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Old 02-24-2020, 07:06 PM   #3473
ChiliConCarnage ChiliConCarnage is online now
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: yes
Casino cash: $1688468
I'm transferring some money but likely holding back for now.

We're pretty richly valued even if you ignore any risks from possible negative news. 19+ forward earnings and companies with international exposure have been reporting for weeks that they wouldn't hit their guidance.

From 2/19, so it's slid a bit but still we've had companies coming out daily saying they won't hit the estimates this chart is based off of


Starbucks, UnderArmor, Nike, Apple pulled their guidance. Tonight United Airlines and Mastercard have adjusted 2020 down. We had 30% stock upside last year w/ 0% earnings growth. Pretty much all based on the idea that central bank moves would help fuel a better year in 2020. The data looks like that was occurring but I think this virus could cause a bigger pullback. The market will do what it wants and could continue up but I think the risk/reward isn't that great here even down 5ish%.
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