|
11-06-2013, 10:04 PM | #16 |
...
Join Date: Nov 2001
Casino cash: $502500
|
Good stuff. Sounds about right. That means 8 of the 16 AFC teams have made it to the Super Bowl in that period. 13 of the 16 NFC teams have. Not bad. Especially since the turn of the century the AFC has been pretty much the Pats/Steelers/Colts/Ravens every year.
Last edited by tk13; 11-06-2013 at 10:12 PM.. |
Posts: 55,511
|
11-06-2013, 10:11 PM | #17 |
Now you've pissed me off!
Join Date: Jan 2006
Casino cash: $7739572
|
The sport where it is nigh impossible to actually compete with any semblance of fairness is basketball. You have to be terrible, win the lottery, and win it in years where there are excellent players available while also existing in a warm weather city. On top of that, the free agents collude now.
__________________
"When the Know-Nothings get control, it will read 'all men are created equal, except negroes, and foreigners, and Catholics.' When it comes to this I should prefer emigrating to some country where they make no pretense of loving liberty – to Russia, for instance, where despotism can be taken pure, and without the base alloy of hypocrisy.”--Abraham Lincoln |
Posts: 74,934
|
11-06-2013, 10:35 PM | #18 | |
First Overall
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: kcmo
Casino cash: $10007271
|
Quote:
no no no. you're not getting this. it states "winning percentages from season to season" and not "winners from season to season". what it is pointing out is that NFL teams are much more likely to change winning percentage by a large margin compared with other sports. It is showing parity is much easier to attain in other sports.
__________________
The Greatest |
|
Posts: 10,580
|
11-06-2013, 10:53 PM | #19 |
The Maintenance Guy
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Renovated Bugeater Estate
Casino cash: $4032680
|
|
Posts: 70,535
|
11-06-2013, 10:56 PM | #20 |
Guest
Casino cash: $
|
We're going to need a graph of DaFace's, rainman's, and seedy cox's post domination on this thread by the end.
|
Posts: n/a
|
11-06-2013, 11:35 PM | #21 |
www.nfl-forecast.com
Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $1321769
|
The number of contests absolutely is important. You can decrease the variance by playing more games (increasing the sample size). And I'm not sure where you get the statement about personnel, since the analysis doesn't contain any information about personnel changes from year to year.
|
Posts: 45,662
|
11-06-2013, 11:37 PM | #22 |
Pessimistically optimistic.
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Denver, CO
Casino cash: $1185086
|
|
Posts: 16,528
|
11-07-2013, 02:43 AM | #23 | |
Banned
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Nowhere
Casino cash: $10017949
|
Quote:
|
|
Posts: 4,649
|
11-07-2013, 06:20 AM | #24 | |
First Overall
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: kcmo
Casino cash: $10007271
|
Quote:
the comparison is done from season to season -- the "sample size" cannot be altered.
__________________
The Greatest |
|
Posts: 10,580
|
11-07-2013, 06:28 AM | #25 |
Rockin' yer FACE OFF!
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Omaha, Nebraska
Casino cash: $2545437
|
I don't understand any of this shit, and it makes my head hurt. Does this mean we will sweep the Donkeys or not??
__________________
We have a million reasons for failure, but not one excuse... Die Donks, DIE!! Holy Crap fellas!!! We did it!!! THREE TIMES!!! |
Posts: 26,267
|
11-07-2013, 06:32 AM | #26 | |
First Overall
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: kcmo
Casino cash: $10007271
|
Quote:
if the lil circle on the far right inches closer to the top of the page, the Chiefs will sweep the donks -- but you must concentrate on that lil circle for it to move
__________________
The Greatest |
|
Posts: 10,580
|
11-07-2013, 06:45 AM | #27 |
This is the way
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Wichita Falls, Texas
Casino cash: $9975673
|
which circle is Royals?
__________________
"No Two People Will Do It The Same, You got It Down...When You Appear to Be In Pain!" |
Posts: 11,800
|
11-07-2013, 06:49 AM | #28 |
Bono & Grbac wasn't enough
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Sioux City, IA
Casino cash: $11593829
|
Looks like a duck
__________________
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Advertise here: $19.99 a month |
Posts: 36,416
|
11-07-2013, 07:26 AM | #29 | |
Rockin' yer FACE OFF!
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Omaha, Nebraska
Casino cash: $2545437
|
Quote:
__________________
We have a million reasons for failure, but not one excuse... Die Donks, DIE!! Holy Crap fellas!!! We did it!!! THREE TIMES!!! |
|
Posts: 26,267
|
11-07-2013, 08:50 AM | #30 |
www.nfl-forecast.com
Join Date: Sep 2000
Casino cash: $1321769
|
But because MLB and the NBA have many more games per team in their seasons, the variance of their outcomes is inherently biased to be smaller than the NFL's.
|
Posts: 45,662
|
|
|