Royals *** Official Royals Repository, Part 3 *** - Page 157

duncan_idaho · 07-14-2015, 11:05 PM

In this thread: All things related to the AL Champions.

Duncan's Official Team Record prediction: 90 wins
One month in: Looking strong
All Star Break: Looking strong, probably should adjust up to 93-94 wins.
Duncan's Official Team MVP prediction: Eric Hosmer
One month in: Upstaged by his best friend MIKE MOOTACOS, MAN. Tell us bout your hittin, bro!
All Star Break: Lorenzo Cain starting to run away with this one.

Division Preview
Clearly, overlooking the Twins was a mistake at this point. I still don't believe in that team long-term, but they're starting to get that Magic Season twinkle about them.

Detroit is toast. Garbage rotation beyond Price and Sanchez, Miggy out.

And Cleveland... Cleveland still is dangerous if it ever clicks offensively, because the starting pitching is good enough for them to real off a 15-5 stretch and get right back into the playoff picture.

The Royals will be a division winner IF ...
1) Ventura and Duffy combine for 375+ innings of high-quality work
2) Eric Hosmer delivers on his potential with a FULL season of success rather than bursts
3) The deeper bullpen lessens the critical load on Herrera, Davis and Holland
4) Lorenzo Cain stays healthy
5) Either Alex Rios or Kendrys Morales bounces back to 2013 form

The first of these is clearly not going to happen. The second looked good through the end of May but is now eating Cain's dust (Hosmer has still been improved this year, though, lessening his valley. If he has a really hot second half, he can get right back in it). Item three is definitely the case. Item four should probably be first at this point. And Morales has more than bounced back.

Duncan’s Top 20 for mid-season 2015:

Spoiler!

1. Raul Adalberto Mondesi, SS, BOTH: Tools, tools, tools. RA has tools galore. At his best, he’s an All-Star SS who plays elite D, hits 15-20 HR, swipes 40 bags, and is an ideal 1, 2 or 3 hitter. At his worst, I think he looks a lot like Alcides Escobar. Plate discipline is his biggest challenge at this point, but evaluators are confident that will come with time. Clear No. 1
2. Sean Manaea, LHP: I still believe in the upside here, even with the abbreviated start. 6-5 lefties with his combination of stuff and deception have the ability to pitch at the front of a rotation for a long time.
3. Kyle Zimmer, RHP: He’s pitching again and staying healthy, which is nice. He’s pitcing out of the bullpen to build back his arm strength, which is less nice. But still has that high upside, just a lower floor now. Ideally, the team will use him as a bullpen weapon in September (because he has earned it) and then give him a chance to transition back to starting for 2016.
4. Miguel Almonte, RHP: Still love the body, FB/CH combo. Results aren’t eye popping, but he’s still low enough and early enough in the development to prize those things over performance. Still a solid No. 3 starter upside, and just a year and some change away from potentially being ready to contribute at the MLB level.
5. Cody Reed, LHP: Reed has popped up this year, forcing an early promotion to Northwest Arkansas. His stuff is legit, with mid-90s heat and a wipeout slider. Control still needs work, but a promising young arm (that makes Almonte much more tradeable)
6. John Lamb, LHP: Lamb has had a career resurgence in 2015, putting him back on the prospect map. He’s dominating at AAA and will be in the rotation mix in 2016, unless he suffers another setback. Fastball is back, changeup is improving, still working on the ability to throw the slider and curve for strikes when down in the count.
7. Jorge Bonifacio, RF, RH: Emilio’s little brother got off to a horrible start in 2015 but has heated up as the season went on. He also is translating BP power to game power for the first time, with 15 HR just past the mid-way point of his season. Despite his disappointing 2014, he has a chance to build his way back into legit prospect status – and still is only 22. Next challenge for him should be Omaha, but that may wait for the start of the 2014 season.
8. Scott Blewett, RHP: Blewett has a nice two –pitch mix already and is off to a strong start. With his size (6-6) and a good fastball/curveball combo, Blewett could eventually turn into a good No. 3 starter, with a MLB-average changeup.
9. Nolan Watson, RHP: The Royals’ 2015 sandwich pick is a polished prep arm who is adding velocity and explosiveness to a good, polished base. Likely to move quickly.
10. Ashe Russell, RHP: The 2015 top pick probably needs more work than Watson, but the upside is really nice. Again, advanced two-pitch mix that will depend on him adding a changeup. Could be a very good NO. 2 if it all adds up.

Spoiler!

11. Bubba Starling, CF, RH: Starling has been up and down this year but put himself back on the map by greatly improving his K rate while also improving across the slash line as a hitter. His defense and baserunning are MLB ready; if Starling can work himself into a league average hitter, he can be a solid MLB regular who plays great D in CF while hitting 15 HR and swiping 20 bags.
12. Balbino Fuenmayor, 1B/DH, RH: The Balbino came out of basically nowhere in 2015 to earn a Futures Game spot. Big power and an improved two-strike approach have turned the late bloomer into a legit prospect. He’s blocked at the MLB level currently by Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales, but Fuenmayor’s combination of power hitting and good average/strike zone control makes him intriguing.
13. Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, RH: Cheslor probably is not going to be the star KC was hoping for when signing him out of Nicaragua, but he does look like he can be a solid reserve for an MLB club. Good defense at 3B paired with a solid plate approach and some gap power plays fine off the bench. He becomes a lot more interesting if they think he can stick as a 2B, which they have experimented with.
14. Chase Vallot, C/DH/1B: I really like Vallot’s power and plate discipline combo. His bat will probably force him from behind the plate, but he’s held his own despite being extremely young for every level he has faced.
15. Alfredo Escalera-Maldonado, OF, RH: Escalera-Maldonado earned a promotion to Wilmington at age 20, which is pretty advanced movement for that age. He’s an athletic outfielder who has shown some plate discipline at an early age, which is encouraging. Doesn’t sound like he can stick in CF long term for KC, but his bat has become one to watch.
16. Pedro Fernandez, RHP: I haven’t seen much of him, but like the reports I’ve heard on his fastball and general makeup. Could become the next Almonte/Mondesi, though he’s more likely to land in the pen than either of them.
17. Elier Hernandez, OF, RH: Elier Hernanez teamed with Escalera-Maldonado in breaking out at Low-A and earning a promotion to Wilmington. It’s still early for this guy – he is just 20 years old – but he doesn’t take walks and hasn’t developed the prodigious power many thought he had the potential for. Still worth watching.
18. Hunter Dozier, 3B, RH: Dozier is reworking his swing mid-season, which generally will cause production to do what his has done: Nose dive. The changes he made entering the season (seemingly geared towards increasing his power production) were a disaster, and now he’s trying to get back to what he used to be. Still looks great and checks most of the scouting boxes, but the performance hasn’t matched, and it almost knocked him out of the list.
19. Christian Binford, RHP: After a breakthrough 2014, Binford struggled mightily at AAA and suffered a demotion. His upside remains similar – a back-end starter who can eat innings – but Binford’s lack of velocity and reliance on command have caught up to him so far.
20. Marten Gasparini, OF, SH: Gasparini is intriguing because of his speed and athleticism. He’s a LOOOOONG ways from the majors and young for his level, but reports on his bat speed, swing, and speed remain positive enough to keep him on the bubble.

ChiefsCountry · 07-27-2015, 11:51 AM

Matt Holliday is the Cardinals 8th hitter /Prison Douche

Prison Bitch · 07-27-2015, 11:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmh6476

I bet Infante would have a better chance than Gordon stepping to the plate today.

Well, that's definitely true.

**Anyong Bluth** · 07-27-2015, 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sure-Oz

Royals interest in Prado is 'minimal' from Joe Frisaro

My interest in Joe Frisaro is 'minimal' from here going forward unless it's good news

Hootie · 07-27-2015, 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry

Matt Holliday is the Cardinals 8th hitter /Prison Douche

I mean ... that is literally the dumbest ****ing thing I've ever heard

Infante plays every day because we have no other option at 2nd base (as opposed to having 5 OF's and Moose missing 10 games or so because of family issues) so, because of plate appearances, he's our #6 hitter.

Just ... what in the ****?

**Anyong Bluth** · 07-27-2015, 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0

what in the **** are you talking about?

Guthrie is our #2 because of IP and Infante is our #6 because of PA

you can't be this ****ing stupid, can you?

rhetorical question, correct?

Prison Bitch · 07-27-2015, 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry

Matt Holliday is the Cardinals 8th hitter /Prison Douche

This year he has been.

BWillie · 07-27-2015, 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0

No, they just owe him a lot of money. Unfortunately, the Royals aren't the ****ing Dodgers who can throw a metric shit ton of money at everything and see if shit sticks. If it doesn't, they can just eat entire contracts and not give a single **** about it. The Dodgers literally never have any risk in anything they do. It's what I hate about baseball.

With our success and sellouts we can afford to eat Infante's entire contract if necessary ... but I'm thinking there is a team out there that would take him on as long as we ate 50% of his salary assuming we landed Prado.

Prado is the guy I want over Zobrist because he is a better defender and helps us in 2016, too

Yeah I don't know about the contract situations of the two guys, but if you get Prado for NEXT year too, then that is clearly the better option. If Zobrist is a rental, then quite frankly I really don't want him unless it only costs us Bubba Starling or something.

ChiefsCountry · 07-27-2015, 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0

I mean ... that is literally the dumbest ****ing thing I've ever heard

Infante plays every day because we have no other option at 2nd base (as opposed to having 5 OF's and Moose missing 10 games or so because of family issues) so, because of plate appearances, he's our #6 hitter.

Just ... what in the ****?

Go look who is right behind Infante in plate appearances, makes him look even more ****ing stupid.

Hootie · 07-27-2015, 11:55 AM

we're 21 games over .500, running away with the division, and adding key pieces

the only thing that matters is our 25 man playoff roster at this point

is Guthrie going to start game 2 of the playoffs? Will Guthrie even start (I highly doubt it). Hell, Guthrie might not even be on the postseason roster.

Is Infante going to bat 6th in a playoff game? Will Infante even start? Hell, Infante might not even be on the postseason roster.

Sheer brilliance every time he posts.

Hootie · 07-27-2015, 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BWillie

Yeah I don't know about the contract situations of the two guys, but if you get Prado for NEXT year too, then that is clearly the better option. If Zobrist is a rental, then quite frankly I really don't want him unless it only costs us Bubba Starling or something.

Zobrist is 34. He might be a guy we could resign for something like 3 years, $40M. I'm not sure I'd want to do that, though.

Hootie · 07-27-2015, 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry

Go look who is right behind Infante in plate appearances, makes him look even more ****ing stupid.

Clearly, Omar Infante is our 5 hitter and Cain is our 6. Duh.

Hootie · 07-27-2015, 11:57 AM

Aces don't matter. Guthrie is #2 because of IP. The # batter you are in the order is determined by plate appearances.

I mean ... I can't even wrap my head around this shit.

ChiefsCountry · 07-27-2015, 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0

Aces don't matter. Guthrie is #2 because of IP. The # batter you are in the order is determined by plate appearances.

I mean ... I can't even wrap my head around this shit.

Franklin Morales has more IP than Greg Holland. You know what that means.

Lex Luthor · 07-27-2015, 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry

Matt Holliday is the Cardinals 8th hitter /Prison Douche

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prison Bitch

This year he has been.

Cueto hasn't pitched any innings yet for the Royals. He will be our #13 pitcher when he joins the 25-man roster. /Prison Bitch

Prison Bitch · 07-27-2015, 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsCountry

Go look who is right behind Infante in plate appearances, makes him look even more ****ing stupid.

I used to think just like you and had the same initial resistance when i found Baseball Prospectus, FG Etc. It'll eventuall click for you that all starts during a week have the same value as do all AB in a lineup....and you're not valuable when you're not playing.

07-14-2015, 11:05 PM
duncan_idaho M-I-Z-Z-O-U Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Kansas City Casino cash: $1280308	* Official Royals Repository, Part 3 * In this thread: All things related to the AL Champions. Duncan's Official Team Record prediction: 90 wins One month in: Looking strong All Star Break: Looking strong, probably should adjust up to 93-94 wins. Duncan's Official Team MVP prediction: Eric Hosmer One month in: Upstaged by his best friend MIKE MOOTACOS, MAN. Tell us bout your hittin, bro! All Star Break: Lorenzo Cain starting to run away with this one. Division Preview Clearly, overlooking the Twins was a mistake at this point. I still don't believe in that team long-term, but they're starting to get that Magic Season twinkle about them. Detroit is toast. Garbage rotation beyond Price and Sanchez, Miggy out. And Cleveland... Cleveland still is dangerous if it ever clicks offensively, because the starting pitching is good enough for them to real off a 15-5 stretch and get right back into the playoff picture. The Royals will be a division winner IF ... 1) Ventura and Duffy combine for 375+ innings of high-quality work 2) Eric Hosmer delivers on his potential with a FULL season of success rather than bursts 3) The deeper bullpen lessens the critical load on Herrera, Davis and Holland 4) Lorenzo Cain stays healthy 5) Either Alex Rios or Kendrys Morales bounces back to 2013 form The first of these is clearly not going to happen. The second looked good through the end of May but is now eating Cain's dust (Hosmer has still been improved this year, though, lessening his valley. If he has a really hot second half, he can get right back in it). Item three is definitely the case. Item four should probably be first at this point. And Morales has more than bounced back. Duncan’s Top 20 for mid-season 2015: Spoiler! 1. Raul Adalberto Mondesi, SS, BOTH: Tools, tools, tools. RA has tools galore. At his best, he’s an All-Star SS who plays elite D, hits 15-20 HR, swipes 40 bags, and is an ideal 1, 2 or 3 hitter. At his worst, I think he looks a lot like Alcides Escobar. Plate discipline is his biggest challenge at this point, but evaluators are confident that will come with time. Clear No. 1 2. Sean Manaea, LHP: I still believe in the upside here, even with the abbreviated start. 6-5 lefties with his combination of stuff and deception have the ability to pitch at the front of a rotation for a long time. 3. Kyle Zimmer, RHP: He’s pitching again and staying healthy, which is nice. He’s pitcing out of the bullpen to build back his arm strength, which is less nice. But still has that high upside, just a lower floor now. Ideally, the team will use him as a bullpen weapon in September (because he has earned it) and then give him a chance to transition back to starting for 2016. 4. Miguel Almonte, RHP: Still love the body, FB/CH combo. Results aren’t eye popping, but he’s still low enough and early enough in the development to prize those things over performance. Still a solid No. 3 starter upside, and just a year and some change away from potentially being ready to contribute at the MLB level. 5. Cody Reed, LHP: Reed has popped up this year, forcing an early promotion to Northwest Arkansas. His stuff is legit, with mid-90s heat and a wipeout slider. Control still needs work, but a promising young arm (that makes Almonte much more tradeable) 6. John Lamb, LHP: Lamb has had a career resurgence in 2015, putting him back on the prospect map. He’s dominating at AAA and will be in the rotation mix in 2016, unless he suffers another setback. Fastball is back, changeup is improving, still working on the ability to throw the slider and curve for strikes when down in the count. 7. Jorge Bonifacio, RF, RH: Emilio’s little brother got off to a horrible start in 2015 but has heated up as the season went on. He also is translating BP power to game power for the first time, with 15 HR just past the mid-way point of his season. Despite his disappointing 2014, he has a chance to build his way back into legit prospect status – and still is only 22. Next challenge for him should be Omaha, but that may wait for the start of the 2014 season. 8. Scott Blewett, RHP: Blewett has a nice two –pitch mix already and is off to a strong start. With his size (6-6) and a good fastball/curveball combo, Blewett could eventually turn into a good No. 3 starter, with a MLB-average changeup. 9. Nolan Watson, RHP: The Royals’ 2015 sandwich pick is a polished prep arm who is adding velocity and explosiveness to a good, polished base. Likely to move quickly. 10. Ashe Russell, RHP: The 2015 top pick probably needs more work than Watson, but the upside is really nice. Again, advanced two-pitch mix that will depend on him adding a changeup. Could be a very good NO. 2 if it all adds up. Spoiler! 11. Bubba Starling, CF, RH: Starling has been up and down this year but put himself back on the map by greatly improving his K rate while also improving across the slash line as a hitter. His defense and baserunning are MLB ready; if Starling can work himself into a league average hitter, he can be a solid MLB regular who plays great D in CF while hitting 15 HR and swiping 20 bags. 12. Balbino Fuenmayor, 1B/DH, RH: The Balbino came out of basically nowhere in 2015 to earn a Futures Game spot. Big power and an improved two-strike approach have turned the late bloomer into a legit prospect. He’s blocked at the MLB level currently by Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales, but Fuenmayor’s combination of power hitting and good average/strike zone control makes him intriguing. 13. Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, RH: Cheslor probably is not going to be the star KC was hoping for when signing him out of Nicaragua, but he does look like he can be a solid reserve for an MLB club. Good defense at 3B paired with a solid plate approach and some gap power plays fine off the bench. He becomes a lot more interesting if they think he can stick as a 2B, which they have experimented with. 14. Chase Vallot, C/DH/1B: I really like Vallot’s power and plate discipline combo. His bat will probably force him from behind the plate, but he’s held his own despite being extremely young for every level he has faced. 15. Alfredo Escalera-Maldonado, OF, RH: Escalera-Maldonado earned a promotion to Wilmington at age 20, which is pretty advanced movement for that age. He’s an athletic outfielder who has shown some plate discipline at an early age, which is encouraging. Doesn’t sound like he can stick in CF long term for KC, but his bat has become one to watch. 16. Pedro Fernandez, RHP: I haven’t seen much of him, but like the reports I’ve heard on his fastball and general makeup. Could become the next Almonte/Mondesi, though he’s more likely to land in the pen than either of them. 17. Elier Hernandez, OF, RH: Elier Hernanez teamed with Escalera-Maldonado in breaking out at Low-A and earning a promotion to Wilmington. It’s still early for this guy – he is just 20 years old – but he doesn’t take walks and hasn’t developed the prodigious power many thought he had the potential for. Still worth watching. 18. Hunter Dozier, 3B, RH: Dozier is reworking his swing mid-season, which generally will cause production to do what his has done: Nose dive. The changes he made entering the season (seemingly geared towards increasing his power production) were a disaster, and now he’s trying to get back to what he used to be. Still looks great and checks most of the scouting boxes, but the performance hasn’t matched, and it almost knocked him out of the list. 19. Christian Binford, RHP: After a breakthrough 2014, Binford struggled mightily at AAA and suffered a demotion. His upside remains similar – a back-end starter who can eat innings – but Binford’s lack of velocity and reliance on command have caught up to him so far. 20. Marten Gasparini, OF, SH: Gasparini is intriguing because of his speed and athleticism. He’s a LOOOOONG ways from the majors and young for his level, but reports on his bat speed, swing, and speed remain positive enough to keep him on the bubble.
Posts: 21,182

07-27-2015, 11:51 AM	#2341
ChiefsCountry The Insider Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: Lake of the Ozarks Casino cash: $1838752	Matt Holliday is the Cardinals 8th hitter /Prison Douche
Posts: 49,869

07-27-2015, 11:55 AM	#2349
Hootie Banned Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Dallas, Texas Casino cash: $10004900	we're 21 games over .500, running away with the division, and adding key pieces the only thing that matters is our 25 man playoff roster at this point is Guthrie going to start game 2 of the playoffs? Will Guthrie even start (I highly doubt it). Hell, Guthrie might not even be on the postseason roster. Is Infante going to bat 6th in a playoff game? Will Infante even start? Hell, Infante might not even be on the postseason roster. Sheer brilliance every time he posts.
Posts: 56,356

07-27-2015, 11:57 AM	#2352
Hootie Banned Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Dallas, Texas Casino cash: $10004900	Aces don't matter. Guthrie is #2 because of IP. The # batter you are in the order is determined by plate appearances. I mean ... I can't even wrap my head around this shit.
Posts: 56,356