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Originally Posted by Chargem
I'm sort of surprised with how popular the gambling challenge is now that online gambling is available. Do you guys bet much online?
I feel like football is definitely a sport whereby you can find value in both the spread and the over/under markets. Is this the right place for a general football gambling discussion?
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It's just entertainment. I've been gambling on football for a while now. Most years I either lose a little or break even. A few times I won a little by season's end.
For 2019-2020 I won more than I ever have before. I found a system that appears to work out fairly consistently about 8-9 weeks into the season and things just worked out. I have no illusions that I'll have the same success next season. It would be nice though.
The trick is to find one really solid bet and just put your money there. Most of the time parlays and prop bets are a bad idea. I've made out on a few of them, but lost the vast majority of them.
The other trick is not to chase the money. If you start thinking, "I have to win this bet/some bets to break even because I lost big last week," you're probably going to over-think it and screw yourself.
But yeah, the value in football betting is somewhere between the spreads and the O/Us. At least for me it is. Sometimes I'll break down a little further, and bet just the first half. For instance, a couple times this season the Chiefs played teams that started slow, so I bet that the Chiefs would beat the first half spread. So, like in the 2nd Raiders/Chiefs game, I bet that the Chiefs would beat the first half spread, which was something like -6. It took out the huge spread, and also eliminated the chance that the Chiefs would open up a big lead and then coast and let the Raiders get back close by playing prevent or whatever. I didn't win as much, but I won.