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Old 11-24-2014, 10:31 AM  
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
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5 games out: Direckshun's Projeckshuns

How I project the rest of the season working out:

1. Pats, Donks, Colts get slots 1-3, in order.

2. Here's how the top wild card contenders fare:

Dolphins (6-5):
@ Jets W
vs. Baltimore W
@ NE L
vs. Vikings W
vs. Jets W
Dolphins end up 10-6.

Browns (7-4):
@ Bills W
vs. Colts L
vs. Bengals W
@ Panthers W
@ Ravens L
Browns end up 10-6.

Steelers (7-4):
vs. Saints W
@ Cincy L
@ Falcons W
vs. Chiefs W
vs. Bengals W
Steelers end up 11-5.

Ravens (6-4):
@ Saints [tonight] W
vs. Chargers W
@ Dolphins L
vs. Jags W
@ Texans W
vs. Browns W
Ravens end up 11-5.

Bengals (7-3-1):
@ Bucs W
vs. Steelers W
@ Browns L
vs. Broncos L
@ Steelers L
Bengals end up 9-6-1.

Chiefs (7-4):
vs. Broncos L
@ Arizona W
vs. Oakland W
@ Steelers L
vs. Chargers W
Chiefs end up 10-6.

Chargers (7-4):
@ Ravens L
vs. Patriots L
vs. Broncos L
@ 49ers L
@ Chiefs L
Chargers end up 7-9.

3. Steelers get the tiebreaker over the Ravens (projected 3-3 divisional record to Baltimore's projected 2-4) and take the #4 slot. Ravens take #5 and will visit Pittsburgh.

4. As for the remaining three 10-6 teams vying for the #6 slot:

Dolphins 10-6
Browns 10-6
Chiefs 10-6

Oddly enough, the fact that the Chiefs beat the Dolphins (and that the Dolphins beat the Browns) doesn't matter. The only time head-to-head counts when it's a three way tie is if the team in question has beaten (or lost to) each of the other team. But the Chiefs and Browns didn't play, and the Dolphins went 1-1.

The next tie-breaker is AFC conference record:
Dolphins: 8-4
Chiefs: 7-5
Browns: 6-6
The Dolphins get the #6 slot and will visit Indy.

The Chiefs and Browns miss the playoffs.
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:21 AM   #16
Discuss Thrower Discuss Thrower is offline
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If Denver beats KC, there is a 62% chance Chiefs miss out on the playoffs and would not control their own destiny. If the reverse happens, there's a 70% chance the Chiefs make the playoffs and would control their own destiny for at least one more week.
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Last edited by Discuss Thrower; 11-24-2014 at 11:36 AM..
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:23 AM   #17
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Originally Posted by temper11 View Post
Worthless?
The Chiefs have a history of suffering a bad loss to a team for consecutive years or getting one-upped by them in the playoffs. Then some random year later when the offending team is either injured, older, or not as good, the Chiefs meet them at home and win the game.

Then dudes like Mitch Holthus say, "What a sweet taste of revenge!" ignoring of course that it's one regular season home win compared to the awful rape we went up against in prior years
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:25 AM   #18
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Originally Posted by wazu View Post
No way we get off this easy. The Chiefs will win the division, and the Broncos will come whip their butts in Arrowhead in Round 1. Maximum pain, as per usual.
That would be a GRRM approved ending.
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I have completely given up on Alex Smith as a qb. Its painful to watch. Like, worse than watching Colt McCoy.
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:25 AM   #19
BigMeatballDave BigMeatballDave is offline
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Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower View Post
Nothing says "Your favorite team's season is over" like scoreboard watching and looking at tiebreaking scenarios.
Your head is infinite space of dumbassery.
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:27 AM   #20
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Originally Posted by BigMeatballDave View Post
Your head is infinite space of dumbassery.
And your head might as well be my apartment by the amount of time I spend in it.
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:32 AM   #21
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Originally Posted by SNR View Post
The Chiefs have a history of suffering a bad loss to a team for consecutive years or getting one-upped by them in the playoffs. Then some random year later when the offending team is either injured, older, or not as good, the Chiefs meet them at home and win the game.

Then dudes like Mitch Holthus say, "What a sweet taste of revenge!" ignoring of course that it's one regular season home win compared to the awful rape we went up against in prior years
oh... ok. In terms of this year playoff race though, this "regular season home win" would be pretty meaningful. And it's not like the Broncos are awful this year.

So injured? Not as much as the Chiefs are they?; older? Manning - obviously, not sure about the cumulative overall age of rest of team; not as good? By most accounts they improved in the off-season, their record isn't as good but as with the Chiefs, they are playing a much harder record this year. Manning himself is only slightly off of his record setting year last year.
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:32 AM   #22
BigMeatballDave BigMeatballDave is offline
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Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower View Post
And your head might as well be my apartment by the amount of time I spend in it.
LOL Right.

I sure wish I was as immature as you.

You're incapable of real football discussion, so you just troll.
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:33 AM   #23
TEX TEX is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
How I project the rest of the season working out:

1. Pats, Donks, Colts get slots 1-3, in order.

2. Here's how the top wild card contenders fare:

Dolphins (6-5):
@ Jets W
vs. Baltimore W
@ NE L
vs. Vikings W
vs. Jets W
Dolphins end up 10-6.

Browns (7-4):
@ Bills W
vs. Colts L
vs. Bengals W
@ Panthers W
@ Ravens L
Browns end up 10-6.

Steelers (7-4):
vs. Saints W
@ Cincy L
@ Falcons W
vs. Chiefs W
vs. Bengals W
Steelers end up 11-5.

Ravens (6-4):
@ Saints [tonight] W
vs. Chargers W
@ Dolphins L
vs. Jags W
@ Texans W
vs. Browns W
Ravens end up 11-5.

Bengals (7-3-1):
@ Bucs W
vs. Steelers W
@ Browns L
vs. Broncos L
@ Steelers L
Bengals end up 9-6-1.

Chiefs (7-4):
vs. Broncos L
@ Arizona W
vs. Oakland W
@ Steelers L
vs. Chargers W
Chiefs end up 10-6.

Chargers (7-4):
@ Ravens L
vs. Patriots L
vs. Broncos L
@ 49ers L
@ Chiefs L
Chargers end up 7-9.

3. Steelers get the tiebreaker over the Ravens (projected 3-3 divisional record to Baltimore's projected 2-4) and take the #4 slot. Ravens take #5 and will visit Pittsburgh.

4. As for the remaining three 10-6 teams vying for the #6 slot:

Dolphins 10-6
Browns 10-6
Chiefs 10-6

Oddly enough, the fact that the Chiefs beat the Dolphins (and that the Dolphins beat the Browns) doesn't matter. The only time head-to-head counts when it's a three way tie is if the team in question has beaten (or lost to) each of the other team. But the Chiefs and Browns didn't play, and the Dolphins went 1-1.

The next tie-breaker is AFC conference record:
Dolphins: 8-4
Chiefs: 7-5
Browns: 6-6
The Dolphins get the #6 slot and will visit Indy.

The Chiefs and Browns miss the playoffs.
IF it pans out that way, THAT'S what happens when you lose to the Titans and Raiders...

That being said, I DONT think the Browns finish 10-6 or Baltimore and Pitt finish 11-5. Doesn't matter regarding the Chiefs because I bet we finish 9-7 and miss out regardless of any tie breakers. That Raider loss was HUGE and will end up defining the season.
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Last edited by TEX; 11-24-2014 at 11:40 AM..
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:40 AM   #24
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We will be 8-8 and miss the playoffs I'm afraid. Cardinals will beat us at their place even with Stanton because they "will" shut down our run AND definitely our non-pass game. Chargers need I say more than they beat us last year at home and if they keep winning and we keep losing it only suggest that the Chargers will need the win worse than we will by season's end.
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:43 AM   #25
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No way we get off this easy. The Chiefs will win the division, and the Broncos will come whip their butts in Arrowhead in Round 1. Maximum pain, as per usual.
Will their O-Lineman get caught wearing Vasoline? Wait/what?
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Old 11-24-2014, 11:45 AM   #26
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We will be 8-8 and miss the playoffs I'm afraid. Cardinals will beat us at their place even with Stanton because they "will" shut down our run AND definitely our non-pass game. Chargers need I say more than they beat us last year at home and if they keep winning and we keep losing it only suggest that the Chargers will need the win worse than we will by season's end.
You apparently didn't watch the Seattle-Arizona game yesterday.

The Browns win 10?

They've beaten two teams with a winning record this year and lost to the likes of Houston and Jacksonville.

It's not surprising that Cleveland, Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Miami win 10 or 11 games because they're not the Chiefs.



I seriously wonder how many people watch NFL games or have the Sunday Ticket because outside of NE and Green Bay, theres a whole lot of meh out there on Sundays.

Anything can happen between now and the end of the season and likely will. The Chiefs are far from out of this thing.
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Old 11-24-2014, 12:02 PM   #27
BigMeatballDave BigMeatballDave is offline
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I'm trying to figure out when it became 'cool' to troll and be negative about everything.
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Old 11-24-2014, 12:08 PM   #28
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I'm trying to figure out when it became 'cool' to troll and be negative about everything.
2007, I think
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Old 11-24-2014, 12:15 PM   #29
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Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud View Post
You apparently didn't watch the Seattle-Arizona game yesterday.

The Browns win 10?

They've beaten two teams with a winning record this year and lost to the likes of Houston and Jacksonville.

It's not surprising that Cleveland, Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Miami win 10 or 11 games because they're not the Chiefs.



I seriously wonder how many people watch NFL games or have the Sunday Ticket because outside of NE and Green Bay, theres a whole lot of meh out there on Sundays.

Anything can happen between now and the end of the season and likely will. The Chiefs are far from out of this thing.
Chiefshrink gave psychological evaluations to the Chiefs, and he was able to determine that they just don't believe hard enough. Their scores were significantly lower than that of the Royals after they beat the Athletics in the Wild Card round.
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Old 11-24-2014, 12:16 PM   #30
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I don't know if I have ever seen ANYONE create more threads than Direckshun about hypotheticals, guesstimations, and what if scenarios.

You must be an engineer or statistician by trade or by desire because they slice and dice numbers to such mental masturbation it's mind numbing.
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