Chiefs Chiefs (-6.5) - Page 2

Prison Bitch · 10-20-2013, 09:20 AM

When I saw the spread last night on the ESPN ticker I admit: It seemed very low. We were (-8.5) last week and dominated the game. Houston starting a rookie QB on the road?

I was guessing (-9.0) but those with the actual money always know more than individuals do. Still I think you'd be nuts not to lay -6.5 today on us. I'd guess 26-13.

Chief Roundup · 10-20-2013, 09:50 AM

I haven't watched the Texans much this season. It sure seems like the removal of Matt is actually a positive to the team overall. Their D is good our O is just above shit. Our D is good but, if they can run the ball as in years past they should be able to compete as long as they don't turn it over. I still think we win but I see where this COULD be a tough game.

**Rausch** · 10-20-2013, 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_spatula

Houston still has A LOT of talented football players, man.

As long as he keeps playing this good he can have a personality for coverage, one for run stuffing, one for pass rushing, and one for celebrations!

**Nzoner** · 10-20-2013, 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prison Bitch

If it really opened (-3) after their home blowout to Stl where Schaub got hurt, then that's pure insanity to me. They're basically saying we are even on a neutral field. Who actually believes that?

Although that one analytical site I posted on has it as a toss up too.

Vegas always knows where to start to get the action on both sides which is what their goal is.

**notorious** · 10-20-2013, 09:56 AM

10 to 7 final.

Our offense will look worse then last week.

**Rausch** · 10-20-2013, 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by notorious

10 to 7 final.

Our offense will look worse then last week.

May a flock of geese land in your yard and $#it incessantly...

**RealSNR** · 10-20-2013, 10:37 AM

MagicHef controls Vegas

Saccopoo · 10-20-2013, 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fairplay

Texans -12 turnover ratio.

Chiefs plus 12 turnover ratio.

Texans 2-4

Chiefs 6-0

Chiefs at home in a very loud staduim, I wonder who would win?

And you know what the difference is between the Texans and Chiefs?

Quarterbacks who throw interceptions versus quarterbacks who don't throw interceptions.

If the Texans don't turn the ball over, this is going to be a much closer game than many around here think.

Prison Bitch · 10-20-2013, 10:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_spatula

Houston still has A LOT of talented football players, man.

If they're so talented how did they just get ripped at home by the Rams? I'm guilty of over-rating Houston probably worse than anyone, picking them to lose the Super Bowl to Seattle. I can't believe they're 2-4 but you are what your record says you are. And they honestly could be 0-6 given that they pulled out a miracle road win Week 1 at SD and an OT game the next week vs. Tennessee they could've easily lost.

They're a mess with a rookie QB. At Arrowhead. -6.5?

**RealSNR** · 10-20-2013, 10:50 AM

I'll give Case Keenum credit for one thing:

I doubt he'll be dumb enough to put his team in a 3rd and 48 situation today.

Prison Bitch · 10-20-2013, 11:13 AM

I wonder if Vegas has O/U on Keenum turnovers. I'd have to think the line would be 2 and I'd bet he goes over.

58-4ever · 10-20-2013, 11:17 AM

Vegas wants action on both sides. At that number, I'd imagine they are getting quite a bit.

Prison Bitch · 10-20-2013, 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 58-4ever

Vegas wants action on both sides. At that number, I'd imagine they are getting quite a bit.

I guess that's where I'm confused - does the general public think Houston is a good value at that line? If so, that's really surprising to me.

BWillie · 10-20-2013, 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Prison Bitch

What is it the pros know that we don't? This line is really inexplicable to me.

Texans have a good defense. We cant score. We let up a high YPC. The Texans have Arian Foster. They have been losing games because they throw a pick six in every single game. I dont care how bad you are but no team is going to keep turning the ball over at that rate and continue to have their bad luck. I would be more comfortable to say it would be close if Schaub was actually playing despite his horrible season. Keenum is the wild card..just difficult to see how they can get even worse QB play

Sannyasi · 10-20-2013, 12:48 PM

-6.5 seems like a fair line to me. The Texans have been a very good team this year with the exception of one player, and that guy happens to not be playing today. With a new QB the Texans will probably run a conservative offense with lots of running plays and screens. This could end up being a smart game plan against our D as it could neutralize our biggest strength, the pass rush. Also I have no confidence at all that Smith will be able to score against a very good Texans defense.

Mojo Jojo · 10-20-2013, 05:26 PM

Vegas knows best. That's why you should never bet on a team you root for.

10-20-2013, 09:20 AM
Prison Bitch Rabbi Goldmann Join Date: Nov 2012 Casino cash: $5450159	Chiefs (-6.5) When I saw the spread last night on the ESPN ticker I admit: It seemed very low. We were (-8.5) last week and dominated the game. Houston starting a rookie QB on the road? I was guessing (-9.0) but those with the actual money always know more than individuals do. Still I think you'd be nuts not to lay -6.5 today on us. I'd guess 26-13.
Posts: 87,025

10-20-2013, 09:50 AM	#16
Chief Roundup Admitted Planet Junky Join Date: Oct 2000 Casino cash: $1761627	I haven't watched the Texans much this season. It sure seems like the removal of Matt is actually a positive to the team overall. Their D is good our O is just above shit. Our D is good but, if they can run the ball as in years past they should be able to compete as long as they don't turn it over. I still think we win but I see where this COULD be a tough game. __________________ Fanaticism is nowhere. There is no tenderness or humanity in fanaticism.
Posts: 19,232

10-20-2013, 09:56 AM	#19
notorious Supporter Join Date: May 2005 Location: Who knows? Casino cash: $2625884	10 to 7 final. Our offense will look worse then last week.
Posts: 83,564

10-20-2013, 10:37 AM	#21
RealSNR Special Teams ACE!!! Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: Where the hell is SNR Casino cash: $2060208	MagicHef controls Vegas
Posts: 90,680

10-20-2013, 10:50 AM	#24
RealSNR Special Teams ACE!!! Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: Where the hell is SNR Casino cash: $2060208	I'll give Case Keenum credit for one thing: I doubt he'll be dumb enough to put his team in a 3rd and 48 situation today.
Posts: 90,680

10-20-2013, 11:13 AM	#25
Prison Bitch Rabbi Goldmann Join Date: Nov 2012 Casino cash: $5450159	I wonder if Vegas has O/U on Keenum turnovers. I'd have to think the line would be 2 and I'd bet he goes over.
Posts: 87,025

10-20-2013, 11:17 AM	#26
58-4ever The Collective Unconscious Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: The OP Casino cash: $9520422	Vegas wants action on both sides. At that number, I'd imagine they are getting quite a bit.
Posts: 10,425

10-20-2013, 12:48 PM	#29
Sannyasi Veteran Join Date: Jan 2010 Casino cash: $9963714	-6.5 seems like a fair line to me. The Texans have been a very good team this year with the exception of one player, and that guy happens to not be playing today. With a new QB the Texans will probably run a conservative offense with lots of running plays and screens. This could end up being a smart game plan against our D as it could neutralize our biggest strength, the pass rush. Also I have no confidence at all that Smith will be able to score against a very good Texans defense.
Posts: 2,615

10-20-2013, 05:26 PM	#30
Mojo Jojo Veteran Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Johnson County Casino cash: $10013802	Vegas knows best. That's why you should never bet on a team you root for.
Posts: 3,341