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Old 07-19-2012, 02:23 PM  
ChiefaRoo ChiefaRoo is offline
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Obama is going to lose big time

I'm calling it. The guy is going to lose in an electoral landslide.
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Old 07-23-2012, 07:48 AM   #121
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aries Walker View Post
So you think Obama will win only those 16 states, and not one more? If so, you're either deluded, trolling, or really bad at math.
Going off the electoral map in "Ollie North's" #82 post.

310 - Obama
228 - Romney

I give back to Romney those states NV,NM,CO,IA,WIS,MI,FL,VA,PA,=114 electoral votes.

228+114=342 for Romney
310-114=196 for Obama

Do the math !
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Old 07-23-2012, 08:28 AM   #122
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chiefshrink View Post
You badly underestimate how much Obama has pissed off Independents and more importantly how vastly afraid "We The People" are of losing our country.

Wisconsin should give you a huge clue as to what will happen in Nov.
Didn't California vote to ban gay marriage once? That is a pretty conservative idea, yet come presidential election time they firmly vote Dem. This just goes to show that what happened in Wisconsin is no indication of how they will vote in the presidential election.
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Old 07-23-2012, 08:41 AM   #123
Aries Walker Aries Walker is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chiefshrink View Post
Going off the electoral map in "Ollie North's" #82 post.

310 - Obama
228 - Romney

I give back to Romney those states NV,NM,CO,IA,WIS,MI,FL,VA,PA,=114 electoral votes.

228+114=342 for Romney
310-114=196 for Obama

Do the math !
So, in other words, yes, you do. Okay then!
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Old 07-23-2012, 03:37 PM   #124
ChiefaRoo ChiefaRoo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cosmo20002 View Post
I'm going to bet cash with someone I don't know who comes in spouting off like a nut about undefined "landslides" and wants odds?

You're a moron.
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Old 07-23-2012, 04:39 PM   #125
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aries Walker View Post
That's a pretty solid map. I'm less sure about Florida or Nevada, but even if Romney wins both of those, with this map Obama still wins 275-263.
Solid? You flip Florida and Virginia and you LOSE.

The state polls in both of those states has it tied.

Mack, is now up by 5 points in the Senate race in Florida.

Allen is tied in the senate race in Virginia.

Oh yeah, that's Solid, like metal gear solid baby. Rock Solid, I am sleeping easy solid.
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Old 07-23-2012, 04:46 PM   #126
Calcountry Calcountry is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alnorth View Post
Don't be ridiculous. NPV would have altered the result of a presidential election only 3 times (only once since the 1800's), and it has the advantage of being seen as more legitimate.

The constitution does not enshrine a winner-take-all system. The constitution only tells each state "here's your electors, do whatever the hell you want with selecting them". A state could cancel a presidential election and choose to let the governor select all the electors.
The state legislature certainly could legislate that.

Which is why I never could understand the pissing in 2000.

The legislature in Florida, could have thrown out the election and selected the electors anyway.

Really, there is no need to have an election. A state could simply caucus and vote on a slate of electors and send them to the college.

If the citizens of that state didn't like their decision, they could elect a new legislature.

The electors are not bound to vote the way they are pledged either. But they always do for some reason, well almost always.
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Old 07-23-2012, 05:45 PM   #127
Aries Walker Aries Walker is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calcountry View Post
Solid? You flip Florida and Virginia and you LOSE.

The state polls in both of those states has it tied.

Mack, is now up by 5 points in the Senate race in Florida.

Allen is tied in the senate race in Virginia.

Oh yeah, that's Solid, like metal gear solid baby. Rock Solid, I am sleeping easy solid.
Solid, as in I think the predictions are pretty good. Despite all of my number-crunching and the apparent Obama lead right now, this race is going to be so close that I don't think either side will be able to claim outright victory until Election Night . . . or maybe even the next morning.
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Old 07-23-2012, 06:55 PM   #128
Calcountry Calcountry is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aries Walker View Post
Solid, as in I think the predictions are pretty good. Despite all of my number-crunching and the apparent Obama lead right now, this race is going to be so close that I don't think either side will be able to claim outright victory until Election Night . . . or maybe even the next morning.
How old are you?
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Old 07-23-2012, 07:05 PM   #129
Aries Walker Aries Walker is offline
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Originally Posted by Calcountry View Post
How old are you?
45. Why, how old are you?
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Old 07-24-2012, 07:10 AM   #130
Comrade Crapski Comrade Crapski is offline
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Romney isn't Reagan, but Obama is definitely Jimmy Carter.



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:El...ollege1980.svg

Just putting it out there.
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Old 07-24-2012, 08:33 AM   #131
Aries Walker Aries Walker is offline
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Mondale got his ass kicked even worse. He won Minnesota and DC and that's it. He barely got more electoral votes than I did.
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Old 07-24-2012, 08:46 AM   #132
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom.Jay61 View Post
Romney isn't Reagan, but Obama is definitely Jimmy Carter.



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:El...ollege1980.svg

Just putting it out there.
There is no way anything close to that happens
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Old 07-24-2012, 08:58 AM   #133
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This race is going to be exceptionally tight. I don't see a blowout by either Candidate.
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Old 07-24-2012, 12:57 PM   #134
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChiTown View Post
This race is going to be exceptionally tight. I don't see a blowout by either Candidate.
This^
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Old 07-24-2012, 01:06 PM   #135
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom.Jay61 View Post
Romney isn't Reagan, but Obama is definitely Jimmy Carter.



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:El...ollege1980.svg

Just putting it out there.
I think we have a Mondale VS Goldwater race we are watching
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