Quote:
Originally Posted by dlphg9
This thing is a bit more than just some scare tactic and if the reported 2-4% mortality rate is indeed correct, then it has the same or even higher mortality rate as the Spanish Flu. Spanish flu wiped out 30 million people. Also if that mortality rate is correct than it is 20-40 times more deadly than the flu which kills 0.1%. There are conflicting reports from the WHO in regards to the amount of people that were infected but their symptoms were so mild they were never tested, if that number is significant than it could drop the mortality rate drastically. One of the people that was sent to China from WHO says that the number of those people seems to be very low and then another person from WHO says its impossible to tell until they can test for antibodies in people that werent tested.
So this has the potential to be fairly bad, but modern medicine can likely keep it from being too catastrophic.
|
The issue with those stats is that they only cover the percent of people who were SEEN AND TREATED. It's been reported that this thing can be carried by people showing no symptoms or only mild symptoms, and it's likely that those kinds of cases actually make up the vast majority of people "infected."
The real death rate is almost certainly well below 1%, and it might be more like 0.00001%, especially once we start including areas where the medical response is prepared and better equipped than rural China.