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Old 04-05-2017, 10:55 AM  
Chiefspants Chiefspants is offline
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*** Official 2017 Royals Repository ***

Chiefsplanet’s (Proposed) 2017 Season Title: One Last Ride

Midish-Season Update (Royals 51-47, 2nd Wild Card, 1.5 GB of ALC):

We're halfway through 2017, and fittingly to the Chiefsplanet's 2017 Season Title, the Royals are all-in on what will likely be one final run with the current core. While many are worried the Royals will take a 2004 style tumble after this year, the farm system is hardly the barren wasteland it was during the Baird years. To see what's in the pipeline and what we have to look forward to, check out this exceptional list and analysis that Duncan put together of our system.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...htmlview#gid=0

While I had the honor of starting this thread this year, Duncan will always have a VIP pass to this OP, and can add more content at any time.

2017's Burning Questions Revisited:

1. What is the threshold between being “buyers” and “sellers” at the deadline?

We're buyers, baby.

In April, I argued that it would be a wise strategy for us to sell if we were 5 GB or worse, but that Dayton would likely add supplemental pieces for us to load up for another run if we were 1-2 GB. On July 24th, the Royals found themselves in sole possession of the 2nd wild card spot and 1.5 games back of the division. In April I said the Royals might pull the trigger on someone like Alex Cobb and resign Luke Hochevar, but since the Rays are also buyers and Luke's shoulder hasn't rebounded, this prediction hasn't come to fruition. Luckily, Dayton Moore again proved much more adept and creative than me by adding Trevor Cahill (good call, Duncan), Brandon Maurer and Ryan Buchter in a single trade. Giving us a solid starter to compete in 2017, and two relievers whom we will control through 2019 and 2021, respectively, keeping Moore's new vision through 2019-2020 intact. Moore has hinted that the Royals will continue to pursue the right deals if they're there, so the fun may not be over just yet. While we may not have the bullets to pull in a "star" like Cueto or Zo, Moore's adeptness may yet again net us what we need for another run in October.

2. Can Gordo and Moose bounce back to 2015 levels?

In April I asked if Gordo could at least set the table at a 265/325/425 clip and if Moose could deliver damage around a 265/335/500 clip for an entire year. This season Mr. Moustakas has been the prospect that was promised, delivering at a 277/307/568 clip as of this update. Gordo, on the other hand, has put up an unbelievably abysmal line thus far. But, if there is a silver lining, it's that Gordo has performed at a 246/311/432 line since June 1st, and if he can continue to perform near that mark, he will be more than a valuable asset at the bottom of the lineup while he continues to provide the best LF defense in the league.

3. Can Ned Yost manage a bullpen?

In April, I felt that despite the poor start, Royals bullpen would ultimately be "solid" this year, but the question was whether "solid" was good enough for Ned. I argued that the Royals needed Soria to bounce back and that Ned would need to start being strategic in his L/L and R/R matchups. While Ned has still made at times baffling and frustrating decisions with his starters (such as allowing Travis Wood to try to "get the win" and still insisting on sending Hammel out for the 6th, he's mostly done a good job).

MASH: Minor/Moylan - Alexander - Soria - Herrera (Credit to C3HIEF3S for the origins of the phrase) have cemented into reliable pieces, and now that Herrera is showing signs of stabilizing, our dumping of Wood, our call up Flynn, and the acquisition of Buchter and Maurer, the Royals have the potential to enter October with one of the best and deepest bullpens in the postseason.

4. Will the Royals find a boost from an unexpected X-Factor to lift them to contention?

Cool-Whit, Boni, Mike ****ing Minor, and Alexander have come up huge thus far. Cool Whit is, incredibly, is second on the team in WAR and has more than replaced Zo's presence on the team. They, like the X-Factors on the 2014-2015 teams, have been critical cogs as we've raced back to contention, while Cool-Whit and Boni also have provided a rosier outlook for this team's future. It's worth noting that Salvador Perez and Jason Vargas has been beasts on offense and the mound (along with Sal providing his customary defensive excellence), but I am still a bit wary of Salvy's annual Yost assisted offensive drought as the team moves into August, along with Vargy regressing to his averages.

5. Can Jorge Soler and Brandon Moss be productive contributors in Kauffman’s dimensions?

Ouch, no, but the Royals shift to power-hitting in the juiced ball era looks like one that will pay off. Thankfully, Moss is showing signs of entering his seasonal hot streak where he becomes corn-fed Jesus for a month, and we'll need him hot to keep up with Cleveland down the stretch. While Jorge has been painful to watch in the majors, his scorching performance in AAA should give one a bright hope for the future. While some may disagree, I offer Moose, Hos, Gordo, and Duffy's struggles as exhibit A for why it is far too early to give up on Soler's potential.

Bonus Question - Is Raul Mondesi truly ready to be an everyday player?

Ha! Not even close. However, like Soler, his progress in AAA is incredibly encouraging. With ceilings like Lindor and floors being Esky being thrown out there, it's hard not to be excited about his future.

The Picture Forward

There are many reasons to be excited, and not only for 2017. The Royals emergence of Cool Whit, Bonifacio, and Scott Alexander, and the fact that we have pieces like Salvador Perez, Danny Duffy, Kelvin Herrera, Jorge Soler, Ryan Buchter, Brandon Maurer Cheslor Cuthbert, and Raul Mondesi until at least 2019 should leave one feeling pretty optimistic. Re-up Moose or Hos (and heck, re-sign Dyson while we're at it), and suddenly this team looks very much like one that could compete for the indefinite future.

The Royals are all in again, buckle in and enjoy the ride.

April OP:

Spoiler!

Last edited by Chiefspants; 08-02-2017 at 01:53 PM..
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Old 07-12-2017, 05:36 PM   #3736
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http://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/bas...ainst-dodgers/

Royals' Joakim Soria: Blows save Saturday against Dodgers
by RotoWire Staff Jul 9, 2017 • 1 min read UPDATE Jul 9, 2017, 2:58am

Soria was tagged with his fifth blown save of the year after allowing an eighth-inning, game-tying solo homer to Cody Bellinger in Saturday's game against the Dodgers.
The reliever entered Los Angeles on a six-game scoreless streak, but that ended in a big way Saturday. Soria continues to be a rollercoaster ride in 2017, and despite managing 11 holds and four wins, he's likely not worth the headache in leagues that value setup men.

Do the math of all the blown saves so far and how far we are back in the standings. It was dumb to trade Wade.
Doesn't matter. Davis would not be replacing the roles of both Herrera and Soria. Sometimes your closer is not available due to being used multiple days. That would not change if Davis were here.

I'm not going to say we wouldn't be in first if we had Wade and at the same time you cannot definitively say that we would. It's not as simple as plugging another player in and saying "See, we'd be better off".
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Old 07-12-2017, 05:40 PM   #3737
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I swear I'm not quoting you to be mean, but the Royals FO proved us all wrong in 2014. Jorge Soler is the same age Moose was in 2013. Moose was even worse in 2014 and by then the brass of Chiefsplanet declared him a bust for life. The Royals have proven us wrong again and again here, and Soler deserves at least another year before we declare yet another bust for the franchise.
You would think after the Moose and Gordon past demotions Royals fans would be a tad more patient. I've seen morons writing off Mondesi at 21.
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Old 07-12-2017, 06:41 PM   #3738
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The Soler-Davis trade was never about just making them better in 17. It was a longer play trying to balance now and the future.

Judging it based on the first 100 games is silly and short-sighted.


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Old 07-12-2017, 06:47 PM   #3739
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That is Exactly what Soler power has done so far. When he becomes a huge factor in winning multiple playoff games and nailing down a World Series title like Wade did- then I might revise my opinion of the trade. Right now it looks like one of the worst in the team's history.
Wade Davis is an un-restricted free agent after this year. We traded for a young player, he's 25 for ****'s sake, who is under contract 3 more years after this. If you are judging this trade now, you simply have no understand of the first two sentences in this post. The Royals would simply never resign a closer for what Davis will be asking for. They traded him near his highest point (his injuries in 2016 hurt his value), to get a young player with a high ceiling and lots of control. It's what small market teams HAVE to do.

If you're writing off Soler now, I'm not sure what exactly you're watching. He's very raw but the potential is there in his bat. The current mistake, IMO, is not giving him consistent starts. Hopefully our hitting coach can get him to focus on pitch location for improved contact potential. If that falls into place, his swing is already powerful enough to generate consistent power.
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Old 07-12-2017, 06:53 PM   #3740
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Old 07-12-2017, 07:12 PM   #3741
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Just watched a documentary about the 90s Indians on MLB Network. It was actually really good. It reminds you is how lucky we are to have experienced what the Royals have done the last few years. The Indians never won it all and those were some great teams. But it was interesting just watching the attitudes of those guys... Belle, Murray, etc. They had so many issues it made it hard to keep the team together.

Belle wouldn't do the doc, but he left the producer a voicemail message saying that the only comment he had was that John Hart screwed up their dynasty. It was pretty brutal. Jose Mesa and Vizquel still hate each other over things Vizquel said in his book. It's amazing. I forgot that Vizquel wrote that while he was still playing, and Mesa literally hit him every time he faced him afterwards. MLB threatened to ban Mesa for life if he didn't stop.

No matter what happens, we've had a 5 year run where the Royals were in the playoff chase every year, 2 World Series and a title with a group of guys who were all pretty likable and fun to root for.
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Old 07-12-2017, 07:24 PM   #3742
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He's blown a hold but not a save
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Old 07-12-2017, 07:26 PM   #3743
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That is Exactly what Soler power has done so far. When he becomes a huge factor in winning multiple playoff games and nailing down a World Series title like Wade did- then I might revise my opinion of the trade. Right now it looks like one of the worst in the team's history.
Yes, it is most likely he'll bust, but one doesn't give up hope.
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Old 07-12-2017, 07:53 PM   #3744
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You guys have short memories. I remember when Gordon was a bust, Hosmer was a bust. Moose was a bust. Duffy was a bust. Hochevar was a bust. On and on.

And Soler isn't even those guys. He's actually played, and played very well for the Cubs. Played 200 games over the last couple years for a championship team, hit 27 HR and about 100 RBI, and was an absolute monster in the playoffs.

Meanwhile, he's started a whole 24 games for the Royals, and we should throw in the towel. Get out of here with that noise.
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Old 07-12-2017, 07:55 PM   #3745
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Doesn't surprise me. The Royals have the best fans and most loyal fans
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Old 07-12-2017, 07:59 PM   #3746
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You guys have short memories. I remember when Gordon was a bust, Hosmer was a bust. Moose was a bust. Duffy was a bust. Hochevar was a bust. On and on.

And Soler isn't even those guys. He's actually played, and played very well for the Cubs. Played 200 games over the last couple years for a championship team, hit 27 HR and about 100 RBI, and was an absolute monster in the playoffs.

Meanwhile, he's started a whole 24 games for the Royals, and we should throw in the towel. Get out of here with that noise.
I want him to DH the rest of he way
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Old 07-12-2017, 08:05 PM   #3747
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Ken Rosenthal is now writing articles on his Facebook page because FOX dumped all their writers today and are a video-only website now. So there's that. Tonight he posted that the Marlins are basically hoping to start dumping guys. Their baseball people definitely want to rebuild, but their sale is holding things up. No surprise there.

He said there was an idea floating around of them sending Yelich and Stanton to the Phillies, just to dump Stanton's contract. The Phillies want Yelich badly, but probably not that badly. But it was more about how the Marlins want to sell. Maybe we wouldn't have to give up the farm for Dee Gordon.
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Old 07-12-2017, 08:13 PM   #3748
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Ken Rosenthal is now writing articles on his Facebook page because FOX dumped all their writers today and are a video-only website now.
I saw this earlier and I can't express in words how much I hate the move to video.

I don't need 20 something "beautiful people" telling me about the latest transactions or news of the day.

I HATE video and mute it as soon as it launches on any website.

Journalism is writing and investigating and researching.

Not asking "Can you talk about...?".
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Old 07-12-2017, 08:16 PM   #3749
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Rosenthal is one of the best. He should work for MLB Network
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Old 07-12-2017, 08:40 PM   #3750
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You guys have short memories. I remember when Gordon was a bust, Hosmer was a bust. Moose was a bust. Duffy was a bust. Hochevar was a bust. On and on.

And Soler isn't even those guys. He's actually played, and played very well for the Cubs. Played 200 games over the last couple years for a championship team, hit 27 HR and about 100 RBI, and was an absolute monster in the playoffs.

Meanwhile, he's started a whole 24 games for the Royals, and we should throw in the towel. Get out of here with that noise.
So much agree with this post. If you expect most players to be MLB ready in their first years of service, you should stick to watching the NFL.

Development for many lasts well into the mid to late 20's for many of these guys (those who aren't Super Stars) to start playing really well if they do in fact have the talent. It's what makes baseball fascinating. If teams gave up on players as fast as those calling them busts on Chiefsplanet, we'd have never seen a World Series winning Royals team with Gordon, Moose, Duffy and Hosmer.
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