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-   -   Chiefs Playoff and Draft Pick Odds, 2012 (https://www.chiefsplanet.com/BB/showthread.php?t=264296)

Rain Man 11-18-2012 05:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9130285)
As of now, #1 overall pick odds:

Chiefs 66%
Jags 24%
Browns 6%
Field 4%
I know it is unprecedented since the merger, but did we ever have the number 1 pick back in the AFL days? it still would not be the same since they were competing with the NFL, of course. it seems like maybe Buck Buchanan was a number 1 overall. ( just to be clear, buck was not a quarterback
.)

Ebolapox 11-18-2012 05:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rain Man (Post 9130574)
I know it is unprecedented since the merger, but did we ever have the number 1 pick back in the AFL days? it still would not be the same since they were competing with the NFL, of course. it seems like maybe Buck Buchanan was a number 1 overall. ( just to be clear, buck was not a quarterback
.)
Yes, Buck buchanan WAS the number one overall, but we got the pick by trading a QB (Cotton Davidson) to the raiders. crazy, huh?

Rain Man 11-18-2012 06:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by h5n1 (Post 9130853)
Yes, Buck buchanan WAS the number one overall, but we got the pick by trading a QB (Cotton Davidson) to the raiders. crazy, huh?
Well, that's odd.

cdcox 11-25-2012 03:11 PM
Up to 81% chance of getting the overall first pick.

We can now win a freak game and still in all likelihood have the overall #1 pick, regardless of what else happens. I'll have the exact odds of that in a few minutes.

And we are eliminated from the playoffs.

Pants 11-25-2012 03:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9150823)

And we are eliminated from the playoffs.

:(

the Talking Can 11-25-2012 03:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9150823)
Up to 81% chance of getting the overall first pick.

We can now win a freak game and still in all likelihood have the overall #1 pick, regardless of what else happens. I'll have the exact odds of that in a few minutes.

And we are eliminated from the playoffs.
sweet

good news

Stanley Nickels 11-25-2012 03:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9150823)
Up to 81% chance of getting the overall first pick.

We can now win a freak game and still in all likelihood have the overall #1 pick, regardless of what else happens. I'll have the exact odds of that in a few minutes.

And we are eliminated from the playoffs.
If we beat Jacksonville, head-to-head trumps Opp. Win %, right?

PS THANK YOU JAGUARS.

JoeyChuckles 11-25-2012 03:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stanley Nickels (Post 9150853)
If we beat Jacksonville, head-to-head trumps Opp. Win %, right?

PS THANK YOU JAGUARS.
The odds of that happening are officially 0%. Wanna bet on it?

FringeNC 11-25-2012 03:20 PM
Now we need to be lucky and good with that draft pick. We need a front office in place that will choose the franchise QB instead of the bust. Maybe that's Geno Smith, maybe one of the other guys, but we can't F it up.

cdcox 11-25-2012 03:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stanley Nickels (Post 9150853)
If we beat Jacksonville, head-to-head trumps Opp. Win %, right?

PS THANK YOU JAGUARS.
No. The only tiebreaker for draft pick is strength of schedule. Head to head means nothing. And we don't play the Jags.

cdcox 11-25-2012 03:23 PM
If we win one game, and Jacksonville loses out, we will win the tiebreaker more than 99% of the time.

HMc 11-25-2012 03:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FringeNC (Post 9150876)
Now we need to be lucky and good with that draft pick. We need a front office in place that will choose the franchise QB instead of the bust. Maybe that's Geno Smith, maybe one of the other guys, but we can't F it up.
QBs are too risky. we should take Guard / Tackle Hugh Thornton out of Illinois. Cassel is a pro bowl qb when he has some protection

:p

BigRedChief 11-25-2012 03:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9150894)
If we win one game, and Jacksonville loses out, we will win the tiebreaker more than 99% of the time.
why don't you update the opening post?

Rain Man 11-25-2012 03:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox (Post 9150894)
If we win one game, and Jacksonville loses out, we will win the tiebreaker more than 99% of the time.
I can't wait until we reach the point where we can root for a win and not lose draft ground.

cdcox 11-25-2012 03:24 PM
Rain Man, you are okay wishing for the Chiefs to win one game. That's it though. Choose wisely.


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