Royals *** Official Royals Repository, Part 4 *** - Page 109

duncan_idaho · 10:46 PM

In this thread: All things related to the AL Champions.

Duncan's Official Team Record prediction: 90 wins
One month in: Looking strong
All Star Break: Looking strong, probably should adjust up to 93-94 wins.
Duncan's Official Team MVP prediction: Eric Hosmer
One month in: Upstaged by his best friend MIKE MOOTACOS, MAN. Tell us bout your hittin, bro!
All Star Break: Lorenzo Cain starting to run away with this one.

Division Preview
Clearly, overlooking the Twins was a mistake at this point. I still don't believe in that team long-term, but they're starting to get that Magic Season twinkle about them.

Detroit is toast. Garbage rotation beyond Price and Sanchez, Miggy out.

And Cleveland... Cleveland still is dangerous if it ever clicks offensively, because the starting pitching is good enough for them to real off a 15-5 stretch and get right back into the playoff picture.

The Royals will be a division winner IF ...
1) Ventura and Duffy combine for 375+ innings of high-quality work
2) Eric Hosmer delivers on his potential with a FULL season of success rather than bursts
3) The deeper bullpen lessens the critical load on Herrera, Davis and Holland
4) Lorenzo Cain stays healthy
5) Either Alex Rios or Kendrys Morales bounces back to 2013 form

The first of these is clearly not going to happen. The second looked good through the end of May but is now eating Cain's dust (Hosmer has still been improved this year, though, lessening his valley. If he has a really hot second half, he can get right back in it). Item three is definitely the case. Item four should probably be first at this point. And Morales has more than bounced back.

Duncan’s Top 20 for mid-season 2015:

Spoiler!

1. Raul Adalberto Mondesi, SS, BOTH: Tools, tools, tools. RA has tools galore. At his best, he’s an All-Star SS who plays elite D, hits 15-20 HR, swipes 40 bags, and is an ideal 1, 2 or 3 hitter. At his worst, I think he looks a lot like Alcides Escobar. Plate discipline is his biggest challenge at this point, but evaluators are confident that will come with time. Clear No. 1
2. Kyle Zimmer, RHP: He’s pitching again and staying healthy, which is nice. He’s pitcing out of the bullpen to build back his arm strength, which is less nice. But still has that high upside, just a lower floor now. Ideally, the team will use him as a bullpen weapon in September (because he has earned it) and then give him a chance to transition back to starting for 2016.
3. Miguel Almonte, RHP: Still love the body, FB/CH combo. Results aren’t eye popping, but he’s still low enough and early enough in the development to prize those things over performance. Still a solid No. 3 starter upside, and just a year and some change away from potentially being ready to contribute at the MLB level.
4. Jorge Bonifacio, RF, RH: Emilio’s little brother got off to a horrible start in 2015 but has heated up as the season went on. He also is translating BP power to game power for the first time, with 15 HR just past the mid-way point of his season. Despite his disappointing 2014, he has a chance to build his way back into legit prospect status – and still is only 22. Next challenge for him should be Omaha, but that may wait for the start of the 2014 season.
5. Scott Blewett, RHP: Blewett has a nice two –pitch mix already and is off to a strong start. With his size (6-6) and a good fastball/curveball combo, Blewett could eventually turn into a good No. 3 starter, with a MLB-average changeup.
6. Nolan Watson, RHP: The Royals’ 2015 sandwich pick is a polished prep arm who is adding velocity and explosiveness to a good, polished base. Likely to move quickly.
7. Ashe Russell, RHP: The 2015 top pick probably needs more work than Watson, but the upside is really nice. Again, advanced two-pitch mix that will depend on him adding a changeup. Could be a very good NO. 2 if it all adds up.

Spoiler!

8. Bubba Starling, CF, RH: Starling has been up and down this year but put himself back on the map by greatly improving his K rate while also improving across the slash line as a hitter. His defense and baserunning are MLB ready; if Starling can work himself into a league average hitter, he can be a solid MLB regular who plays great D in CF while hitting 15 HR and swiping 20 bags.
9. Balbino Fuenmayor, 1B/DH, RH: The Balbino came out of basically nowhere in 2015 to earn a Futures Game spot. Big power and an improved two-strike approach have turned the late bloomer into a legit prospect. He’s blocked at the MLB level currently by Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales, but Fuenmayor’s combination of power hitting and good average/strike zone control makes him intriguing.
10. Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, RH: Cheslor probably is not going to be the star KC was hoping for when signing him out of Nicaragua, but he does look like he can be a solid reserve for an MLB club. Good defense at 3B paired with a solid plate approach and some gap power plays fine off the bench. He becomes a lot more interesting if they think he can stick as a 2B, which they have experimented with.
11. Chase Vallot, C/DH/1B: I really like Vallot’s power and plate discipline combo. His bat will probably force him from behind the plate, but he’s held his own despite being extremely young for every level he has faced.
12. Alfredo Escalera-Maldonado, OF, RH: Escalera-Maldonado earned a promotion to Wilmington at age 20, which is pretty advanced movement for that age. He’s an athletic outfielder who has shown some plate discipline at an early age, which is encouraging. Doesn’t sound like he can stick in CF long term for KC, but his bat has become one to watch.
13. Pedro Fernandez, RHP: I haven’t seen much of him, but like the reports I’ve heard on his fastball and general makeup. Could become the next Almonte/Mondesi, though he’s more likely to land in the pen than either of them.
14. Elier Hernandez, OF, RH: Elier Hernanez teamed with Escalera-Maldonado in breaking out at Low-A and earning a promotion to Wilmington. It’s still early for this guy – he is just 20 years old – but he doesn’t take walks and hasn’t developed the prodigious power many thought he had the potential for. Still worth watching.
15. Hunter Dozier, 3B, RH: Dozier is reworking his swing mid-season, which generally will cause production to do what his has done: Nose dive. The changes he made entering the season (seemingly geared towards increasing his power production) were a disaster, and now he’s trying to get back to what he used to be. Still looks great and checks most of the scouting boxes, but the performance hasn’t matched, and it almost knocked him out of the list.
16. Christian Binford, RHP: After a breakthrough 2014, Binford struggled mightily at AAA and suffered a demotion. His upside remains similar – a back-end starter who can eat innings – but Binford’s lack of velocity and reliance on command have caught up to him so far.
17. Marten Gasparini, OF, SH: Gasparini is intriguing because of his speed and athleticism. He’s a LOOOOONG ways from the majors and young for his level, but reports on his bat speed, swing, and speed remain positive enough to keep him on the bubble.

**Anyong Bluth** · 08-18-2015, 10:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud

I listened to Fescoe for the first time ever today. There could be a poll of the shittiest Chiefplanet members from inception to today and the bottom 20 would be better than that piece of dog shit.

How do you listen to that rabid ****tard? What a load of uneducated, pissed on dogshit.

My only question is what was running through your head that it occurred to you that today was the day to pop your Fescoe cherry?

Besides an extremely drawn out method of suicide.

**Anyong Bluth** · 08-18-2015, 10:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BWillie

Whoa whoa wait. Zimmer pitched six innings and his arm is still attached?

Good K to BB numbers for them both.

He softball style pitches now.

**Anyong Bluth** · 08-18-2015, 10:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BWillie

When the Royals win their 73rd game...EVERYBODY has to take Twitter by storm to troll those buffoons at baseball prospectus. Those mom's basement dwelling pimply virgin nerds.

PECOTA Projections 2013-2015: 76, 79, 72
ACTUAL ROYAL WINS 2013-2015: 86, 89, Upper 90's projected

That's ****ing up by at least 10 games per year, for three years in a row. They might be off by THIRTY this year.

For god sakes, learn from your mistakes. Tweak something. Figure it out.

PB will be here to explain how fangraphs shows x # of wins are considered lucky and they're still on pace to only get 72 true wins.

BWillie · 08-18-2015, 10:18 PM

Dyson should be in the game every single game we play a RHP. Hell, at this point, I wouldn't even care if you just straight up released Rios and let Dyson play everyday.

Rios did make a nice catch today, but I've seen enough of him to move on now.

Shawny2X4 · 08-18-2015, 10:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Anyong Bluth

He softball style pitches now.

84 pitches, 55 of them for strikes

KChiefs1 · 08-18-2015, 10:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BWillie

Dyson should be in the game every single game we play a RHP. Hell, at this point, I wouldn't even care if you just straight up released Rios and let Dyson play everyday.

Rios did make a nice catch today, but I've seen enough of him to move on now.

Should waive him.

ROYC75 · 08-18-2015, 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BWillie

When the Royals win their 73rd game...EVERYBODY has to take Twitter by storm to troll those buffoons at baseball prospectus. Those mom's basement dwelling pimply virgin nerds.

PECOTA Projections 2013-2015: 76, 79, 72
ACTUAL ROYAL WINS 2013-2015: 86, 89, Upper 90's projected

That's ****ing up by at least 10 games per year, for three years in a row. They might be off by THIRTY this year.

For god sakes, learn from your mistakes. Tweak something. Figure it out.

The question remains, Will we win 100, 100+ games or suck ass the rest of the way to 90 + wins ?

What is the end results?

What say you ?

Priest31kc · 08-18-2015, 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pablo

You don't. 610 is pretty good after his show though.

Yep. Border Patrol in the mornings, back and forth between Petro & Lake & Bink in the afternoons, but I definitely listen to more Petro, and then mostly Parkins & Harrison in the late shift. Used to listen to Keitzman alot more back in the day because 610 sucked before Parkins & Harrison got there, but not so much anymore.

I don't hate Fescoe, but I don't like him either & def my least favorite show of the six.

Border Patrol is probably my favorite show, love St John.

Pitt Gorilla · 08-18-2015, 10:48 PM

Remember when folks were lamenting the loss of Mike Montgomery? Take a look at his last 7 starts.

BWillie · 08-18-2015, 10:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ROYC75

The question remains, Will we win 100, 100+ games or suck ass the rest of the way to 90 + wins ?

What is the end results?

What say you ?

97 wins. On the nose.

C3HIEF3S · 08-18-2015, 10:50 PM

Oh yeah
@h8rproof82: On the farm, Kyle Zimmer went a season high 6 IP, 7 hits, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K's

big nasty kcnut · 08-18-2015, 10:50 PM

100 wins!

suzzer99 · 08-19-2015, 12:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BWillie

When the Royals win their 73rd game...EVERYBODY has to take Twitter by storm to troll those buffoons at baseball prospectus. Those mom's basement dwelling pimply virgin nerds.

PECOTA Projections 2013-2015: 76, 79, 72
ACTUAL ROYAL WINS 2013-2015: 86, 89, Upper 90's projected

That's ****ing up by at least 10 games per year, for three years in a row. They might be off by THIRTY this year.

For god sakes, learn from your mistakes. Tweak something. Figure it out.

Well when most metrics seem to rate Hosmer as a below average defensive first baseman and worth like 1.5 WAR - that's one big chunk of mistake right there.

-King- · 08-19-2015, 03:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefs Pantalones

One time they asked Lake his thoughts on MU basketball after the season, after the rest of the guys gave their takes he only said, "Haha oh man, it's it's it's it's a tough situation, no no no no doubt, you you you gotta get get through it um um um moving on though guys..." Binkley and Ryan didn't let him off the hook they were like is that it? And Lake just laughs and says "oh man" like he usually does and then changes the subject. He's Brian Fellows. I'd like it more if it were just Binkley and Ryan. Word is though they're finding his replacement.

Binkley is awful too. Their whole show is pretty unlistenable.
Posted via Mobile Device

Kidd Lex · 08-19-2015, 06:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Anyong Bluth

PB will be here to explain how fangraphs shows x # of wins are considered lucky and they're still on pace to only get 72 true wins.

07-14-2015, 11:05 PM
duncan_idaho M-I-Z-Z-O-U Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Kansas City Casino cash: $1400308	* Official Royals Repository, Part 4 * In this thread: All things related to the AL Champions. Duncan's Official Team Record prediction: 90 wins One month in: Looking strong All Star Break: Looking strong, probably should adjust up to 93-94 wins. Duncan's Official Team MVP prediction: Eric Hosmer One month in: Upstaged by his best friend MIKE MOOTACOS, MAN. Tell us bout your hittin, bro! All Star Break: Lorenzo Cain starting to run away with this one. Division Preview Clearly, overlooking the Twins was a mistake at this point. I still don't believe in that team long-term, but they're starting to get that Magic Season twinkle about them. Detroit is toast. Garbage rotation beyond Price and Sanchez, Miggy out. And Cleveland... Cleveland still is dangerous if it ever clicks offensively, because the starting pitching is good enough for them to real off a 15-5 stretch and get right back into the playoff picture. The Royals will be a division winner IF ... 1) Ventura and Duffy combine for 375+ innings of high-quality work 2) Eric Hosmer delivers on his potential with a FULL season of success rather than bursts 3) The deeper bullpen lessens the critical load on Herrera, Davis and Holland 4) Lorenzo Cain stays healthy 5) Either Alex Rios or Kendrys Morales bounces back to 2013 form The first of these is clearly not going to happen. The second looked good through the end of May but is now eating Cain's dust (Hosmer has still been improved this year, though, lessening his valley. If he has a really hot second half, he can get right back in it). Item three is definitely the case. Item four should probably be first at this point. And Morales has more than bounced back. Duncan’s Top 20 for mid-season 2015: Spoiler! 1. Raul Adalberto Mondesi, SS, BOTH: Tools, tools, tools. RA has tools galore. At his best, he’s an All-Star SS who plays elite D, hits 15-20 HR, swipes 40 bags, and is an ideal 1, 2 or 3 hitter. At his worst, I think he looks a lot like Alcides Escobar. Plate discipline is his biggest challenge at this point, but evaluators are confident that will come with time. Clear No. 1 2. Kyle Zimmer, RHP: He’s pitching again and staying healthy, which is nice. He’s pitcing out of the bullpen to build back his arm strength, which is less nice. But still has that high upside, just a lower floor now. Ideally, the team will use him as a bullpen weapon in September (because he has earned it) and then give him a chance to transition back to starting for 2016. 3. Miguel Almonte, RHP: Still love the body, FB/CH combo. Results aren’t eye popping, but he’s still low enough and early enough in the development to prize those things over performance. Still a solid No. 3 starter upside, and just a year and some change away from potentially being ready to contribute at the MLB level. 4. Jorge Bonifacio, RF, RH: Emilio’s little brother got off to a horrible start in 2015 but has heated up as the season went on. He also is translating BP power to game power for the first time, with 15 HR just past the mid-way point of his season. Despite his disappointing 2014, he has a chance to build his way back into legit prospect status – and still is only 22. Next challenge for him should be Omaha, but that may wait for the start of the 2014 season. 5. Scott Blewett, RHP: Blewett has a nice two –pitch mix already and is off to a strong start. With his size (6-6) and a good fastball/curveball combo, Blewett could eventually turn into a good No. 3 starter, with a MLB-average changeup. 6. Nolan Watson, RHP: The Royals’ 2015 sandwich pick is a polished prep arm who is adding velocity and explosiveness to a good, polished base. Likely to move quickly. 7. Ashe Russell, RHP: The 2015 top pick probably needs more work than Watson, but the upside is really nice. Again, advanced two-pitch mix that will depend on him adding a changeup. Could be a very good NO. 2 if it all adds up. Spoiler! 8. Bubba Starling, CF, RH: Starling has been up and down this year but put himself back on the map by greatly improving his K rate while also improving across the slash line as a hitter. His defense and baserunning are MLB ready; if Starling can work himself into a league average hitter, he can be a solid MLB regular who plays great D in CF while hitting 15 HR and swiping 20 bags. 9. Balbino Fuenmayor, 1B/DH, RH: The Balbino came out of basically nowhere in 2015 to earn a Futures Game spot. Big power and an improved two-strike approach have turned the late bloomer into a legit prospect. He’s blocked at the MLB level currently by Eric Hosmer and Kendrys Morales, but Fuenmayor’s combination of power hitting and good average/strike zone control makes him intriguing. 10. Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, RH: Cheslor probably is not going to be the star KC was hoping for when signing him out of Nicaragua, but he does look like he can be a solid reserve for an MLB club. Good defense at 3B paired with a solid plate approach and some gap power plays fine off the bench. He becomes a lot more interesting if they think he can stick as a 2B, which they have experimented with. 11. Chase Vallot, C/DH/1B: I really like Vallot’s power and plate discipline combo. His bat will probably force him from behind the plate, but he’s held his own despite being extremely young for every level he has faced. 12. Alfredo Escalera-Maldonado, OF, RH: Escalera-Maldonado earned a promotion to Wilmington at age 20, which is pretty advanced movement for that age. He’s an athletic outfielder who has shown some plate discipline at an early age, which is encouraging. Doesn’t sound like he can stick in CF long term for KC, but his bat has become one to watch. 13. Pedro Fernandez, RHP: I haven’t seen much of him, but like the reports I’ve heard on his fastball and general makeup. Could become the next Almonte/Mondesi, though he’s more likely to land in the pen than either of them. 14. Elier Hernandez, OF, RH: Elier Hernanez teamed with Escalera-Maldonado in breaking out at Low-A and earning a promotion to Wilmington. It’s still early for this guy – he is just 20 years old – but he doesn’t take walks and hasn’t developed the prodigious power many thought he had the potential for. Still worth watching. 15. Hunter Dozier, 3B, RH: Dozier is reworking his swing mid-season, which generally will cause production to do what his has done: Nose dive. The changes he made entering the season (seemingly geared towards increasing his power production) were a disaster, and now he’s trying to get back to what he used to be. Still looks great and checks most of the scouting boxes, but the performance hasn’t matched, and it almost knocked him out of the list. 16. Christian Binford, RHP: After a breakthrough 2014, Binford struggled mightily at AAA and suffered a demotion. His upside remains similar – a back-end starter who can eat innings – but Binford’s lack of velocity and reliance on command have caught up to him so far. 17. Marten Gasparini, OF, SH: Gasparini is intriguing because of his speed and athleticism. He’s a LOOOOONG ways from the majors and young for his level, but reports on his bat speed, swing, and speed remain positive enough to keep him on the bubble. Last edited by duncan_idaho; 10-06-2015 at 10:46 PM..
Posts: 21,166

08-18-2015, 10:18 PM	#1624
BWillie El Gato Gordo Loco Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Earth Casino cash: $2071241	Dyson should be in the game every single game we play a RHP. Hell, at this point, I wouldn't even care if you just straight up released Rios and let Dyson play everyday. Rios did make a nice catch today, but I've seen enough of him to move on now. __________________ Who wants free money? Use the link below to sign up at Bovada, BetOnline, Black Chip Poker and Ignition. Contact me for private deals, spot bonuses, possible rakeback or any questions! Bovada, Ignition, BetOnline, Black Chip Poker: baldeaglepoker.com Bovada Poker is back! Get up to $500 poker deposit bonus.
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08-18-2015, 10:48 PM	#1629
Pitt Gorilla Banned! Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: NOT Columbia, MO 65201 Casino cash: $2650194	Remember when folks were lamenting the loss of Mike Montgomery? Take a look at his last 7 starts. __________________ Your son is a bench warmer because of your weak genetics not because of the coach Norlin Mommsen is disgusting.
Posts: 46,193

08-18-2015, 10:50 PM	#1631
C3HIEF3S Let's Get Weird Join Date: Apr 2013 Location: Austin Casino cash: $9990098	Oh yeah @h8rproof82: On the farm, Kyle Zimmer went a season high 6 IP, 7 hits, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K's
Posts: 15,229

08-18-2015, 10:50 PM	#1632
big nasty kcnut The pizza king of kansas Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: Somewhere in the u.s.a. Casino cash: $1260900	100 wins! __________________ When it's grim, be the grim reaper and go get it. Adopt a chiefs Travis Kelce. You woke up the wrong mother****er!
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