Home Mail MemberMap Chat (0) Wallpapers
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > The Lounge > D.C.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 11-01-2012, 02:12 PM  
RINGLEADER RINGLEADER is offline
RING****ER
 
RINGLEADER's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Confusion, USA
Casino cash: $334239
All the Polls Are Right, All the Polls Are Wrong

At this point it will require some new development to change where we are. As I've been saying it all comes down to turnout.

If turnout looks like 2004 or 2010 then Romney wins (and could win big) using the existing polls that are weighted in favor of the Dems.

If turnout looks like 2006 or 2008 then Obama wins (and could win big) using the existing polls that are weighted in favor of the Dems.

Basically, most of the media polls are presuming greater Dem turn-out even though many simultaneously show greater GOP enthusiasm.

Until Tuesday we'll hear a lot about polls and early voting and swing states. But it all comes down who gets their base out.

Two men will enter...one man will leave...
Posts: 22,850
RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.RINGLEADER Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 02:47 PM   #2
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
Black for Palestine
 
Direckshun's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Springpatch
Casino cash: $1203060
Neither candidate is going to win big.
__________________
Posts: 43,004
Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 02:53 PM   #3
Donger Donger is offline
"Think BOOM!"
 
Donger's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675 N 106.475 W
Casino cash: $832
From what I gather, there are two things that are important at this point:

1) Romney is greatly favored among independents, just as Obama had them in 2008.

2) Democrat voter turn-out will not be close to where it was in 2008.

If those two things are accurate, I think things bode rather well for Romney.
__________________
I think the young people enjoy it when I "get down," verbally, don't you?
Posts: 74,166
Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 02:56 PM   #4
cosmo20002 cosmo20002 is offline
Debunking your bullshit
 
cosmo20002's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: KC area
Casino cash: $117441
Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER View Post
At this point it will require some new development to change where we are. As I've been saying it all comes down to turnout.
And who those people vote for. I don't think we've ever seen an election like this.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris616 View Post
As long as Jesus Christ was the president of the US and approved of it Yes.
Posts: 15,184
cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 03:00 PM   #5
cosmo20002 cosmo20002 is offline
Debunking your bullshit
 
cosmo20002's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: KC area
Casino cash: $117441
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger View Post
From what I gather, there are two things that are important at this point:

1) Romney is greatly favored among independents, just as Obama had them in 2008.

2) Democrat voter turn-out will not be close to where it was in 2008.

If those two things are accurate, I think things bode rather well for Romney.
This is worse than the NFL pre-game "Must dos" for each team.

Whichever team can control the line of scrimmage and put more points on the board is going to stand the best chance of winning this game!
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris616 View Post
As long as Jesus Christ was the president of the US and approved of it Yes.
Posts: 15,184
cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 03:02 PM   #6
Donger Donger is offline
"Think BOOM!"
 
Donger's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 33.675 N 106.475 W
Casino cash: $832
Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
This is worse than the NFL pre-game "Must dos" for each team.

Whichever team can control the line of scrimmage and put more points on the board is going to stand the best chance of winning this game!
I'm not sure I understand you. Are taking issue with either/both statements? And/or if they are accurate, that it bodes well for Romney?
__________________
I think the young people enjoy it when I "get down," verbally, don't you?
Posts: 74,166
Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.Donger is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 03:12 PM   #7
WV WV is offline
Veteran
 
WV's Avatar
 

Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: In the Holler
Casino cash: $5023394
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donger View Post
I'm not sure I understand you. Are taking issue with either/both statements? And/or if they are accurate, that it bodes well for Romney?
You didn't say all hail Obama, so you're wrong. Pretty simple actually.
Posts: 4,968
WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.WV threw an interception on a screen pass.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 08:03 PM   #8
patteeu patteeu is offline
The 23rd Pillar
 
patteeu's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $463174
Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
And who those people vote for. I don't think we've ever seen an election like this.
I tend to agree. I wonder what that means for eggheads who have fancy math models that incorporate, among other things, historical polling trends.
__________________


"Well, it is one thing for Bill Clinton to say, I feel your pain. It is another thing for Barack Obama to say I feel your pain that I have caused." - George Will
Posts: 74,220
patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.patteeu is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 09:00 PM   #9
alnorth alnorth is offline
MVP
 
alnorth's Avatar
 
Moon Lander Champion Skeet Shoot Champion
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Iowania
Casino cash: $12389802
Obama needs many thihngs, the female vote, the cell phone vote, etc, but he also needs young voters.

Key tweet from a PPP national vote: Youth vote so important to Obama- trails with every other age group but 58/38 lead with them leaves him +1 overall:
__________________
<WarMoose> Think about how stupid the average person is. Now realize that half of them are dumber than that.
<Chunda> Why half?
Posts: 24,329
alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.alnorth 's phone was tapped by Scott Pioli.
  Reply With Quote
Old 11-01-2012, 09:19 PM   #10
cosmo20002 cosmo20002 is offline
Debunking your bullshit
 
cosmo20002's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: KC area
Casino cash: $117441
Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
And who those people vote for. I don't think we've ever seen an election like this.
Quote:
Originally Posted by patteeu View Post
I tend to agree. I wonder what that means for eggheads who have fancy math models that incorporate, among other things, historical polling trends.
OK, so you agree that this election will be determined by how many people turn out and who they vote for. Good to know I'm not alone in that radical view.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris616 View Post
As long as Jesus Christ was the president of the US and approved of it Yes.
Posts: 15,184
cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.cosmo20002 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
  Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 11:10 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.