Mitt's winning Ohio

[Comrade Crapski]

Face the music, moonbats. America is sending the communist racebaiter back under his rock in Chicago.

Two new Ohio polls came out yesterday after my Ohio post, from from Gravis Marketing and PPP, both of which point to a razor-thin race in the most coveted swing state. A closer look at each poll shows just how much Romney has gained since the debates, and why he would be absolutely thrilled if these polls were accurate on Election Day.

The poll from Gravis Marketing shows Obama and Romney tied at 47 percent. But that’s as good as it gets for Obama. Among the most interesting tidbits from the poll:

Romney leads Obama by 19 percent among independents, 52–33, and holds 92 percent of his base compared to Obama’s 87 percent. Obama is underwater in job approval, 44–50, and independents disapprove of him overwhelmingly, 31–58. And the poll has a Democratic advantage of 9 percent, which is a 4 percent jump from 2008 — no one believes that Democrats can match their 2008 turnout advantage, let alone almost double it.

PPP (a Democratic firm) released their new poll yesterday showing Obama only up one point, 49 to 48. Just a week ago PPP had the race at 51–46 for Obama. But the four-point gain for Romney is even more impressive when you look at the poll’s findings:

This week’s poll has a Democrat sample advantage of 8 percent; last week’s advantage was 4. Romney gained four points on Obama in a week despite the sample’s having four percentage points more Democrats. Romney leads with independents by 7 percent, up from a 5 percent last week. Obama’s approval is underwater at 48–50, and independents disapprove of him by a 41–54 margin. Last week Obama was in positive approval ground at 50–48, and independents disapproved by a much smaller 45–50 margin. Romney’s favorability has gone from a minus-6 margin last week (45–51) to a plus-2 this week (49–47). Trust on the economy went from Obama plus-5 last week (51–46) to plus-4 in Romney’s direction this week (51–47). Independents jumped from Romney plus-5 last week to Romney plus-15 this week.

These two polls highlight what many saw in the second debate: Romney may have lost the overall debate, but he won handily on the issues of the economy, debt, and taxes. While Democrats were riding high this week after Obama narrowly won the face-off, Romney was quietly solidifying support from voters by commanding the issues that matter most. Based on these two polls, the only way Obama can win Ohio is if he finds a way to greatly surpass 2008 turnout with Democrats, which at the moment seems like an impossible task. If these polls hold, it won’t be long before the state Romney was declared dead in knocks down the last pillar of inevitability that Obama has left.

— Josh Jordan is a small-business market-research consultant. You can follow him on Twitter @Numbersmuncher.

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner...ar-josh-jordan

[LVNHACK]

Originally Posted by ROYC75

You are just like the Chiefs, you just don't have a good coach or a game plan.

He should fire MSNBC....I'm being force fed it right now and that's what their saying.....geesh, they call that reporting ?....

[HonestChieffan]

Another hispanic who gets it. Leaving Obama in droves in Fla.

[Calcountry]

Originally Posted by HonestChieffan

Another hispanic who gets it. Leaving Obama in droves in Fla.

I still am not convinced. Nate Silver said it aint so.

[Calcountry]

Originally Posted by Slick

But what does Nate Silver say?

Whatever he says, I believe it.

[BigRedChief]

Originally Posted by HonestChieffan

Another hispanic who gets it. Leaving Obama in droves in Fla.

Wonder who is voting for him then?

CNN Poll: Romney 50% – Obama 49% in Florida


Posted by
CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser (CNN) – With eight days to go until Election Day, a new survey indicates an extremely close race for Florida's 29 electoral votes.
According to a CNN/ORC International poll released Monday, 50% of likely voters in the Sunshine State say they are backing Republican nominee Mitt Romney, with 49% supporting President Barack Obama. The former Massachusetts governor's one point margin is well within the survey's sampling error.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker
– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

[LiveSteam]

[cosmo20002]

Originally Posted by LiveSteam

In Reagan's 1982 State of the Union, he was quite the whiney little bitch:

"To understand the State of the Union, we must look not only at where we are and where we're going but where we've been. The situation at this time last year was truly ominous."
...
"In the last six months of 1980, as an example, the money supply increased at the fastest rate in postwar history 13 percent. Inflation remained in double digits and Government spending increased at an annual rate of 17 percent. Interest rates reached a staggering 21 1/2 percent. There were eight million unemployed."
...
"First, we must understand what's happening at the moment to the economy. Our current problems are not the product of the recovery program that's only just now getting under way, as some would have you believe; they are the inheritance of decades of tax and tax, and spend"
...
"Now the budget deficit this year will exceed our earlier expectations. The recession did that. It lowered revenues and increased costs."


He was still bitching a year later:

Reagan's 1983 State of the Union:

"The problems we inherited were far worse than most inside and out of government had expected; the recession was deeper than most inside and out of government had predicted. Curing those problems has taken more time and a higher toll than any of us wanted."

[LiveSteam]

Originally Posted by cosmo20002

In Reagan's 1982 State of the Union, he was quite the whiney little bitch:

"To understand the State of the Union, we must look not only at where we are and where we're going but where we've been. The situation at this time last year was truly ominous."
...
"In the last six months of 1980, as an example, the money supply increased at the fastest rate in postwar history 13 percent. Inflation remained in double digits and Government spending increased at an annual rate of 17 percent. Interest rates reached a staggering 21 1/2 percent. There were eight million unemployed."
...
"First, we must understand what's happening at the moment to the economy. Our current problems are not the product of the recovery program that's only just now getting under way, as some would have you believe; they are the inheritance of decades of tax and tax, and spend"
...
"Now the budget deficit this year will exceed our earlier expectations. The recession did that. It lowered revenues and increased costs."


He was still bitching a year later:

Reagan's 1983 State of the Union:

"The problems we inherited were far worse than most inside and out of government had expected; the recession was deeper than most inside and out of government had predicted. Curing those problems has taken more time and a higher toll than any of us wanted."

1 ****ing time. Is not the same as every day

[patteeu]

Originally Posted by cosmo20002

In Reagan's 1982 State of the Union, he was quite the whiney little bitch:

"To understand the State of the Union, we must look not only at where we are and where we're going but where we've been. The situation at this time last year was truly ominous."
...
"In the last six months of 1980, as an example, the money supply increased at the fastest rate in postwar history 13 percent. Inflation remained in double digits and Government spending increased at an annual rate of 17 percent. Interest rates reached a staggering 21 1/2 percent. There were eight million unemployed."
...
"First, we must understand what's happening at the moment to the economy. Our current problems are not the product of the recovery program that's only just now getting under way, as some would have you believe; they are the inheritance of decades of tax and tax, and spend"
...
"Now the budget deficit this year will exceed our earlier expectations. The recession did that. It lowered revenues and increased costs."


He was still bitching a year later:

Reagan's 1983 State of the Union:

"The problems we inherited were far worse than most inside and out of government had expected; the recession was deeper than most inside and out of government had predicted. Curing those problems has taken more time and a higher toll than any of us wanted."

I'd quote all the times Obama has blamed Bush, but I'm afraid that kind of load might break the internet.

[SNR]

I long for a president who doesn't throw out cliches as often as he breathes.

Fact of the matter is I've done a good job cleaning up the mess I inherited four years ago

[|Zach|]

If this thread was a woman I would put my dick in it.

[Pitt Gorilla]

Originally Posted by Calcountry

I still am not convinced. Nate Silver said it aint so.

What, exactly, was Nate Silver wrong about, patII?

[BoneKrusher]

[Messier]

The early part of this thread is gold. Mocking Nate Silver, and claiming Dem denial. Not that I'm a big schadenfreude fan, but there was such certainty of what was being said in the Rep bubble.

[Ugly Duck]

Originally Posted by Messier

The early part of this thread is gold. Mocking Nate Silver, and claiming Dem denial. Not that I'm a big schadenfreude fan, but there was such certainty of what was being said in the Rep bubble.

Way back in the early part of the campaign, I was convinced that Romney would win big. I figured that the Republican strategy would be an insurmountable combination of "Citizens" United-fed dark money propaganda augmented by voter suppression. After the voter suppression laws got struck down in state after state, I felt a little better, but still figured Mint Rawmoney would win with the billionaire-funded propaganda campaign. Then the fact-checkers checked the Rawmoney ad lies & I felt a little better but still wasn't convinced the propaganda campaign would fail. I wasn't anywhere near the Republi bubble & was biting my nails on election night.

Florida to finally finish counting ballots today

8:22AM EST November 10. 2012 -

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) — Florida will soon finish counting its presidential ballots and it appears likely that Barack Obama will get some padding for his re-election win.

The state's 67 counties have until noon Saturday to finish their counts and report them to the secretary of state.

As of Saturday morning, the president led Republican challenger Mitt Romney 49.9% to 49.2%, a difference of 64,000 votes. Romney would have to cut that lead to 42,000 votes for there to be a recount. The winner will get Florida's 29 electoral votes.

Obama has already clinched re-election, leading in the Electoral College vote 303 to 206.

A win would give Obama victories in eight of the nine swing states, losing only North Carolina. He won Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Virginia, Colorado and Nevada.