Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger
That isn't how it's calculated. It's called case fatality rate, if memory serves, and it's deaths divided by total cases. And, yes, it varies. If using just known outcomes, you could also say that ~50% of those who contract the virus (90,000 and 45,000) recover. We better hope that the recovery rate (when known) ends up being better than ~50%, because that will mean ~50% deaths.
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It’s sort of pointless to worry about death rates at this point since the impact it has ranges from nothing to death and chances are a lot of people fall (or will fall) into the category of positive but not sick enough to ever get diagnosed. Which is one of the reasons that it will be hard to contain. But also one of the reasons trying to identify a mortality rate is a bit of a waste of time at this point. Not diminishing anything here — just saying it is impossible to know if it is .02%, 2.0%, or 20% at this point.