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Old 04-05-2017, 10:55 AM  
Chiefspants Chiefspants is offline
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*** Official 2017 Royals Repository ***

Chiefsplanet’s (Proposed) 2017 Season Title: One Last Ride

Midish-Season Update (Royals 51-47, 2nd Wild Card, 1.5 GB of ALC):

We're halfway through 2017, and fittingly to the Chiefsplanet's 2017 Season Title, the Royals are all-in on what will likely be one final run with the current core. While many are worried the Royals will take a 2004 style tumble after this year, the farm system is hardly the barren wasteland it was during the Baird years. To see what's in the pipeline and what we have to look forward to, check out this exceptional list and analysis that Duncan put together of our system.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...htmlview#gid=0

While I had the honor of starting this thread this year, Duncan will always have a VIP pass to this OP, and can add more content at any time.

2017's Burning Questions Revisited:

1. What is the threshold between being “buyers” and “sellers” at the deadline?

We're buyers, baby.

In April, I argued that it would be a wise strategy for us to sell if we were 5 GB or worse, but that Dayton would likely add supplemental pieces for us to load up for another run if we were 1-2 GB. On July 24th, the Royals found themselves in sole possession of the 2nd wild card spot and 1.5 games back of the division. In April I said the Royals might pull the trigger on someone like Alex Cobb and resign Luke Hochevar, but since the Rays are also buyers and Luke's shoulder hasn't rebounded, this prediction hasn't come to fruition. Luckily, Dayton Moore again proved much more adept and creative than me by adding Trevor Cahill (good call, Duncan), Brandon Maurer and Ryan Buchter in a single trade. Giving us a solid starter to compete in 2017, and two relievers whom we will control through 2019 and 2021, respectively, keeping Moore's new vision through 2019-2020 intact. Moore has hinted that the Royals will continue to pursue the right deals if they're there, so the fun may not be over just yet. While we may not have the bullets to pull in a "star" like Cueto or Zo, Moore's adeptness may yet again net us what we need for another run in October.

2. Can Gordo and Moose bounce back to 2015 levels?

In April I asked if Gordo could at least set the table at a 265/325/425 clip and if Moose could deliver damage around a 265/335/500 clip for an entire year. This season Mr. Moustakas has been the prospect that was promised, delivering at a 277/307/568 clip as of this update. Gordo, on the other hand, has put up an unbelievably abysmal line thus far. But, if there is a silver lining, it's that Gordo has performed at a 246/311/432 line since June 1st, and if he can continue to perform near that mark, he will be more than a valuable asset at the bottom of the lineup while he continues to provide the best LF defense in the league.

3. Can Ned Yost manage a bullpen?

In April, I felt that despite the poor start, Royals bullpen would ultimately be "solid" this year, but the question was whether "solid" was good enough for Ned. I argued that the Royals needed Soria to bounce back and that Ned would need to start being strategic in his L/L and R/R matchups. While Ned has still made at times baffling and frustrating decisions with his starters (such as allowing Travis Wood to try to "get the win" and still insisting on sending Hammel out for the 6th, he's mostly done a good job).

MASH: Minor/Moylan - Alexander - Soria - Herrera (Credit to C3HIEF3S for the origins of the phrase) have cemented into reliable pieces, and now that Herrera is showing signs of stabilizing, our dumping of Wood, our call up Flynn, and the acquisition of Buchter and Maurer, the Royals have the potential to enter October with one of the best and deepest bullpens in the postseason.

4. Will the Royals find a boost from an unexpected X-Factor to lift them to contention?

Cool-Whit, Boni, Mike ****ing Minor, and Alexander have come up huge thus far. Cool Whit is, incredibly, is second on the team in WAR and has more than replaced Zo's presence on the team. They, like the X-Factors on the 2014-2015 teams, have been critical cogs as we've raced back to contention, while Cool-Whit and Boni also have provided a rosier outlook for this team's future. It's worth noting that Salvador Perez and Jason Vargas has been beasts on offense and the mound (along with Sal providing his customary defensive excellence), but I am still a bit wary of Salvy's annual Yost assisted offensive drought as the team moves into August, along with Vargy regressing to his averages.

5. Can Jorge Soler and Brandon Moss be productive contributors in Kauffman’s dimensions?

Ouch, no, but the Royals shift to power-hitting in the juiced ball era looks like one that will pay off. Thankfully, Moss is showing signs of entering his seasonal hot streak where he becomes corn-fed Jesus for a month, and we'll need him hot to keep up with Cleveland down the stretch. While Jorge has been painful to watch in the majors, his scorching performance in AAA should give one a bright hope for the future. While some may disagree, I offer Moose, Hos, Gordo, and Duffy's struggles as exhibit A for why it is far too early to give up on Soler's potential.

Bonus Question - Is Raul Mondesi truly ready to be an everyday player?

Ha! Not even close. However, like Soler, his progress in AAA is incredibly encouraging. With ceilings like Lindor and floors being Esky being thrown out there, it's hard not to be excited about his future.

The Picture Forward

There are many reasons to be excited, and not only for 2017. The Royals emergence of Cool Whit, Bonifacio, and Scott Alexander, and the fact that we have pieces like Salvador Perez, Danny Duffy, Kelvin Herrera, Jorge Soler, Ryan Buchter, Brandon Maurer Cheslor Cuthbert, and Raul Mondesi until at least 2019 should leave one feeling pretty optimistic. Re-up Moose or Hos (and heck, re-sign Dyson while we're at it), and suddenly this team looks very much like one that could compete for the indefinite future.

The Royals are all in again, buckle in and enjoy the ride.

April OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Chiefspants; 08-02-2017 at 01:53 PM..
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Old 07-19-2017, 02:55 PM   #4141
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Okay, Duncan - Lynn and Rosenthal for Mondesi?



Takers? I'm not positive I'd do it because I think the reliever market right now is obscene and I might be able to peddle Rosenthal elsewhere for a top 30 prospect on his own.



But if you're the Royals knowing that Rosenthal has another year of team control (and should be a goddamn MFing starting Fing pitcher anyway!!!), might that be enough?

Not only "no" but (and this isn't directed at you but more at the general idea, for the sake of effect) "**** no."

I'm willing to move Mondesi, but am not as big a believer in Rosenthal as I know you are. I wouldn't move Mondesi as part of a deal for anything less than a pitcher in the Gerrit Cole tier.

Mondesi is too experienced for prospect lists now, but he's putting up very similar offensive numbers to Amed Rosario at the same age, in the same league, with better defense and base running ability (and no question about his long-term defensive home).

So... basically, I value him as an elite prospect, and I'm not willing to move that for 2 months of a Lynn-caliber guy, plus a year and 2 months of a very mercurial RP.


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Old 07-19-2017, 03:01 PM   #4142
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I also think you're going to be disappointed if expecting a top 30 prospect back for Rosenthal.

A superior reliever (Robertson) was included as part of a package that didn't net a single top 30 guy just yesterday.

Ryan Madison has been better this year and is pretty affordable next year, and paired with another good relief arm, didn't come close to a top 30 prospect.


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Old 07-19-2017, 03:07 PM   #4143
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I also think you're going to be disappointed if expecting a top 30 prospect back for Rosenthal.

A superior reliever (Robertson) was included as part of a package that didn't net a single top 30 guy just yesterday.

Ryan Madison has been better this year and is pretty affordable next year, and paired with another good relief arm, didn't come close to a top 30 prospect.


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I don't think Robertson has the value Rosenthal does because of the $$ (and he was pretty disappointing in CHW his first two years; though he rebounded nicely this season). And Madson is a guy that is also expensive who people just don't seem to trust. I like the guy but he was ass for large chunks of last season. I do think the Nats got a great deal there, though.

I don't 'expect' it by any stretch, but velocity gets hearts fluttering among executives, especially in the post-season. I don't think it's completely farfetched to approach that level.
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Old 07-19-2017, 03:27 PM   #4144
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I don't think Robertson has the value Rosenthal does because of the $$ (and he was pretty disappointing in CHW his first two years; though he rebounded nicely this season). And Madson is a guy that is also expensive who people just don't seem to trust. I like the guy but he was ass for large chunks of last season. I do think the Nats got a great deal there, though.

I don't 'expect' it by any stretch, but velocity gets hearts fluttering among executives, especially in the post-season. I don't think it's completely farfetched to approach that level.

Rosenthal's current Arb salary is 6.4 million? Madison is something like $7.5 million next year. Pretty cheap, and he has been better than Rosenthal each of the past two years as well, and he hasn't walked nearly 5 batters/9 over the past four seasons, either.

Rosenthal probably gets a slight raise in arb, may be more expensive even than Madson.

If you don't like Robertson as a comparison, consider that tommy Kahnle was also included in that deal, has like 4 years of control left, and has been dominant the past two years.


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Old 07-19-2017, 03:52 PM   #4145
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Okay, Duncan - Lynn and Rosenthal for Mondesi?



Takers? I'm not positive I'd do it because I think the reliever market right now is obscene and I might be able to peddle Rosenthal elsewhere for a top 30 prospect on his own.



But if you're the Royals knowing that Rosenthal has another year of team control (and should be a goddamn MFing starting Fing pitcher anyway!!!), might that be enough?


**** no you cocksucking Cardinals fan!
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Old 07-19-2017, 04:26 PM   #4146
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I have no interaction with al other than in this thread, really.

I miss him in Royals threads.

What is this dislike of him based on?


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His 18-month insult-a-thon during the election (which I won't detail on a royals thread) made Hootie look calm and reasonable. If u want more, see here:
https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/show...=303623&page=2
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Old 07-19-2017, 04:26 PM   #4147
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I don't think Robertson has the value Rosenthal does because of the $$ (and he was pretty disappointing in CHW his first two years; though he rebounded nicely this season). And Madson is a guy that is also expensive who people just don't seem to trust. I like the guy but he was ass for large chunks of last season. I do think the Nats got a great deal there, though.

I don't 'expect' it by any stretch, but velocity gets hearts fluttering among executives, especially in the post-season. I don't think it's completely farfetched to approach that level.
We are about to go into a rebuild of our own here. More drastic than yours will be
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Old 07-19-2017, 05:24 PM   #4148
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Tampa, New York and Cleveland all just lost again. If we win still 2 GB. Unreal. We've lost sooo many games recently. Lucky.
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Old 07-19-2017, 05:41 PM   #4149
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Rosenthal has an update on his Facebook page tonight. Said the Mets would rather trade Granderson and give Bruce a qualifying offer so they could get a pick, but they've yet to receive significant interest in either player. Sounds like they're open to trading either and are willing to send cash to cover their contracts to get a better return.

Says they need to do something because they're basically rotating both of those guys with Cespedes and Conforto, and if someone isn't traded it could cause problems. One of the four will have to sit every night.
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Old 07-19-2017, 05:47 PM   #4150
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We have 5 games to decide. Really.


Anything less than 3-2 and you pull the plug, and tell the fans "we stayed as long as we could. But if we can't compete with Central teams we just aren't good"
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Old 07-19-2017, 06:00 PM   #4151
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Maybe I'll go see my boys in blue play instead.
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Old 07-19-2017, 06:16 PM   #4152
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Which players have ascended since the 2011 draft?

You seem to have no problem criticizing the Chiefs but zero when it comes to the Royals.

Yet, which team ascending and which teams is descending?
I really hope you're trolling with the ascending and descending comments.

One team reached the pinnacle of sports recently, World Series in fact twice.

One team hasn't reached, or really come close, to the pinnacle in their sport for nearly 50 years.

There's really only one way for the losing team to go (Chiefs) and one way for a recent winning team to go (Royals). Staying on the pinnacle in any sport is hard. What's really embarrassing is that the one in the sport with the most competitive, draft and financial balance is the one never reaching the dance in 5 decades.

If you're claiming players ascending more for the Chiefs, and that leading to one playoff win in that time, maybe you're over-valuing the Chiefs players.

Dayton Moore does deserve some criticism for the past two years. But that's hardly reason to claim this team sucks and people wanting to hate these players.
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Old 07-19-2017, 06:26 PM   #4153
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Old 07-19-2017, 06:27 PM   #4154
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I really hope you're trolling with the ascending and descending comments.

One team reached the pinnacle of sports recently, World Series in fact twice.

One team hasn't reached, or really come close, to the pinnacle in their sport for nearly 50 years.

There's really only one way for the losing team to go (Chiefs) and one way for a recent winning team to go (Royals). Staying on the pinnacle in any sport is hard. What's really embarrassing is that the one in the sport with the most competitive, draft and financial balance is the one never reaching the dance in 5 decades.
I fully disagree.

Dayton Moore's job may be more difficult but not by much, IMO. He's had a bunch of 1st round flops. Some of his best players have come from trades.

How many Hall of Famers has he drafted?


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If you're claiming players ascending more for the Chiefs, and that leading to one playoff win in that time, maybe you're over-valuing the Chiefs players.
Carl Peterson drafted not one, not two, but THREE Hall of Famers in Derrick Thomas, Tony Gonzalez and Will Shields, with Jared Allen just waiting around for another 4 years for his induction. Tamba Hali and Jamaal Charles will certainly be in the conversation.

Scott Pioli drafted two possible Hall of Famers in Justin Houston and Eric Berry.

Football is a much different sport than baseball but I'm sorry, I just don't see Dayton Moore as some kind of miracle worker.

I see him more as a guy that got really ****ing lucky that his trades bailed out his shitty drafts.

If he can pull it off a second time, I'll certainly revise my opinion.
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Old 07-19-2017, 06:27 PM   #4155
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I'm beginning to think Cleveland is losing on purpose so we can't sell and get prospects.
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