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Old 04-05-2017, 10:55 AM  
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*** Official 2017 Royals Repository ***

Chiefsplanet’s (Proposed) 2017 Season Title: One Last Ride

Midish-Season Update (Royals 51-47, 2nd Wild Card, 1.5 GB of ALC):

We're halfway through 2017, and fittingly to the Chiefsplanet's 2017 Season Title, the Royals are all-in on what will likely be one final run with the current core. While many are worried the Royals will take a 2004 style tumble after this year, the farm system is hardly the barren wasteland it was during the Baird years. To see what's in the pipeline and what we have to look forward to, check out this exceptional list and analysis that Duncan put together of our system.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...htmlview#gid=0

While I had the honor of starting this thread this year, Duncan will always have a VIP pass to this OP, and can add more content at any time.

2017's Burning Questions Revisited:

1. What is the threshold between being “buyers” and “sellers” at the deadline?

We're buyers, baby.

In April, I argued that it would be a wise strategy for us to sell if we were 5 GB or worse, but that Dayton would likely add supplemental pieces for us to load up for another run if we were 1-2 GB. On July 24th, the Royals found themselves in sole possession of the 2nd wild card spot and 1.5 games back of the division. In April I said the Royals might pull the trigger on someone like Alex Cobb and resign Luke Hochevar, but since the Rays are also buyers and Luke's shoulder hasn't rebounded, this prediction hasn't come to fruition. Luckily, Dayton Moore again proved much more adept and creative than me by adding Trevor Cahill (good call, Duncan), Brandon Maurer and Ryan Buchter in a single trade. Giving us a solid starter to compete in 2017, and two relievers whom we will control through 2019 and 2021, respectively, keeping Moore's new vision through 2019-2020 intact. Moore has hinted that the Royals will continue to pursue the right deals if they're there, so the fun may not be over just yet. While we may not have the bullets to pull in a "star" like Cueto or Zo, Moore's adeptness may yet again net us what we need for another run in October.

2. Can Gordo and Moose bounce back to 2015 levels?

In April I asked if Gordo could at least set the table at a 265/325/425 clip and if Moose could deliver damage around a 265/335/500 clip for an entire year. This season Mr. Moustakas has been the prospect that was promised, delivering at a 277/307/568 clip as of this update. Gordo, on the other hand, has put up an unbelievably abysmal line thus far. But, if there is a silver lining, it's that Gordo has performed at a 246/311/432 line since June 1st, and if he can continue to perform near that mark, he will be more than a valuable asset at the bottom of the lineup while he continues to provide the best LF defense in the league.

3. Can Ned Yost manage a bullpen?

In April, I felt that despite the poor start, Royals bullpen would ultimately be "solid" this year, but the question was whether "solid" was good enough for Ned. I argued that the Royals needed Soria to bounce back and that Ned would need to start being strategic in his L/L and R/R matchups. While Ned has still made at times baffling and frustrating decisions with his starters (such as allowing Travis Wood to try to "get the win" and still insisting on sending Hammel out for the 6th, he's mostly done a good job).

MASH: Minor/Moylan - Alexander - Soria - Herrera (Credit to C3HIEF3S for the origins of the phrase) have cemented into reliable pieces, and now that Herrera is showing signs of stabilizing, our dumping of Wood, our call up Flynn, and the acquisition of Buchter and Maurer, the Royals have the potential to enter October with one of the best and deepest bullpens in the postseason.

4. Will the Royals find a boost from an unexpected X-Factor to lift them to contention?

Cool-Whit, Boni, Mike ****ing Minor, and Alexander have come up huge thus far. Cool Whit is, incredibly, is second on the team in WAR and has more than replaced Zo's presence on the team. They, like the X-Factors on the 2014-2015 teams, have been critical cogs as we've raced back to contention, while Cool-Whit and Boni also have provided a rosier outlook for this team's future. It's worth noting that Salvador Perez and Jason Vargas has been beasts on offense and the mound (along with Sal providing his customary defensive excellence), but I am still a bit wary of Salvy's annual Yost assisted offensive drought as the team moves into August, along with Vargy regressing to his averages.

5. Can Jorge Soler and Brandon Moss be productive contributors in Kauffman’s dimensions?

Ouch, no, but the Royals shift to power-hitting in the juiced ball era looks like one that will pay off. Thankfully, Moss is showing signs of entering his seasonal hot streak where he becomes corn-fed Jesus for a month, and we'll need him hot to keep up with Cleveland down the stretch. While Jorge has been painful to watch in the majors, his scorching performance in AAA should give one a bright hope for the future. While some may disagree, I offer Moose, Hos, Gordo, and Duffy's struggles as exhibit A for why it is far too early to give up on Soler's potential.

Bonus Question - Is Raul Mondesi truly ready to be an everyday player?

Ha! Not even close. However, like Soler, his progress in AAA is incredibly encouraging. With ceilings like Lindor and floors being Esky being thrown out there, it's hard not to be excited about his future.

The Picture Forward

There are many reasons to be excited, and not only for 2017. The Royals emergence of Cool Whit, Bonifacio, and Scott Alexander, and the fact that we have pieces like Salvador Perez, Danny Duffy, Kelvin Herrera, Jorge Soler, Ryan Buchter, Brandon Maurer Cheslor Cuthbert, and Raul Mondesi until at least 2019 should leave one feeling pretty optimistic. Re-up Moose or Hos (and heck, re-sign Dyson while we're at it), and suddenly this team looks very much like one that could compete for the indefinite future.

The Royals are all in again, buckle in and enjoy the ride.

April OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Chiefspants; 08-02-2017 at 01:53 PM..
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Old 07-18-2017, 10:19 PM   #4081
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Moore has sucked ass the past 2 years. Not re signing Morales, trading probably the best closer in the MLB for a guy who can't even make a major league roster. Signing Hammel to a big contract when he's at best a #3. Am I missing anything else?
Hammel only got 2 years 16 million and only did that because of the unexpected death of Ventura. Ill give you the other 2. They needed to be all in if that was the goal not trying to serve 2 masters.
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Old 07-18-2017, 10:24 PM   #4082
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I'm not usually one for name-calling anymore after doing so too loosely in the past. But you are without a doubt the biggest ****ing idiot on this board.

The Hammel signing was the direct result of Ventura's death, obviously a huge inconvenience for you the big, huge Royals fan I am sure! I'll go ahead and wait for what your master plan for what GMDM should have done instead besides signing one of the better starters left on the market in Hammel, a move that the Royals opened the checkbook to do. With the past years fans bitching at the contrary. Fact: starting pitching is expensive. No one expected Hammel to be a top of the rotation. No one. He was brought in to replace Yordano Ventura's production.

If you're so short-sighted that you are judging a trade that will impact the next three seasons for a guy who has had 102 sporadic PA's at the big league level this year then you're just pushing your floor even lower than it already is.
This is Solers worst season by far. He was even better with the Cubs. The not resigning of Cuban breakfast was a terrible mistake. They should of re signed Volquez instead of signing Hammel. I don't know if Volquez already signed with a team before Venturas death?
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Old 07-18-2017, 10:25 PM   #4083
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Where has Alnorth been? This place has a void that needs to be filled.
I am just about at the end of my rope. I just shouldn't read the internet really. It's my own fault. So many Royals fans want to sell, and I just don't get it.

Now I will say, if you can get a Greinke like package for one of these guys, maybe you should do it. I wouldn't be upset at that. We do have an uphill road to get where we want to go. But that's been my worry since May... just about every baseball writer out there is saying the market for position players is going to be rough. It isn't some big secret. It makes sense. The Dodgers, Cubs, Astros, Nats... they are all completely loaded across the board. Scary good. They all need pitching, and at least so far the trades are bearing that out.

I think you just go all-in and hope for the best. Hope that bringing in a Jay Bruce or someone like that gives us a shot in the arm. People want to start selling out of anger, but if you dump Moose, Hos, etc and get a Finnegan/Lamb type return, then where are you? You are completely and utterly f'ed. You're done. You have nothing to build on.

You'd literally be better off just letting all these guys walk, getting the picks, then trading Duffy and Perez for Greinke-like packages. Those are the only two guys on this team who are probably going to bring you a decent return. The rest are half season rentals. But by doing that you are going to see 5000 people at the K again and probably risk screwing up your one shot to sign a great TV contract that could give your payroll a shot in the arm.

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Old 07-18-2017, 10:27 PM   #4084
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Volquez already signed and was horrible his last year here.
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Old 07-18-2017, 10:29 PM   #4085
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I am just about at the end of my rope. I just shouldn't read the internet really. So many Royals fans want to sell, and I just don't get it.

Now I will say, if you can get a Greinke like package for one of these guys, maybe you should do it. I wouldn't be upset at that. But that's been my worry since May... just about every baseball writer out there is saying the market for position players is going to be rough. It isn't some big secret. It makes sense. The Dodgers, Cubs, Astros, Nats... they are all completely loaded across the board. Scary good. They all need pitching, and at least so far the trades are bearing that out.

I think you just go all-in and hope for the best. People want to start selling out of anger, but if you dump Moose, Hos, etc and get a Finnegan/Lamb type return, then where are you? You are completely and utterly f'ed. You're done. You have nothing to build on.

You'd literally be better off just letting all these guys walk, getting the picks, then trading Duffy and Perez for Greinke-like packages. Those are the only two guys on this team who are probably going to bring you a decent return. The rest are half season rentals. But by doing that you are going to see 5000 people at the K again and probably risk screwing up your one shot to sign a great TV contract that could give your payroll a shot in the arm.
There is no answer.

Sell and get little return.

Stay and miss the playoffs.

Neither option is palatable in 2017.
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Old 07-18-2017, 10:34 PM   #4086
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They're not selling. There's no one to sell. As tk points out, all the contenders are loaded. I guess you could try to get Moose to the Red Sox(don't think they'd give up much)or to the Angels(if they think they have a WC shot). Vargas maybe but I'm pretty sure other gm's see Vargas for what he is, a decent guy having a good year who is probably regressing to the mean. You either get some pitchers and go for it, or just let these guys play out a swan song while we the fans are left to hope for a winning or at least a .500 season to keep that streak alive before we hit some dark ages(not 2005 dark but not good).
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Old 07-18-2017, 10:35 PM   #4087
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There is no answer.

Sell and get little return.

Stay and miss the playoffs.

Neither option is palatable in 2017.
Yep. I think they probably do nothing and the fans hit a level of acceptance come the latter part of August and just try to enjoy these guys a few more weeks.
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Old 07-18-2017, 10:46 PM   #4088
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They're not selling. There's no one to sell. As tk points out, all the contenders are loaded. I guess you could try to get Moose to the Red Sox(don't think they'd give up much)or to the Angels(if they think they have a WC shot). Vargas maybe but I'm pretty sure other gm's see Vargas for what he is, a decent guy having a good year who is probably regressing to the mean. You either get some pitchers and go for it, or just let these guys play out a swan song while we the fans are left to hope for a winning or at least a .500 season to keep that streak alive before we hit some dark ages(not 2005 dark but not good).
It's the half season thing that kills you. The Sox do need a 3B, but they have a handful of prospects there who just aren't ready. Dombrowski is pretty loose with his prospects but I don't know that he'd trade one of them unless he knew he could sign Moose.
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Old 07-18-2017, 11:18 PM   #4089
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Old 07-18-2017, 11:23 PM   #4090
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We need Raul Ibanez back
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Old 07-18-2017, 11:25 PM   #4091
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2014 doesn't = 2017
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Old 07-18-2017, 11:26 PM   #4092
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I wonder if Billy Butler is still available for a DH role
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Old 07-18-2017, 11:58 PM   #4093
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Indians lose again
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Old 07-19-2017, 12:24 AM   #4094
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The state of this discussion has been pretty sad at times.

We have a GM who has led a small market team to unparalleled success out of any small market team since the turn of the century.

Yet, because of things like the tragedy of Yordano Ventura's death, he's "sucked ass."

Give it a break. This isn't MLB the Show. GM's can't edit a players attributes to fill their rosters with all-stars. I challenge anyone to name a GM who has taken a team with the Royals payroll to the heights that Moore has taken the Royals.

Protip: u can't.

I feel like Leia making a distress call to Obi-Wan. Reaper and Al would do wonders for this discussion at this time.
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Old 07-19-2017, 12:32 AM   #4095
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The state of this discussion has been pretty sad at times.

We have a GM who has led a small market team to unparalleled success out of any small market team since the turn of the century.

Yet, because of things like the tragedy of Yordano Ventura's death, he's "sucked ass."

Give it a break. This isn't MLB the Show. GM's can't edit a players attributes to fill their rosters with all-stars. I challenge anyone to name a GM who has taken a team with the Royals payroll to the heights that Moore has taken the Royals.

Protip: u can't.

I feel like Leia making a distress call to Obi-Wan. Reaper and Al would do wonders for this discussion at this time.
Which players have ascended since the 2011 draft?

You seem to have no problem criticizing the Chiefs but zero when it comes to the Royals.

Yet, which team ascending and which teams is descending?
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