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Old 12-09-2016, 02:31 PM   #934
duncan_idaho duncan_idaho is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch View Post
Cain will never get Fowler $ because of his injury history. He's played 2 full seasons really. His value is in CF where he once ran like a gazelle, and beating out grounders into singles + singles into doubles. When his legs atrophy (likely already occurred), he has to replace it with power and he doesn't have Fowler's power.


It'll be a brave GM who signs this cat after 2017. I'm guessing he'll get something like 3/40.

Not sure how closely you've examined Fowler's history... but career stats, you're talking about a .006 difference in slugging percentage. And Fowler, like Cain, has failed to play 130 games or more in 1/2 of his MLB seasons. And Fowler, despite playing in Coors, Houston and Wrigley, has a career high HR of 17.

Re: injuries... they both are about 50/50 on playing full years. Fowler has 8 full MLB seasons vs 4 for Cain, but if you bring in Cain's health in minor league seasons, they're again similar similar.

They're actually very, very similar players, right down to age.

Fowler is a little better OBP guy. Cain is a better defender.

If Cain plays 130 games or more and produces like he has the past three years, I think he'll do a lot better than 3/40.


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