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-   -   Chiefs Playoff and Draft Pick Odds, 2012 (https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=264296)

Bewbies 12-02-2012 03:31 PM

Need a Philly win tonight. Then it'll be the loser of the CLE/OAK game, Carolina left with 3, us and Jax with 2.

If we can lose to Oakland and Cleveland I really like our chances. GENO OR BUST!!

ShowtimeSBMVP 12-02-2012 03:32 PM

Cleveland 3-8 @OAK, KC, WASH, @DEN, @PIT
Carolina 3-9 ATL, @SD, OAK, @NO
Kansas City 2-10 @CLE, @OAK, IND, @DEN
Jacksonville 2-10 NYJ, @MIA, NE, @TEN

Carolina at best wins 1 game. 4-12
Jags at best wins 1 game 3-13
Browns at best wins 1 game 4-12
Chiefs could wins 3 games (Browns,Oakland,Denver will have nothing to play for) 5-11




How do they get those Odds? Kc at 57%

cdcox 12-02-2012 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefsandO'sfan (Post 9172601)
Cleveland 3-8 @OAK, KC, WASH, @DEN, @PIT
Carolina 3-9 ATL, @SD, OAK, @NO
Kansas City 2-10 @CLE, @OAK, IND, @DEN
Jacksonville 2-10 NYJ, @MIA, NE, @TEN

Carolina at best win 1 game. 4-12
Jags at best win 1 game 3-13
Browns at best win 1 game 4-12
Chiefs could win 3 games (Browns,Oakland,Denver will have nothing to play for) 5-11




How do they get those Odds? Kc at 57%

I have my own software that simulates the remaining games of the NFL season thousands of times and applies the tiebreakers to determine playoff odds, draft position odds, etc. Been doing it around 14 years now.

nfl-forecast.com

Hammock Parties 12-02-2012 03:37 PM

The Raiders are playing the Browns right now so that helps us. LMAO

aturnis 12-02-2012 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Infidel Goat (Post 9172400)
Pulling hard for the Jags over Jets next week. That's probably their most winnable game left...

I think they could win any of their remaining games save NE.

Sully 12-02-2012 03:54 PM

I'm not ready to concede that they are out of the playoffs!
-Karl Rove

(I know, I know... Keep it in DC)

The Bad Guy 12-02-2012 03:58 PM

Today was a nice game, but this team is horrid on the road.

I like Cleveland's defense a lot, and I like their run game, a lot.

2 areas the Chiefs have real trouble with.

Chiefs are going 2-14, no doubt in my mind.

MahiMike 12-02-2012 04:15 PM

Cannot believe we screwed up so badly today.

ShowtimeSBMVP 12-02-2012 04:30 PM

Chiefs- 2-10 @CLE, @OAK ,IND,@DEN
Jags- 2-10 NYJ, @MIA , NE, @TEN
Carolina- 3-9 ATL , @SD , OAK , @NO
Oakland- 3-9 DEN , KC , @CAR , @SD
Browns- 4-8 KC , WASH , @DEN , @PITT
Eagels- 3-8 @TB , CINN , WASH , @NYG



Chiefs are gonna **** this up.

Titty Meat 12-02-2012 04:42 PM

****ing Oakland concerns me.

tk13 12-02-2012 04:49 PM

You know, at this point if the Steelers and Cincy both lose today the Colts will be 2 games ahead of everyone else for a playoff spot. Colts play Houston 2 of the last 3 weeks so I wouldn't bet on this... but you run the risk of the Colts having nothing to play for either if all these teams keep losing.

That's what tough about this, you don't know what teams will be playing hard and which ones won't with so many teams way out front in their playoff races.

htismaqe 12-02-2012 05:19 PM

The Chiefs had no turnovers and like 1 penalty today. That won't happen again the rest of the season.

Hammock Parties 12-02-2012 06:12 PM

Browns have their game won.

How does that help us?

Or is it all about Jacksonville?

DeezNutz 12-02-2012 06:13 PM

It's likely going to come down to losing at OAK to ensure the #1 overall pick.

alnorth 12-02-2012 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cassel's Reckoning (Post 9173348)
Browns have their game won.

How does that help us?

Or is it all about Jacksonville?

Browns are pretty much eliminated. Had it been a tie, both the Browns and the Raiders would have been out.


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