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In the biting cold it is not just about Mahomes' ability to throw the football but also about the whole offense being in sync. I don't expect the offense to get to 30, just a hunch. While Pats road struggles have been real they have been playing well of late only letting up 17 at Pittsburgh to a powerful offense in a playoff type game. I expect them to be better against Mahomes than last time.
It will be a close game with the score being in the low 20s, picking KC to win by a FG but would be nervous as hell if Brady has the ball with a few minutes to play.
It will come down to KC's D against Brady.
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