I use the playoff machine if anyone wants to try it.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

[O.city]

Nfl is too wacky this year. Can't predict kinda wacky

[BigMeatballDave]

Originally Posted by O.city

Nfl is too wacky this year. Can't predict kinda wacky

It is.

It's wide open this season with no dominant teams.

[DaneMcCloud]

Originally Posted by ThaVirus

We just don't match up well with the Cardinals. Their run defense will likely shut us down all day long. They just held Lynch to less than 40 yards on 15 carries on the road.

Plus, they send a shit ton of pressure up the middle. Our offensive line will be lucky to surrender 5 sacks that game.

On defense, I think we'll do OK against them but I just can't see us scoring more than 17 points or so. I hope I'm wrong but I'd be lying if I said I were confident about that one.

Their offense is feeble without Palmer. 14 points against the Lions and 3 points against the Seahawks.

If the Chiefs lose, it'll be because they're flat, not because they don't match up well.

[Mile High Mania]

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

Their offense is feeble without Palmer. 14 points against the Lions and 3 points against the Seahawks.

If the Chiefs lose, it'll be because they're flat, not because they don't match up well.

Playing @ SEA is a whole different experience... they would have throttled KC in their house.

[Reerun_KC]

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

Well, as SNR so succinctly pointed out in another thread, this team's lack of talent in critical positions can be exposed if the scheme isn't 100% dead on. The Chiefs only had a few day to scheme and sadly, they were ineffective for two quarters of the game on Thursday.

I believe that Reid and the coaching staff won't allow that to happen again.

Twice they were grossly under prepared and twice Reid, Reided himself to a loss...

History is not his friend.

[ThaVirus]

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

Their offense is feeble without Palmer. 14 points against the Lions and 3 points against the Seahawks.

If the Chiefs lose, it'll be because they're flat, not because they don't match up well.

Well it's not like those two team's defenses suck or anything. They're both likely top 10 units.

I will agree that that is likely to be our saving grace if we do pull out a win. We shouldn't have much issue stopping Ellington and I don't fear Fitz or their TE. John Brown and Floyd could be issues if we don't get some pressure though..

[Marcellus]

Originally Posted by T-Town

I love playing out playoff scenarios, but damn that is a gloomy picture. I use the playoff machine if anyone wants to try it.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

That thing is major flawed. If you use win % is puts KC having 2 ties.

That being said 50% of the scenarios have KC in the playoffs.

[Mr. Flopnuts]

I predict we're going to see a team lose 10 games and host a playoff game this year.

[RunKC]

I'm terrified to face the Cardinals WR's with this secondary. Especially if we're relying on Ron Parker.

[DaneMcCloud]

Originally Posted by Reerun_KC

Twice they were grossly under prepared and twice Reid, Reided himself to a loss...

History is not his friend.

Come on, Dude. Coaches screw the pooch each and every week.

There has only been one undefeated team in the modern era, so let's not act like every other coach is perfect and Reid is crap.

[Reerun_KC]

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

Come on, Dude. Coaches screw the pooch each and every week.

There has only been one undefeated team in the modern era, so let's not act like every other coach is perfect and Reid is crap.

Lets not jump off the ledge yet, all I am saying is Reid hasn't learned otherwise we wouldnt be dealing with the same crap Reid has pulled his entire career..

You telling me that his tendency to take JC out of the game plan inside the 5 yard line time after time is "learning from his mistakes?"

Reid has his pros as well as his cons...

BTW, Welcome back

[Buehler445]

Originally Posted by Mr. Flopnuts

I predict we're going to see a team lose 10 games and host a playoff game this year.

Eventually those damn NFCS teams have to play each other and there has to be some wins by default, right? RIGHT?????

Christ that is a shit ass division. And it wasn't but a couple years ago it was a powerhouse.

Originally Posted by RunKC

I'm terrified to face the Cardinals WR's with this secondary. Especially if we're relying on Ron Parker.

Didn't I read somewhere Fitz was out Sunday? If so what's his outlook for our game?