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02-11-2017, 01:33 PM | #1921 |
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I think there'd be some value for Esky at the deadline (if Royals record permits) if:
1.) Esky's defense returns to pre-2016 form, AND 2.) Esky's offense can be similar to years such as 2012 and 2014. Not great offensive years by any stretch of the imagination, but good enough when coupled with his plus-defense. Also in those two years, he hit 30 and 34 doubles respectfully. In the two years after, he hit 20 and 24 doubles. Also helps to run into of .344 in 2012 (IIRC he had a ton of infield hits that year). I think if those two things happen and a team in contention at the deadline is thin at SS, a move could be made. Probably not for a ton of return, but can't rule it out. |
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02-11-2017, 02:00 PM | #1922 |
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This is a test post (this thread wasn't updating the new replies for me).
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02-11-2017, 05:24 PM | #1923 | |
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Tapatalk is messed up for me. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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02-11-2017, 09:58 PM | #1924 | |
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Quote:
1. Probabilities are just that. Don't take them too seriously. Though, Esky as a player is much more valuable when his BABIP is > .300 2. There may not be enough data to get accurate numbers and visualization on this yet. As you can tell, the right side of the distribution is heavier than the left side. I assume with more sample this would even out a bit considering the final probability figures. This is a work in progress. Also as you can tell, the standard deviations only go to one on the left side and 1.6 on the right side. Usually normal distributions feature 2 and 3 standard deviations each way. So again, not 100% sure what that does to my final figures. 3. I am not a statistician, I was following what I have learned from the internet and in some classes I have taken so far. So there are certain things on this spreadsheet (distribution for example) where I was following formulas and can't explain the full context of those particular things yet. Anyway, take it for what it's worth, and if there are any statisticians around here I would appreciate any and all feedback: |
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02-12-2017, 11:23 AM | #1925 |
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Looks like the Reds are about to ship Brandon Phillips to the Braves for basically nothing.
Phillips is pretty old, but the Braves are reportedly only on the hook for a million dollars of his salary. Prospects going back to Reds are non-prospects. Think it's the last year of Phillips' deal. Basically no risk, all reward. Would have been an interesting attempt for KC. He's still a solid defender and above-average bat at 2B. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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02-12-2017, 11:35 AM | #1926 | |
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02-12-2017, 12:21 PM | #1927 |
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Phillips had always been pretty strict about enforcing his no-trade clause, so that would've been another hurdle to overcome. He had blocked a trade to the Braves just a couple months ago.... and I know he's blocked 2 or 3 other trades to good teams over the years. I'm not sure what's changed. Phillips grew up in Georgia though, so that probably has a lot to do with it.
Plus his dWAR went negative last year, and he's going to turn 36 this year. His power numbers aren't what they used to be either, and that's playing in Cincy's bandbox. He's a professional hitter who'll give you 10-15 steals though. |
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02-12-2017, 12:50 PM | #1928 |
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02-12-2017, 12:56 PM | #1929 |
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Haha, nice
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02-12-2017, 12:57 PM | #1930 | |
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02-12-2017, 01:00 PM | #1931 | |
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02-12-2017, 01:08 PM | #1932 | |
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I agree Phillips might be the safer play though. I don't think he'd ever approve a trade to KC though. If he didn't approve trades to Arizona and DC, why would he come here? He didn't even want to go to the Braves, and that was his hometown team. |
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02-12-2017, 02:31 PM | #1933 | |
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02-12-2017, 02:41 PM | #1934 |
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Who are the Royals playing in the WBC?
Also, doesn't anyone here actually watch the WBC or like the idea?
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02-12-2017, 02:48 PM | #1935 |
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