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#46 |
One Groovy Cat
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: The Pitt State baby
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#47 |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
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Theres that bubble again. People have seen this before, it was called the George Bush era and that didn't turn out well.
Romney offers GW policies again nothing new: Tax cuts that favor the rich Relax regulations and let businesses do whatever they want capital gains tax cuts Drill baby Drill And then he decided to build on that wonderful legacy with: New possible war with Iran. Coupons for medicare No investment in education. No investment in long term energy independence. No investment in science |
Posts: 59,966
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#48 | |
One Groovy Cat
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: The Pitt State baby
Casino cash: $27292
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#49 | |
MVP
Join Date: Dec 2003
Casino cash: $16306
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Quote:
I think the next two weeks are critical. I am worried about a big Obama bump from the DNC due to the fact that Obama is a very good speech maker, and he also has one of the great speech makers in Bill Clinton as well shilling for him that week. How much of a bump do you think Obama will get from the DNC?
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#50 | |
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Unemployment over 8%. 69% of the country thinks they are the same or worse off than 4 years ago. Over 50% think its heading in the wrong direction. The republican nominee should be comfortably ahead. There is no way that Bush should have got a 2nd term. The Dems fielded a candidate that was unable to connect with the middle class undecideds. He was a very weak candidate. Romney is a weak candidate. The addition of the guy who wants to kill medicare will cost him Florida, not help. |
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#51 | |
The 23rd Pillar
Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $19337
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Quote:
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![]() “The American people are tired of liars and people who pretend to be something they’re not.” - Hillary Clinton |
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#52 | |
MVP
Join Date: Dec 2003
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#53 | |
The Master
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Marion, IA
Casino cash: $5025
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Those lean states from Obama are now all moving to the likely category with the exception of Florida, which is moving towards likely. Colorado, Iowa, Ohio and Virginia are all over 70% likelihood of being in the Obama column. Wisconsin has moved to an 80% probability of going Obama. North Carolina remains a lean state for Romney but is trending towards Obama. Arizona and even Indiana have moved out of the safe column for Romney. Montana and Missouri are also trending towards Obama. Despite many, including CNN, that consider Michigan to be a battleground state, 538 believes it is safe for Obama. That belief is probably shared by the Romney campaign as he is not advertising there. Most likely if he did then Obama would be able to bring out the fact that Romney is on record against the successful auto bailout.
On the whole the Obama campaign is now up to a 77.3% chance of winning with an average haul of 313 EC votes. So whats the math for Romney? If he were to somehow flip every state that is less than 80% probability of going to Obama, he gets to 281 votes. He simply has to have Ohio in his column or he is not going to win. That's a pretty tall order. I would say maybe he should try to put Pennsylvania in play.
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-Watching Eddie Podolak Quote:
Last edited by whoman69; 09-07-2012 at 07:35 AM.. |
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#54 | |
In BB I trust
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Boston, Mass.
Casino cash: $29908
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This is really where the Republicans fail. You want to run on the same "platform" that Obama used in 2008 --- "vote for us, the other guy/party SUCKS!!" By 2008 the vast majority of Americans were in fact convinced that the other guy/party did suck, and were willing to vote for a ham sandwich instead. Non-Republicans don't feel that way towards Obama. They're uncertain whether the lingering bad economy should be blamed all, partly, or not at all on him because of the incredible pile of feces he inherited. They see progress in Iraq and Afghanistan, etc. I was thinking the other day about how very few Presidents inherited such a bad situation. Lincoln and FDR came into worse situations. Reagan had one that was comparable. Not too many others. Truman's situation wasn't as bad day 1, but by day 300 was worse. The American electorate may have somewhat longer memories than most tend to think.
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"I love signature blocks on the Internet. I get to put whatever the hell I want in quotes, pick a pretend author, and bang, it's like he really said it." George Washington |
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#55 | |
In BB I trust
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Boston, Mass.
Casino cash: $29908
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Didn't Obama crush the entire Republican House caucus? Yeah, think he did. I know Republicans like to paint Obama was inept away from his telepromptrs, but it's really not true. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/0..._n_442331.html "So effective was the president that Fox News cut away from the broadcast 20 minutes before it ended."
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"I love signature blocks on the Internet. I get to put whatever the hell I want in quotes, pick a pretend author, and bang, it's like he really said it." George Washington |
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#56 | |
The 23rd Pillar
Join Date: Sep 2002
Casino cash: $19337
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Quote:
One thing is for sure, if Barack Obama wins this November, he's going to inherit another terrible economy and an extremely divisive political environment that he won't be able to blame on anyone but himself. And the people who voted for him will deserve more of the same.
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![]() “The American people are tired of liars and people who pretend to be something they’re not.” - Hillary Clinton |
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#57 |
MVP
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: K.C.
Casino cash: $5075
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It would surprise me if Obama lost this election.
Never thought I'd see our country have this happen - not in my lifetime. The way we were raised, our beliefs in what made the United States the greatest country in the world. It's just a sad day, a real tragedy. R.I.P. U.S.A. I hope I'm wrong. |
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#58 |
Make America Great Again
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Springpatch
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#59 | |
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Join Date: Dec 2003
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#60 | |
Has a particular set of skills
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: On the water
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They have given up on Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The Romeny ad buys tell us what they are thinking of their chances. They have a shitload of money and still didnt buy in those states. Do the arithmitic R's? Without those 3 states where's your path to 270? |
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