Elections *****OFFICIAL 2012 U.S. GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS***** - Page 7

CaliforniaChief · 09:15 PM

Obama re-elected with Ohio win...

Dems maintain control of Senate, GOP maintains control of House.

RINGLEADER · 11-06-2012, 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dirk digler

Just about to post that. Looks like an Obama win if that holds true

Depends on WI, which is strangely absent.

But if the exit polls track this way, which is close to the pre-election polls, then I'd say it's an Obama win.

carlos3652 · 11-06-2012, 03:55 PM

I heard that VA and OH will lean BO's way due to counties that are heavy democrat are faster at counting or getting the information out... so it might be a long night regardless.

**dirk digler** · 11-06-2012, 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RINGLEADER

Depends on WI, which is strangely absent.

But if the exit polls track this way, which is close to the pre-election polls, then I'd say it's an Obama win.

Is Wisconsin your surprise?

CaliforniaChief · 11-06-2012, 03:56 PM

They weren't very accurate in the Wisconsin recall election...
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
And then there's this:
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/matthew...-little-secret

More traditional polling about exit poll participation backs this conclusion up. As pollster Scott Rasmussen stated in 2008, Democrats are simply more eager to respond to exit pollsters than Republicans or independents:

The bottom line is that in every state we polled—Colorado, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia— Democrats are a lot more eager to take exit polls than Republicans.

In five of the six states, a majority of Democrats say they would be Very Likely to participate in the exit polling process. At the same time, in five of the six states, fewer than 40% of Republicans would be willing to do the same.

In every state, Republicans are at least twice as likely as Democrats to say that they are not at all willing to take an exit poll.

Unaffiliated voters tend to align more closely to Republicans in all six states in both willingness and unwillingness to participate in exit polls.

WoodDraw · 11-06-2012, 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigRedChief

Drudge is the most biased web site in the world. So wonder what the real results were?

I'm sure that's probably accurate. He always leaks exit polls, because the big boys won't release data until the polls are closed.

BucEyedPea · 11-06-2012, 03:56 PM

I'm shocked NH is going for Obama being it's the most libertarian state. ( based on what I've seen in here.) Too many Massholes moved into the southern part of the state. That's unexpected.

**BigRedChief** · 11-06-2012, 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BucEyedPea

I'm shocked NH is going for Obama being it's the most libertarian state. ( based on what I've seen in here.) Too many Massholes moved into the southern part of the state. That's unexpected.

Just one of many "surprises" in store for you tonight.

**petegz28** · 11-06-2012, 03:59 PM

2004 exit polls: CO (Bush +3), FL (-4), NC (+5), NH (-17), OH (-4), PA (-19), VA (+1), WI (-4). All were off.

Cave Johnson · 11-06-2012, 04:00 PM

Racial and age mix is apparently similar to 2008.... both would presumably be bad for Romney.

BucEyedPea · 11-06-2012, 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigRedChief

Just one of many "surprises" in store for you tonight.

Baloney! I will not be surprised by either outcome, since the race is so tight. I am just surprised at NH—tight race or not.

**dirk digler** · 11-06-2012, 04:03 PM

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...xit_polls.html

Here are exit polls being circulated by Republican staffers. They are based on waves one and two, except where noted.

Provided for your enjoyment only. It's probably best to ignore them.

7:00 - Virginia - Tied

7:30 - North Carolina - Romney +1

7:30 - Ohio - Obama +4

8:00 - Florida - Romney +1

8:00 - New Hampshire - Obama +3

8:00 - Pennsylvania - Obama +4

9:00 - Colorado - Tied

9:00 - Minnesota - Obama +4

9:00 - Wisconsin - Obama +4

10:00 - Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3

10:00 - Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5

**BigRedChief** · 11-06-2012, 04:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BucEyedPea

Baloney! I will not be surprised by either outcome, since the race is so tight. I am just surprised at NH—tight race or not.

I was just

RINGLEADER · 11-06-2012, 04:07 PM

Poll of polls reweighted for the actual turnout of 37% DEM, 34% GOP, 29% IND:

Obama: 48.75%
Romney: 49.38%

Obviously doesn't matter in the grand scheme, but passing along now that the exit poll numbers are released...

**BigRedChief** · 11-06-2012, 04:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dirk digler

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...xit_polls.html

Here are exit polls being circulated by Republican staffers. They are based on waves one and two, except where noted.

Provided for your enjoyment only. It's probably best to ignore them.

7:00 - Virginia - Tied

7:30 - North Carolina - Romney +1

7:30 - Ohio - Obama +4

8:00 - Florida - Romney +1

8:00 - New Hampshire - Obama +3

8:00 - Pennsylvania - Obama +4

9:00 - Colorado - Tied

9:00 - Minnesota - Obama +4

9:00 - Wisconsin - Obama +4

10:00 - Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3

10:00 - Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5

why would Republican staffers put this out? Looks bad for romney

RINGLEADER · 11-06-2012, 04:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dirk digler

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...xit_polls.html

Here are exit polls being circulated by Republican staffers. They are based on waves one and two, except where noted.

Provided for your enjoyment only. It's probably best to ignore them.

7:00 - Virginia - Tied

7:30 - North Carolina - Romney +1

7:30 - Ohio - Obama +4

8:00 - Florida - Romney +1

8:00 - New Hampshire - Obama +3

8:00 - Pennsylvania - Obama +4

9:00 - Colorado - Tied

9:00 - Minnesota - Obama +4

9:00 - Wisconsin - Obama +4

10:00 - Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3

10:00 - Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5

Very close to the polls before election... I was hoping we'd know on VA earlier but I guess we'll wait it out until 8pm...

11-05-2012, 08:52 PM
CaliforniaChief Thank You Clark! Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: So Cal Casino cash: $7702556	***OFFICIAL 2012 U.S. GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS*** Obama re-elected with Ohio win... Dems maintain control of Senate, GOP maintains control of House. Last edited by CaliforniaChief; 11-06-2012 at 09:15 PM..
Posts: 9,122

11-06-2012, 03:55 PM	#92
carlos3652 El Diablo Join Date: Dec 2004 Casino cash: $23088	I heard that VA and OH will lean BO's way due to counties that are heavy democrat are faster at counting or getting the information out... so it might be a long night regardless.
Posts: 4,143

11-06-2012, 03:56 PM	#94
CaliforniaChief Thank You Clark! Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: So Cal Casino cash: $7702556	They weren't very accurate in the Wisconsin recall election... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ And then there's this: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/matthew...-little-secret More traditional polling about exit poll participation backs this conclusion up. As pollster Scott Rasmussen stated in 2008, Democrats are simply more eager to respond to exit pollsters than Republicans or independents: The bottom line is that in every state we polled—Colorado, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia— Democrats are a lot more eager to take exit polls than Republicans. In five of the six states, a majority of Democrats say they would be Very Likely to participate in the exit polling process. At the same time, in five of the six states, fewer than 40% of Republicans would be willing to do the same. In every state, Republicans are at least twice as likely as Democrats to say that they are not at all willing to take an exit poll. Unaffiliated voters tend to align more closely to Republicans in all six states in both willingness and unwillingness to participate in exit polls. __________________ "Chiefs fans aren’t having it." -Jason Whitlock
Posts: 9,122

11-06-2012, 03:56 PM	#96
BucEyedPea Frazod Loves Hammy Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: None of your business Casino cash: $48238	I'm shocked NH is going for Obama being it's the most libertarian state. ( based on what I've seen in here.) Too many Massholes moved into the southern part of the state. That's unexpected. __________________ "In government, the scum rises to the top."~ Hayek
Posts: 46,465

11-06-2012, 03:59 PM	#98
petegz28 Supporter Join Date: Feb 2005 Location: Olathe, Ks Casino cash: $206779	2004 exit polls: CO (Bush +3), FL (-4), NC (+5), NH (-17), OH (-4), PA (-19), VA (+1), WI (-4). All were off. __________________ "Finally, anyone who uses the terms, irregardless, a whole nother, or all of the sudden shall be sentenced to a work camp." Stewie Griffin
Posts: 56,447

11-06-2012, 04:00 PM	#99
Cave Johnson MVP Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: E. Bumf***istan Casino cash: $75983	Racial and age mix is apparently similar to 2008.... both would presumably be bad for Romney.
Posts: 8,142

11-06-2012, 04:03 PM	#101
dirk digler Please squeeze Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: Clinton, MO Casino cash: $160206	http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...xit_polls.html Here are exit polls being circulated by Republican staffers. They are based on waves one and two, except where noted. Provided for your enjoyment only. It's probably best to ignore them. 7:00 - Virginia - Tied 7:30 - North Carolina - Romney +1 7:30 - Ohio - Obama +4 8:00 - Florida - Romney +1 8:00 - New Hampshire - Obama +3 8:00 - Pennsylvania - Obama +4 9:00 - Colorado - Tied 9:00 - Minnesota - Obama +4 9:00 - Wisconsin - Obama +4 10:00 - Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3 10:00 - Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5
Posts: 45,033

11-06-2012, 04:07 PM	#103
RINGLEADER RING****ER Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: Confusion, USA Casino cash: $283851	Poll of polls reweighted for the actual turnout of 37% DEM, 34% GOP, 29% IND: Obama: 48.75% Romney: 49.38% Obviously doesn't matter in the grand scheme, but passing along now that the exit poll numbers are released...
Posts: 20,844

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