Quote:
Originally Posted by kccrow
No way is Sweat going to be there at 64 IMO. He has far too much value to a 3-4 team as a NT. I'd say Arizona at the top of the 2nd is an easy projection. Atlanta makes sense as they move to a 3-4. The Rams make a ton of sense as well.
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He's a bit of an outlier from the ordinary NT in that he's probably the best NT prospect in the draft. And so sometimes that gets those guys to go where they're projected (the 'best of breed' phenomenon I noted earlier; teams will go sooner on a guy they see as the best of the entire lot at that position, even if he's only 5% better and they may not take that next best guy until the 3rd round).
But it seems like every single season, NTs drop. And they drop a LOT. I mean look at Coburn - Folks had him as early as a mid 3rd and about as late as I ever recalled seeing saw mid 5th. He went late 6. And it seems to happen every season with NTs.
Once they start to slide, they sliiiiiiiiiide. And it's because of a lack of scheme versatility.
Oh sure, Sweat makes a lot of sense to Arizona. But what if the board falls in such a way that he's the 2nd guy on their board - that's not unlikely, is it? And if he slips there, there aren't 8 teams behind Arizona that utilize NTs. So he may just keep sliding.
Those guys that lack scheme versatility tend to slide. And I think it's fair to say that Sweat, as a guy who almost certainly ends up as a 2-down 0-technique is a guy who lacks scheme versatility.
I just don't think it's impossible.